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Author: therealheisenberg

Love It Or Leave It? Investors Are Choosing The Latter

April 15, 2025April 16, 2025

“Love it or leave it,” as the old saying goes. Increasingly, investors are choosing the

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6 Comments on Love It Or Leave It? Investors Are Choosing The Latter

The Trump Effect: Global Growth Expectations Crash To 30-Year Low

April 15, 2025April 16, 2025

It’s funny: The people driven most crazy by Donald Trump aren’t Trump’s detractors. Rather, the

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3 Comments on The Trump Effect: Global Growth Expectations Crash To 30-Year Low

BofA, Citi Wrap Up Another Quarter Of ‘God’s Work’

April 15, 2025April 16, 2025

Big bank results have come and gone, and things went pretty well all things considered.

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2 Comments on BofA, Citi Wrap Up Another Quarter Of ‘God’s Work’

Flinches

April 14, 2025April 15, 2025

A lot of posturing aside, it’s pretty obvious that Donald Trump reached his pain threshold

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10 Comments on Flinches

Are The Machines Done Selling?

April 14, 2025April 14, 2025

Early Monday, I revisited “doom loop” dynamics. A fixture of modern market structure is the

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3 Comments on Are The Machines Done Selling?

Fed Survey Paints Dour Picture Of Household Moods

April 14, 2025April 15, 2025

The good news is, household inflation expectations didn’t “moon” in the latest edition of the

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1 Comment on Fed Survey Paints Dour Picture Of Household Moods

Tariff Drama Activated Equity Market ‘Doom Loop’

April 14, 2025April 15, 2025

Remember: Volatility and liquidity tend to be inversely correlated. That’s part and parcel of the

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2 Comments on Tariff Drama Activated Equity Market ‘Doom Loop’

‘Insightful’ Goldman Rings Up Huge Stock-Trading Haul

April 14, 2025April 15, 2025

At least somebody benefited from a rocky start to the year for US equities. “Somebody”

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Leave a Comment on ‘Insightful’ Goldman Rings Up Huge Stock-Trading Haul

Damage Control Or More Damage?

April 13, 2025April 14, 2025

One might’ve assumed this would be a damage control week for The White House. After

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3 Comments on Damage Control Or More Damage?

‘From One Bucket Of Tariffs To A Different Bucket Of Potential Tariffs’

April 13, 2025April 14, 2025

The Trump administration’s now seemingly bent on undermining their own damage control initiatives before markets

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6 Comments on ‘From One Bucket Of Tariffs To A Different Bucket Of Potential Tariffs’

iFold

April 13, 2025April 14, 2025

Donald Trump’s in the process of trying to fix what he broke. Over the weekend,

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16 Comments on iFold

How Long Until Scott Bessent Gets Fired Or Quits?

April 12, 2025April 14, 2025

A few days ago, one brave reader endeavored to lecture me on the alleged genius

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32 Comments on How Long Until Scott Bessent Gets Fired Or Quits?

The ‘Science Fiction’ Scenario’s Upon Us

April 11, 2025April 13, 2025

What happened to that long bond call, Mike? I’m just kidding. But BofA’s most prominent

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17 Comments on The ‘Science Fiction’ Scenario’s Upon Us

Behold: The Worst Consumer Sentiment Report Ever

April 11, 2025April 13, 2025

Not surprisingly, the marquee gauge of consumer sentiment in the US printed what may as

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22 Comments on Behold: The Worst Consumer Sentiment Report Ever

The Banks Are Fine. But Expect ‘Considerable Turbulence’

April 11, 2025April 13, 2025

Well, at least the banks are ok. For now. JPMorgan beat estimates and lifted its

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2 Comments on The Banks Are Fine. But Expect ‘Considerable Turbulence’

Another Favorable US Inflation Report Lost To Trade War’s Fog

April 11, 2025April 12, 2025

There was more good news on the inflation front in the US Friday, when PPI

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3 Comments on Another Favorable US Inflation Report Lost To Trade War’s Fog

Wharton Budget Model Projects Disastrous Hit To Families, GDP From Trump Tariffs

April 10, 2025

The math’s done. The verdict’s in. Tariffs are guilty as charged. On Thursday, the Penn

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6 Comments on Wharton Budget Model Projects Disastrous Hit To Families, GDP From Trump Tariffs

Scary Stuff

April 10, 2025April 11, 2025

I hope you like excitement. Because these are exciting times. If you’re an adrenaline junkie,

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22 Comments on Scary Stuff

Sir, Just To Confirm, Is A Depression Part Of The Plan Too?

April 10, 2025April 11, 2025

If you’re curious, the fallout from “Liberation Day” triggered the biggest — which is to

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10 Comments on Sir, Just To Confirm, Is A Depression Part Of The Plan Too?

Best US Inflation Report In Five Years Overshadowed By Tariffs

April 10, 2025April 11, 2025

Good news. Unfortunately, it’s too stale to matter, because in a Donald Trump presidency, anything

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3 Comments on Best US Inflation Report In Five Years Overshadowed By Tariffs

Losing Everything

April 9, 2025April 11, 2025

If the problem is that no one knows what US trade policy will be from

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15 Comments on Losing Everything

Trump Folds

April 9, 2025April 10, 2025

Late last week, following the worst two-session slide for US equities since the financial crisis

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17 Comments on Trump Folds

A Direct Question

April 9, 2025April 10, 2025

Whether you realized it or not, you just lived through the most important 10-year US

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10 Comments on A Direct Question

Trump’s ‘High People Idea’ Would Double Cost Of iPhones

April 9, 2025April 9, 2025

Dave Chappelle’s in the news this week. As someone who was relatively young (I mean,

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3 Comments on Trump’s ‘High People Idea’ Would Double Cost Of iPhones

Shades Of Baghdad Bob As Bessent, Trump Deny US Bond Blaze

April 9, 2025April 9, 2025

Scott Bessent on Wednesday tried to wave away some of the worst Treasury market turmoil

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11 Comments on Shades Of Baghdad Bob As Bessent, Trump Deny US Bond Blaze

Tariffs Trigger Treasury Meltdown, Dollar ‘Close To Crisis’

April 9, 2025April 10, 2025

Well, it’s upon us: The moment when higher US yields aren’t sufficient to attract buyers

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11 Comments on Tariffs Trigger Treasury Meltdown, Dollar ‘Close To Crisis’

Scott, My Friend, You May Have A Problem

April 8, 2025April 9, 2025

There’s a burgeoning problem in USD rates and specifically in Treasurys. This is quickly becoming

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16 Comments on Scott, My Friend, You May Have A Problem

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

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Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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