Are Record Stock Allocations A Canary?

Are elevated household stock "allocations" a canary? I put "allocations" in scare quotes because th

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6 thoughts on “Are Record Stock Allocations A Canary?

  1. I’d love to see the math behind that chart- because I am guessing that the other major asset included in “total assets” is real estate- which has also done extremely well during the last few years.
    Since 2000, both SPY and median home prices have about quadrupled in value.

  2. I don’t watch TV, so I don’t have a sense of what you mean by your comments about Cameron Crise.
    However, I am curious about your take on Howard Lutnick. Have you listened to him being interviewed, I mean monologuing, on the All-In podcast? Wow, what an ego!

  3. It, however, just may signal an enhanced wealth effect if share prices enjoy a significant decline. Especially, as you’ve noted many times, much/some of those holdings are now in leveraged ETFs focused on a few stocks. That IS something new.

  4. This article and corresponding chart reminds me of the regression chart plotting CAPE in the X-axis and the average 10-year S&P Return on the Y-axis. It’s a damn near perfect regression. Strongly negative slope. When the CAPE is above 35, watch out. It is currently 35.6.

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