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Author: therealheisenberg

Mike Pence Went On World Tour This Week – It Didn’t Go Well

February 17, 2019October 26, 2021

Remember how the world was “starting to respect America again”?

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18 Comments on Mike Pence Went On World Tour This Week – It Didn’t Go Well

‘The Negative Tail Has Become Fatter’: Extreme Outcomes, Policy And Populism

February 16, 2019

That goes for markets and society more generally.

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4 Comments on ‘The Negative Tail Has Become Fatter’: Extreme Outcomes, Policy And Populism

Unlike Morgan Stanley, Goldman Isn’t Too Worried About An Earnings Recession

February 16, 2019October 26, 2021

Hockey stick inflections, and such.

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‘Fix The Situation Immediately’: Trump, Pompeo Wade Into Dark Waters With Saudis On Khashoggi, Yemen

February 16, 2019February 17, 2019

“The administration’s response… makes a mockery of the United States’ commitment to human rights.”

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7 Comments on ‘Fix The Situation Immediately’: Trump, Pompeo Wade Into Dark Waters With Saudis On Khashoggi, Yemen

‘A Negative Outcome On Any Of These Fronts Likely Spells The End Of Hikes’: Another Bank Slashes Fed Outlook

February 15, 2019February 15, 2019

The risks are myriad – the dangers clear and present.

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1 Comment on ‘A Negative Outcome On Any Of These Fronts Likely Spells The End Of Hikes’: Another Bank Slashes Fed Outlook

A 4.64 Trillion Yuan Tidal Wave Of Credit Growth – Let’s Discuss

February 15, 2019October 26, 2021

Is the transmission channel “unclogged”?

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In The Rose Garden: Meltdown

February 15, 2019February 16, 2019

Move over, Charlottesville presser…

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17 Comments on In The Rose Garden: Meltdown

‘Trade Tensions Have Not Disappeared’, Goldman Warns

February 15, 2019October 26, 2021

Curb your enthusiasm?

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In Case Of Faux National Emergency, Break Constitution

February 15, 2019February 15, 2019

“Normally, any other time, you’d say it’s a no-brainer”…

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4 Comments on In Case Of Faux National Emergency, Break Constitution

US, China Will Hold Do-Over Trade Talks In Washington As Einsteinian Insanity Takes Hold

February 15, 2019October 26, 2021

“I hope you keep up the good work.”

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2 Comments on US, China Will Hold Do-Over Trade Talks In Washington As Einsteinian Insanity Takes Hold

Why One Bank Is ‘Putting The Fed On Hold’

February 14, 2019

“…we are eliminating the two hikes we had penciled in this year.”

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Trump Will Have Have His ‘National Emergency’ After All

February 14, 2019February 15, 2019

Nancy Pelosi has already said she may file a legal challenge.

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6 Comments on Trump Will Have Have His ‘National Emergency’ After All

Marko Kolanovic: ‘Calls For A 1929-Style Recession Are Now Getting Quieter’

February 14, 2019January 8, 2022

Of V-shaped bounces and low positioning.

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9 Comments on Marko Kolanovic: ‘Calls For A 1929-Style Recession Are Now Getting Quieter’

Larry Kudlow Opens His ‘Money Mouth’, Out Come ‘Glitches’

February 14, 2019October 26, 2021

And lies. We also think lies.

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8 Comments on Larry Kudlow Opens His ‘Money Mouth’, Out Come ‘Glitches’

If The Fed Was Looking For An Excuse To Stay ‘Patient’, This Disastrous Retail Sales Print Will Work!

February 14, 2019February 14, 2019

Bad news is probably just bad news in this case.

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2 Comments on If The Fed Was Looking For An Excuse To Stay ‘Patient’, This Disastrous Retail Sales Print Will Work!

Andrew McCabe Details FBI Probe Of Trump, 25th Amendment Meetings In Bombshell 60 Minutes Interview

February 14, 2019February 14, 2019

“…the highest levels of American law enforcement were trying to figure out what to do with the president.”

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6 Comments on Andrew McCabe Details FBI Probe Of Trump, 25th Amendment Meetings In Bombshell 60 Minutes Interview

Congrats, Germany: You Avoided A Recession

February 14, 2019February 14, 2019

And that’s pretty much where the good news stops.

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1 Comment on Congrats, Germany: You Avoided A Recession

China Reports Ostensibly Decent Trade Data For January – Now Commence The Derision

February 13, 2019February 14, 2019

This should serve its purpose while the trade talks continue.

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4 Comments on China Reports Ostensibly Decent Trade Data For January – Now Commence The Derision

Larry Kudlow Would Never Lie To You, So That Horrific Deficit Number Must Be Wrong

February 13, 2019February 13, 2019

“…the deficit is coming down and it’s coming down rapidly.”

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31 Comments on Larry Kudlow Would Never Lie To You, So That Horrific Deficit Number Must Be Wrong

FEMA’s Brock Long, Exhausted From Too Much Winning, Quits

February 13, 2019February 13, 2019

“…it is time for me to go home.”

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Trump ‘Looks For Landmines’ In Shutdown Deal, Says Maybe El Chapo Will Pay For Border Wall

February 13, 2019February 13, 2019

“… it’s been known to happen before to people.”

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The Evolution Of Cross-Asset Vol. Spikes And July 6, 2021, As Recession D-Day

February 13, 2019

It starts with stocks…

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Dear Sweden: ‘Slightly Hawkish’ Doesn’t Work Right Now

February 13, 2019October 26, 2021

Remember, “hawkish” is a highly relative term – especially in light of recent events.

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Hope Springs Eternal As Shutdown Risk Fades, Xi To Meet Lighthizer, Mnuchin

February 13, 2019February 13, 2019

“Please Mr. President”…

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Nomura’s McElligott Talks Tuesday Stock ‘Grab-In’, Volatility, QT And More

February 12, 2019February 12, 2019

Around the cross asset universe in 1,000 words.

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Morgan’s Mike Wilson Explains The ‘Simple’ Reason The Fed Can’t Save Stocks

February 12, 2019

“…we suspect that neither is a bullish signal for equities.”

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Trump ‘Not Happy’ With Bipartisan Shutdown Deal, May ‘Let China Slide’ On Trade Deadline

February 12, 2019February 13, 2019

“…it’s all gonna happen where we’re gonna build a beautiful, big strong wall.”

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