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Author: therealheisenberg

Somber, Regardless.

June 14, 2020June 14, 2020

Last week saw the first real test of the bear market rally. The week ahead brings more challenges.

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8 Comments on Somber, Regardless.

A Change Is Gonna Come

June 14, 2020June 15, 2020

The road to a new paradigm will be bumpy to say the least.

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25 Comments on A Change Is Gonna Come

Larry Kudlow’s ‘Paying People Not To Work’ Claim Refuted By Jobs Report He Touted

June 14, 2020June 14, 2020

“It’s better than their salary”.

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14 Comments on Larry Kudlow’s ‘Paying People Not To Work’ Claim Refuted By Jobs Report He Touted

From Beijing To Tokyo To Iran To Florida, COVID Mounts A Comeback

June 14, 2020June 14, 2020

“As long as each and every one of us do our jobs well, and stay aware of personal hygiene”…

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7 Comments on From Beijing To Tokyo To Iran To Florida, COVID Mounts A Comeback

Maybe More People Need To Turn Bullish Before We Can Have Another Meltdown

June 13, 2020June 13, 2020

Is it really “exuberance”?

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8 Comments on Maybe More People Need To Turn Bullish Before We Can Have Another Meltdown

The Rally’s Next Hurdle: A Wave Of ‘Second Wave’ Coverage

June 13, 2020June 15, 2020

Remember: This is a headline-driven market.

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8 Comments on The Rally’s Next Hurdle: A Wave Of ‘Second Wave’ Coverage

‘This Time, It’s Here To Stay’: 2020 Brings Realization Of Aleksandar Kocic’s 2017 Fed Vision

June 13, 2020June 14, 2020

“With every new crisis problems have become deeper and more difficult to manage”.

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10 Comments on ‘This Time, It’s Here To Stay’: 2020 Brings Realization Of Aleksandar Kocic’s 2017 Fed Vision

Robinhood Hordes Get Reality Check In Selloff, But Goldman Takes Note Of Retail Triumph

June 13, 2020June 13, 2020

“The narrative of Main Street weakness versus Wall Street asset inflation is misleading”.

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7 Comments on Robinhood Hordes Get Reality Check In Selloff, But Goldman Takes Note Of Retail Triumph

‘Some Embers Flaring Up’

June 12, 2020June 13, 2020

“I don’t know where that got started on Wall Street”.

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5 Comments on ‘Some Embers Flaring Up’

Marko Kolanovic: It’s Ok To Buy The Dip

June 12, 2020June 12, 2020

Positioning and low risk of new lockdowns justify a reasonably constructive take.

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2020 Has Seen More 3-Sigma Cross-Asset Moves Than 2008 – And It’s Only June

June 12, 2020

“…even though we are not halfway through the year yet”.

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2 Comments on 2020 Has Seen More 3-Sigma Cross-Asset Moves Than 2008 – And It’s Only June

Two Decades Of UK Growth Disappears In Two Months As Country Faces Worst Slump Since 1706

June 12, 2020June 12, 2020

UK faces worst annual contraction in 300 years.

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3 Comments on Two Decades Of UK Growth Disappears In Two Months As Country Faces Worst Slump Since 1706

‘Classic Butterfly Effect Knock-On’: Nomura’s McElligott Explains Thursday’s Dramatic Selloff

June 12, 2020June 12, 2020

“So what was yesterday all about?”

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‘The Good News Is, It’s Not Severely Out Of Hand’

June 12, 2020June 12, 2020

“The second wave has arrived; or at least that is the impression one would get”.

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1 Comment on ‘The Good News Is, It’s Not Severely Out Of Hand’

Albert Edwards: ‘The Great Melt’ Is Coming. But ‘Outright Deflation’ Is Here Now

June 11, 2020June 12, 2020

“…there will never be any serious attempt to reverse policy stimulus.”

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21 Comments on Albert Edwards: ‘The Great Melt’ Is Coming. But ‘Outright Deflation’ Is Here Now

Hello Darkness, My Old Friend

June 11, 2020June 11, 2020

Another day in reality television.

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oil8 Comments on Hello Darkness, My Old Friend

Another Week, Another Huge Haul For Credit Funds, As Inflows Hit $92 Billion In Two Months

June 11, 2020

The tsunami continues.

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5 Comments on Another Week, Another Huge Haul For Credit Funds, As Inflows Hit $92 Billion In Two Months

Household Net Worth Suffers Biggest Drop In History While Business Debt Explodes Most On Record

June 11, 2020

This is what it looks like when the “wealth effect” slams into reverse.

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Leave a Comment on Household Net Worth Suffers Biggest Drop In History While Business Debt Explodes Most On Record

Rotation Frustration Grips A Suddenly Terrified Market, As Mnuchin Says ‘Can’t Shut The Economy Again’

June 11, 2020June 11, 2020

“Not everything has to be a paradigm shift”.

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6 Comments on Rotation Frustration Grips A Suddenly Terrified Market, As Mnuchin Says ‘Can’t Shut The Economy Again’

‘CHAZ’: Seattle’s New Autonomous Zone Shows A Nation ‘Fed’ Up

June 11, 2020June 12, 2020

“Let them eat stocks”.

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7 Comments on ‘CHAZ’: Seattle’s New Autonomous Zone Shows A Nation ‘Fed’ Up

Jobless Claims Refute ‘V-Shaped Comeback’ Meme

June 11, 2020June 11, 2020

Not exactly indicative of “the greatest comeback in American history”.

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Leave a Comment on Jobless Claims Refute ‘V-Shaped Comeback’ Meme

Hangover.

June 11, 2020June 11, 2020

“It’s more likely retail traders caught in microbubbles getting stopped out”.

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6 Comments on Hangover.

‘All The Stars Are Aligned’: One Bank Says S&P May ‘Overshoot 3,500’

June 10, 2020June 11, 2020

“If the Fed is reluctant to go to negative rates, will it prefer to buy equity ETFs?”

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1 Comment on ‘All The Stars Are Aligned’: One Bank Says S&P May ‘Overshoot 3,500’

As Powell Cures Markets, Mnuchin Demands More Stimulus While Virus Eyes Comeback

June 10, 2020June 10, 2020

“This was a natural disaster. We gotta get them back to work”.

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5 Comments on As Powell Cures Markets, Mnuchin Demands More Stimulus While Virus Eyes Comeback

Fed Puts A Floor Under Asset Purchases, Sees Rates At Zero Through 2022

June 10, 2020June 10, 2020

“Tremendous human and economic hardship across the United States and around the world”.

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17 Comments on Fed Puts A Floor Under Asset Purchases, Sees Rates At Zero Through 2022

‘Reality Repression’: Markets Witness Biggest Disconnect In Modern History

June 10, 2020June 10, 2020

“Nothing else matters”.

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4 Comments on ‘Reality Repression’: Markets Witness Biggest Disconnect In Modern History

Coronavirus Throws Off Another ‘First Time Ever’ Moment For Economy, As Inflation-Deflation Debate Rages

June 10, 2020

It’s all noise – until it isn’t anymore.

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1 Comment on Coronavirus Throws Off Another ‘First Time Ever’ Moment For Economy, As Inflation-Deflation Debate Rages

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

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Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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