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Author: therealheisenberg

Meanwhile, In The Black Sea…

March 14, 2023March 15, 2023

Meanwhile, in the Black Sea, two Russian fighter pilots had a little fun with a

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1 Comment on Meanwhile, In The Black Sea…

What Should The Fed Do Now? Two Alternatives, Two Thoughts

March 14, 2023March 14, 2023

There are two lines of thinking when it comes to how the Fed should approach

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1 Comment on What Should The Fed Do Now? Two Alternatives, Two Thoughts

Inflation Argues For Fed Hikes, But Bank Turmoil Eyed

March 14, 2023March 20, 2023

Core inflation in the US rose slightly more than expected last month from January, data

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10 Comments on Inflation Argues For Fed Hikes, But Bank Turmoil Eyed

Fed Faces Impossible Optics, Difficult Tradeoffs After Banks Collapse

March 14, 2023March 15, 2023

As the US prepared to grapple with a fresh read on inflation, the market discussion

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15 Comments on Fed Faces Impossible Optics, Difficult Tradeoffs After Banks Collapse

What Strategists Say About America’s New Banking Crisis

March 13, 2023March 13, 2023

Needless to say, newsflow around the collapse of SVB was unrelenting on Monday. Equally unrelenting

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1 Comment on What Strategists Say About America’s New Banking Crisis

Kolanovic: All The Carry Trades Can’t Be Bailed Out

March 13, 2023March 14, 2023

JPMorgan’s Marko Kolanovic has a message for markets: “There are many carry trades, and they

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3 Comments on Kolanovic: All The Carry Trades Can’t Be Bailed Out

Regulatory And Policy Failures Made SVB A Grenade

March 13, 2023March 20, 2023

By now (where in this case “by now” means barely four days after everybody woke

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5 Comments on Regulatory And Policy Failures Made SVB A Grenade

McElligott: Deposit Flight ‘Not Solved’

March 13, 2023March 14, 2023

What are the ramifications of the events that shook the US financial system last week

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4 Comments on McElligott: Deposit Flight ‘Not Solved’

Panic Selling Grips Bank Shares

March 13, 2023March 13, 2023

Bank stocks were under siege Monday, for obvious reasons. On the off chance you haven’t

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Leave a Comment on Panic Selling Grips Bank Shares

Investors, Fed Were ‘Lulled To Sleep,’ Mike Wilson Says

March 13, 2023March 14, 2023

“The real story for equity markets is the impact of the Fed’s actions over the

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6 Comments on Investors, Fed Were ‘Lulled To Sleep,’ Mike Wilson Says

Melees And Suicide Missions

March 13, 2023March 14, 2023

Predictably given the circumstances, Monday was a market and media melee. I imagine every day

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15 Comments on Melees And Suicide Missions

Treasury, Fed Backstop SVB, Close Signature, Unveil Emergency Fund

March 12, 2023March 20, 2023

On Sunday evening in the US, Jerome Powell, Janet Yellen and FDIC Chair Martin Gruenberg

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45 Comments on Treasury, Fed Backstop SVB, Close Signature, Unveil Emergency Fund

Fed To Pause Rate Hikes Amid SVB Drama: Goldman

March 12, 2023March 13, 2023

Last week, US rates underwent a dramatic about-face+ when the second-largest bank failure in the

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Warnings, Panic, Shock: SVB Collapse Shakes Nation

March 12, 2023March 13, 2023

“Our sense of the range of institutions under scrutiny is that any issues are finite

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9 Comments on Warnings, Panic, Shock: SVB Collapse Shakes Nation

Inflation On Collision Course With Bank Drama As Traders Brace

March 12, 2023March 13, 2023

Just as the second-largest bank failure in US history easily overshadowed nonfarm payrolls last week,

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2 Comments on Inflation On Collision Course With Bank Drama As Traders Brace

Aramco Drills Up Cartoonish $161 Billion Annual Profit

March 12, 2023March 12, 2023

Saudi Aramco made a lot of money in 2022. Last year was a banner year

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America May Face Wave Of Bank Runs, Failures Without SVB Backstop

March 12, 2023March 12, 2023

The path forward following the Silicon Valley Bank fiasco looks pretty binary. One of two

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8 Comments on America May Face Wave Of Bank Runs, Failures Without SVB Backstop

Lost At Sea

March 11, 2023December 30, 2024

“There’s nothing there for you. You know that, right?” She was on her second glass

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10 Comments on Lost At Sea

How SVB Failed And What Might Happen Next

March 11, 2023March 20, 2023

“Despite the bank being in sound financial condition prior to March 9, investors and depositors…

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19 Comments on How SVB Failed And What Might Happen Next

Rates On Wild Ride As SVB Drama Downs Hawks

March 10, 2023March 10, 2023

If there was a sliver lining for bulls in this week’s banking sector fireworks, it

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1 Comment on Rates On Wild Ride As SVB Drama Downs Hawks

Fear Is Contagious

March 10, 2023March 12, 2023

The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank dominated financial media coverage on Friday, overshadowing an update

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12 Comments on Fear Is Contagious

SVB Shuttered. FDIC Takes Over

March 10, 2023March 12, 2023

Now it’s official. California regulators closed Silicon Valley Bank on Friday, the FDIC said. The

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7 Comments on SVB Shuttered. FDIC Takes Over

2023 Exodus From US Stock Funds Hits $42 Billion

March 10, 2023

The exodus from US equity funds is ongoing. Funds focused on US shares shed another

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Leave a Comment on 2023 Exodus From US Stock Funds Hits $42 Billion

SVB On Brink Of Collapse

March 10, 2023March 11, 2023

The bottom fell out entirely for SVB on Friday, when a planned capital raise reportedly

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8 Comments on SVB On Brink Of Collapse

US Jobs Report Comes Up Favorable For Fed

March 10, 2023March 15, 2023

The US economy added a consensus-topping 311,000 jobs in February, the government said Friday. Economists

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2 Comments on US Jobs Report Comes Up Favorable For Fed

In Geopolitical Coup, Xi Brokers Saudi-Iran Diplomatic Truce

March 10, 2023March 10, 2023

In a potentially pivotal development, Saudi Arabia and Iran reached a provisional agreement to resume

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1 Comment on In Geopolitical Coup, Xi Brokers Saudi-Iran Diplomatic Truce

Flaming Butterflies

March 10, 2023March 10, 2023

The crisis at Silicon Valley Bank managed to outcompete US payrolls for space above the

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5 Comments on Flaming Butterflies

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  • The Arbitrageur

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Monthly Letters

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To Be Happy

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Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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