Surprise: There were no surprises to speak of from Jerome Powell’s congressional testimony on Wednesday.
Author: therealheisenberg
A Third World Country
“They didn’t used to fight at night. Now they do. Because they have goggles.” That’s
The JOLTS Miracle Feels Exhausted
Job openings were little changed from the prior month on the last business day of
Pay Growth For Job Switchers Accelerates In Otherwise Bland ADP Release
Private sector US employers added 140,000 jobs in February, ADP said Wednesday. The headline was
Rally Trivia And Pivot Remorse
Here’s a notable statistic: If US equities post gains during the final two months of
The Meme Stocks Are All Skewed Up
The rally on Wall Street, which looked poised for a breather on Tuesday, may or
An Obligatory Nod To Bitcoin’s New Record High
Bitcoin hit a new record high on Tuesday. Maybe you noticed. I’m supposed to have
Conflicting Signals
The incoming macro data’s not going to tell us a consistent story. Maybe we should
Is Xi Jinping An Imbecile?
There were precious few surprises on offer in Li Qiang’s first annual work report, delivered
Behind The ‘Bubble,’ Surging Cost Of Capital Forces Investor Rethink
Rally skeptics and those with an affinity for crash prophecies spent the last couple of
Kolanovic Sticks With It: Markets ‘Vulnerable To An Accident’
Marko Kolanovic’s sticking with it, where “it” means a cautious approach to frothy markets. In
Supreme Court Cowers, Bows To Trump
Donald Trump’s still allowed to run for president despite his actions in the aftermath of
Records, Records Everywhere
Tales of rekindled animal spirits are everywhere. Comparisons to the dot-com boom and 2021’s “everything
2024 Isn’t 2021. It’s 2000. But Don’t Panic
“This time is different.” So said Goldman’s David Kostin in his latest. Don’t laugh. Or
No Questions Asked
The regime in Beijing will do what’s necessary to foster high-quality growth and common prosperity
BofA Raises S&P Target. Inflows To US Equities Continue
You didn’t need to be a gifted tasseographer to read between the lines last week
Powell On The Hill
“The Fed has basically one tool on inflation,” Elizabeth Warren patiently explained, during a cameo
US Jobs Report, China Political Extravaganza Top Agenda In New Week
In addition to Jerome Powell’s congressional testimony, traders will be treated this week to a
Joe Biden Has A Netanyahu Problem
Joe Biden has a Benjamin Netanyahu problem. As most readers are doubtless aware, an aid
Sentimental Steepener
Shorter-maturity Treasurys staged a pretty meaningful rally into the weekend following a lackluster read on
A Few Quick Thoughts On Crypto As ‘Winter’ Thaws
Fed cuts (or, more accurately, the expectation thereof later this year) are “sparking animal spirits.”
Two Surveys Diverged In A Star-Spangled Wood
There was some hope that this week’s final US macro release would suggest America’s manufacturing
Eurozone Inflation Loiters As ECB Ponders Cut Timing
Inflation in the eurozone was a bit quicker than expected in February, data released on
Money Market Fund AUM Soars To Staggering $6.06 Trillion
US money market funds saw their second-largest inflow of 2024 in the week to February
The Vol Regime In Six Easy Bullet Points
Stocks are reluctant to hold a selloff. In fact, we’re back in a regime where
As 2024 Rally Rolls On, Traders Hear Echoes Of 2021
“Stay bullish.” That’s the message from a lot of people. From anyone you care to
About That Inflation Data…
The Fed’s preferred gauge of consumer price growth in the US matched estimates in hotly-anticipated
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