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Author: therealheisenberg

In Japan, A Monetary Moment Of Truth Draws Near

March 13, 2024March 27, 2024

Big things are happening in Japan. The ground’s shifting. And not because of any earthquakes.

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Charlie McElligott’s Unified Theory Of Everything

March 12, 2024March 27, 2024

If you’re wondering why the risk-asset rally feels inexorable on most days — why the

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10 Comments on Charlie McElligott’s Unified Theory Of Everything

Markets And The People Who Forecast Them

March 12, 2024March 13, 2024

For what it’s worth — which could be a lot if the last several months

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3 Comments on Markets And The People Who Forecast Them

Asking Rents Jump Amid ‘Very, Very Difficult’ US Housing Situation

March 12, 2024March 12, 2024

Earlier this month, during his testimony on Capitol Hill, Jerome Powell said the US housing

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2 Comments on Asking Rents Jump Amid ‘Very, Very Difficult’ US Housing Situation

Inflation Report Hard To Square With Rate Cuts

March 12, 2024March 27, 2024

Underlying US consumer prices increased more than expected in data released on Tuesday, again imperiling

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9 Comments on Inflation Report Hard To Square With Rate Cuts

Jamie And The Flood

March 12, 2024March 13, 2024

Nearly two years ago, at a conference sponsored by AllianceBernstein, Jamie Dimon delivered a weather

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3 Comments on Jamie And The Flood

Kolanovic Sees ‘Rally Exhaustion’ While Subramanian Says Bull Market ‘Has Legs’

March 11, 2024March 11, 2024

JPMorgan analysts led by Marko Kolanovic are undeterred in their defensive model portfolio allocation. If

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2 Comments on Kolanovic Sees ‘Rally Exhaustion’ While Subramanian Says Bull Market ‘Has Legs’

Did You Hear? The Short Vol Trade’s Back

March 11, 2024March 27, 2024

The short vol trade’s back. Did you hear? You did?! That must mean you’re a

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2 Comments on Did You Hear? The Short Vol Trade’s Back

Inflation Expectations Jump Third-Most Ever In Fed Poll

March 11, 2024March 12, 2024

Americans’ inflation expectations rose last month, according to the new vintage of the New York

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3 Comments on Inflation Expectations Jump Third-Most Ever In Fed Poll

It’s All Relative: Magnificent 7 ‘Not Overvalued,’ One Bank Says

March 11, 2024March 11, 2024

Is the “Magnificent 7” overvalued? If you’re exhausted with that query, you’re not alone. I’m

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2 Comments on It’s All Relative: Magnificent 7 ‘Not Overvalued,’ One Bank Says

One Bear, Two Words

March 11, 2024March 12, 2024

“Ambiguity.” It’s pervasive. So said Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson on Monday, describing the macro-market backdrop.

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6 Comments on One Bear, Two Words

Is The BoJ About To Spoil Japan’s Record-Setting Stock Rally?

March 11, 2024March 12, 2024

Japanese equities have had a good run. And that’s an understatement. An entire generation of

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It’s Not The Economy, Stupid. Not This Time

March 10, 2024March 27, 2024

“As you can see, I’m African American.” So said a kindly gentlemen sitting next to

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6 Comments on It’s Not The Economy, Stupid. Not This Time

All Eyes Turn To US Inflation Report With Rate Cuts On The Line

March 10, 2024March 14, 2024

Come one, come all! “Super users” and novices alike! It’s CPI week in the US.

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‘Magnificent 7’ Performance Has Never Been This Uneven

March 10, 2024March 11, 2024

Market commentary often treats the so-called “Magnificent 7” as a monolith. This year, it’s anything

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2 Comments on ‘Magnificent 7’ Performance Has Never Been This Uneven

Riding The Bubble

March 9, 2024March 11, 2024

By the end of jobs week in the US, market participants were still asking the

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Windfalls And Pitfalls

March 8, 2024March 11, 2024

There’s no respite for bears. Headed into the US jobs report, there were any number

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Global Equity Inflows Strongest In Two Years Amid Rally

March 8, 2024March 8, 2024

Equity-focused ETFs and mutual funds saw a seventh week of inflows amid what some describe

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US Jobs Report Offers Something For Everyone

March 8, 2024March 27, 2024

The US economy added more jobs than expected in February, while revisions trimmed the prior

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2 Comments on US Jobs Report Offers Something For Everyone

Jay’s Quotable

March 8, 2024March 10, 2024

Jerome Powell’s timeline for Fed confidence in the durability of the disinflation trajectory, and thereby

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Money Fund Assets Scale New Record. RRP Usage Falls Further

March 7, 2024March 7, 2024

Money market funds raked in another $18.65 billion in the week to March 6, an

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Bears Driven To Brink Of Extinction As Powell Promises Rate Cuts

March 7, 2024March 14, 2024

“When we do get that confidence — and we’re not far from it — it’ll

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11 Comments on Bears Driven To Brink Of Extinction As Powell Promises Rate Cuts

CRE Slow Burn

March 7, 2024March 9, 2024

America’s slow-burning commercial real estate crisis continues to produce a slow drip of headlines. Steve

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3 Comments on CRE Slow Burn

ECB On Hold, Says Inflation, Growth To Slow Further

March 7, 2024March 8, 2024

“Financing conditions are restrictive and the past interest rate increases continue to weigh on demand,

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2 Comments on ECB On Hold, Says Inflation, Growth To Slow Further

Dovish Data Turn Will Live Or Die By Payrolls

March 7, 2024March 8, 2024

Anyone hoping for a dovish round of data out of the US was pleased Thursday,

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‘Various Tricks,’ ‘Unimaginable Conflicts’

March 7, 2024March 8, 2024

Markets heard from Wang Yi on Thursday. Wang can be a little — how should

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A Word On America’s New Debt Milestone

March 6, 2024March 6, 2024

The Fed keeps insisting, in some cases against the evidence, that rate hikes are working

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