The offshore yuan surged the most on record. Again. Just days after a swoon for
Author: therealheisenberg
Jobs Report Cements Lofty Fed Ambitions
The US economy added 261,000 jobs in October, the government said Friday. That was far
No, Xi’s China Is Not ‘The Alternative’
“China is the Alternative,” read the title of a somewhat dispiriting blog post published Friday morning in
Party Off, Wayne
Thursday’s key macro story — or one of them, anyway — was the stark juxtaposition
US Economy Produces Another ‘Since 1982’ Moment
For the first time since 1982, labor productivity in the US has fallen for three
Mighty US Services Sector Stares Down ‘Challenges’
Hot on the heels of a cool read on US factory activity, markets were treated
UK Faces Unimaginably Cruel Two Years, BoE Forecasts Suggest
The Bank of England on Thursday hiked rates by 75bps. It was a landmark moment.
The Rug Pull
The Fed “executed the rare ‘dovish statement, but 10/10 hawkish presser’ surprise,” Nomura’s Charlie McElligott
The Scientific Method
Jerome Powell almost threaded the needle on Wednesday. Around 20 minutes into one of the
Fed Tips Slower Hikes, But Restrictive Nod May Placate Hawks
The Fed on Wednesday hiked rates by 75bps, as expected. It marked the fourth consecutive
Terminal Patient
This’ll be stale as soon as Jerome Powell speaks on Wednesday afternoon, but only in
Really Strong, Really Uneven
Despair, dear friends. Despair. US private sector employers added more jobs last month than any
Burning City On A Hill
I’ve come to despise politics, which is unfortunate because I was raised around political scientists,
Were Mega-Cap US Tech Stocks ‘Imposters’ All Along?
Over the past, let’s call it three or four years, I’ve repeatedly referenced the suggestion
‘Soft Landing’ Hopes Electrocuted By Million-Volt JOLTS Beat
Crucial labor market data released a day ahead of the Fed’s November policy meeting suggested
Good News, Bad News And Vice Versa
US factory activity is on the verge of contracting. That’s the bad news. The good
Crucial ‘Downshift’ Narrative Confirmed On Dubious RBA Anniversary
It looks as though central banks have decided that downshifting to smaller rate hike increments
The ‘Reopening Committee’
The Chinese Foreign Ministry is “not aware” of any committees tasked with coordinating a grand
Kolanovic, Wilson Agree: Central Bank Tightening Has Likely Peaked
Wall Street’s most outspoken bear and the sell-side’s most famous bull agree on one thing
Wicked Reversal Risk Hangs Over Fed Meeting
You have to think three steps ahead these days. At least. By now, the Fed’s
The Fed Should End The Timiraos Speculation
Earlier this month, when I was still willing to tweet something other than links to
US Inflation May Soon Collapse: Mike Friedman
If Milton Friedman was right, inflation may be poised to crater. “[CPI] is one of
It’s Bad In Europe
Surprise! European inflation printed ahead of estimates for the sixth consecutive month. Consumer prices likely
‘British Specialists’
It was Colonel Mustard, in the library, with the candlestick! The Kremlin says Moscow knows
Why Goldman Thinks The Fed May Hike Past February
Notwithstanding an inevitable “step-down” in the pace, Jerome Powell’s Fed may find itself compelled to
Labor Of Dove
In addition to Jerome Powell’s all-important post-FOMC press conference, markets will grapple in the days
What To Expect From Jerome Powell’s All-Important Presser
Jerome Powell needs to balance three considerations at the November FOMC meeting. Most obviously, there’s
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