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Month: January 2021

Revenge Of The Pathogen

January 22, 2021January 22, 2021

The dollar firmed and risk appetite dissipated Friday as fresh virus concerns dented sentiment. Hong

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Totally Inexcusable, Wholly Predictable

January 21, 2021January 25, 2021

“Let me be clear: Things are going to get worse before they get better,” Joe

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5 Comments on Totally Inexcusable, Wholly Predictable

Bitcoin (Allegedly) Suffers Glitch In The Matrix

January 21, 2021January 25, 2021

Earlier this month, Bitcoin collapsed by more than 20% in the space of 48 hours,

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15 Comments on Bitcoin (Allegedly) Suffers Glitch In The Matrix

The Houses Are Fine (Flaming Marshmallow)

January 21, 2021January 21, 2021

It wasn’t all bad news on the economic front in the US Thursday although, as

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2 Comments on The Houses Are Fine (Flaming Marshmallow)

Here’s An Idea: Put People To Work & Print Money To Pay Them

January 21, 2021January 26, 2021

900,000 Americans filed for unemployment benefits last week. Believe it or not, that was actually

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15 Comments on Here’s An Idea: Put People To Work & Print Money To Pay Them

ECB Confronts ‘Revelation’ Of Spread Targeting ‘Policy’ Amid Pandemic Response

January 21, 2021January 21, 2021

The ECB came into its first meeting of 2021 under the shadow of renewed lockdowns

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5 Comments on ECB Confronts ‘Revelation’ Of Spread Targeting ‘Policy’ Amid Pandemic Response

The Narrative

January 21, 2021January 22, 2021

Global stocks hit new highs and the dollar dropped a fourth day as investors leaned

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After Biden, Let Her Run

January 20, 2021January 27, 2021

Joe Biden’s inauguration came and went without incident. In a sad testament to the surreal

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Great Expectations

January 20, 2021January 21, 2021

Joe Biden assumes the presidency with a daunting task vis-à-vis markets or, perhaps vis-à-vis markets’

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Stocks’ ‘Surrogate Buy Flow’ Could Reach $96 Billion, Nomura’s McElligott Says

January 20, 2021January 21, 2021

US equities are getting a helping hand from a familiar place. “Systematic Vol Control is

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Morgan Stanley Had A ‘Very Strong,’ ‘Excellent’ Year. How About You?

January 20, 2021January 20, 2021

Morgan Stanley starts 2021 with “significant momentum,” James Gorman said Wednesday, as the bank released

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Regime Change

January 20, 2021January 21, 2021

Upon taking office Wednesday, Joe Biden moved to immediately reverse, undo, and otherwise rollback some

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8 Comments on Regime Change

Tragedy, Triumph, And ‘Patriots’

January 19, 2021January 20, 2021

It’s appropriate, in a macabre kind of way, that news of Netflix passing the 200

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7 Comments on Tragedy, Triumph, And ‘Patriots’

‘Act Big’ (Tequila In The Blender)

January 19, 2021January 22, 2021

Janet Yellen had no trouble with her confirmation hearing on Capitol Hill Tuesday.  I imagine

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4 Comments on ‘Act Big’ (Tequila In The Blender)

‘Correction Imminent’: BofA Survey Suggests Sentiment Overshoot

January 19, 2021January 20, 2021

All in, apparently. 73% of investors who answered the “early-cycle” versus “recession” question in the

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9 Comments on ‘Correction Imminent’: BofA Survey Suggests Sentiment Overshoot

Here’s The Reality Of ‘Bubbles’

January 19, 2021January 20, 2021

Ask European fund managers what keeps them up at night and you might hear: “A

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10 Comments on Here’s The Reality Of ‘Bubbles’

Goldman Releases Quarterly Compendium Of Large Numbers

January 19, 2021January 19, 2021

In news that probably won’t surprise anyone, Goldman easily beat estimates Tuesday when the firm

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5 Comments on Goldman Releases Quarterly Compendium Of Large Numbers

Bank Of America Slashes Reserve, But Misses On Multiple Fronts

January 19, 2021January 19, 2021

Bank shares came off the US holiday nursing the wounds from a steep, late-week selloff

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3 Comments on Bank Of America Slashes Reserve, But Misses On Multiple Fronts

Return Of The Queen

January 19, 2021January 19, 2021

Risk sentiment was generally buoyant Tuesday, as market participants watched Janet Yellen make the case

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One Pro Reveals His ‘Just To Get Myself Into Trouble’ Trade

January 18, 2021January 19, 2021

This is my “buying a hedge in another market just to get myself into trouble”

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As Yellen Takes Treasury Reins, Dollar Bears Emboldened

January 18, 2021January 21, 2021

Janet Yellen isn’t going to pursue a weak dollar policy. Or at least that’s what

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With Trade War Lost, Trump Throws Last Punch In China Fight

January 18, 2021January 19, 2021

The consensus narrative around the Trump administration’s final push to squeeze Beijing ahead of Joe

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Looking Through

January 18, 2021January 19, 2021

Folks were rolling out the generic quotables Monday, as US markets were shuttered for the

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It’s Official: China’s Economy Expanded In 2020 Despite Pandemic

January 17, 2021January 23, 2021

Well, it’s official. The Chinese economy expanded in 2020. Or at least according to Beijing

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Earnings Season Is Upon Us. But Does Anyone Care?

January 17, 2021January 23, 2021

Earnings season is upon us, but it’s not clear how much the numbers matter. Last

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Gods, Ponzi Schemes & Paupers

January 17, 2021January 18, 2021

For those making $60,000 or more, the recovery is complete. That’s one takeaway from data

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Inside The Bubble

January 17, 2021January 25, 2021

Years ago, an episode of Family Guy (the edgy cartoon sitcom) featured a subplot that

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

  • therealheisenberg on Let’s Get ‘Mechanical’ About This
  • T-Dog on Central Bank Tightening And The AI Arms Race
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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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