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Month: January 2021

‘We All See It Happening’: Dour Predictions Proliferate As Insanity Reigns

January 27, 2021January 27, 2021

Risk sentiment was noticeably sour Wednesday morning in the US, as market participants pondered earnings,

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4 Comments on ‘We All See It Happening’: Dour Predictions Proliferate As Insanity Reigns

‘This Is A Riot’: Reddit Stock Mania Channels Populist Battlecry

January 27, 2021January 31, 2021

Apparently, the GameStop fight (which by now includes many more names than just GameStop) has

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‘Imminent’ Stock Correction: What’s Bitcoin Got To Do With It?

January 26, 2021January 27, 2021

If you’re expecting a correction for US equities or, at the least, for one of

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5 Comments on ‘Imminent’ Stock Correction: What’s Bitcoin Got To Do With It?

Stop Asking Me About GameStop, Jason

January 26, 2021January 27, 2021

People keep asking me about GameStop. I’ve been extremely reluctant to engage. But, against my

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Today Is Bad, But Tomorrow Will Be Better

January 26, 2021January 26, 2021

Well, consumer confidence ticked higher in January, rising to 89.3 on The Conference Board’s gauge

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1 Comment on Today Is Bad, But Tomorrow Will Be Better

IMF More Optimistic, Gopinath Says Biden Plan Would Boost US

January 26, 2021January 27, 2021

Good news! Albeit news that most folks won’t be inclined to care much about. The

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Leave a Comment on IMF More Optimistic, Gopinath Says Biden Plan Would Boost US

Stocks, Reflation Trade Due For ‘Deserved’ Break: Morgan’s Wilson Suggests

January 26, 2021January 27, 2021

It’s always interesting to observe the difference in cadence between the rates crowd and the

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1 Comment on Stocks, Reflation Trade Due For ‘Deserved’ Break: Morgan’s Wilson Suggests

McConnell’s Relent, Fast Times In Hong Kong & ‘Civic Integrity’

January 26, 2021January 26, 2021

The froth in Hong Kong came off fairly dramatically Tuesday, as the Hang Seng tumbled

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7 Comments on McConnell’s Relent, Fast Times In Hong Kong & ‘Civic Integrity’

Less Money, More Poverty

January 25, 2021February 28, 2021

On New Year’s Eve, as the curtain closed on what, for those lucky enough to

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3 Comments on Less Money, More Poverty

Same As It Ever Was?

January 25, 2021January 26, 2021

Suddenly, the pro-cyclical rotation catalyzed by the prospect of more fiscal stimulus (think: A unified

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14 Comments on Same As It Ever Was?

I’m Old Enough To Remember The Bond Selloff

January 25, 2021January 26, 2021

So much for 1.25%. Late last week, I wrote that the US 10-year was “basically

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3 Comments on I’m Old Enough To Remember The Bond Selloff

Mutant Wars: Moderna Takes Aim At South African Virus Variant

January 25, 2021January 31, 2021

Moderna is jumping at the opportunity to take a stab (figuratively and literally) at the

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6 Comments on Mutant Wars: Moderna Takes Aim At South African Virus Variant

‘The Most Severe Risk’: Goldman On Vaccine-Resistant Virus Mutations

January 25, 2021January 26, 2021

What could go wrong? That’s the question Goldman asked in a sweeping new note that

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2 Comments on ‘The Most Severe Risk’: Goldman On Vaccine-Resistant Virus Mutations

Froth In Hong Kong, Pessimism In Germany, Bickering Stateside

January 25, 2021January 25, 2021

Risk sentiment was generally muted to start a week that will feature key economic data

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Leave a Comment on Froth In Hong Kong, Pessimism In Germany, Bickering Stateside

As Birx, Fauci Reflect On Trump, Some Seem Unsatisfied

January 24, 2021January 28, 2021

If you’re inclined to hand-wringing about the virus and what could have been, so to

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6 Comments on As Birx, Fauci Reflect On Trump, Some Seem Unsatisfied

Vacuous Shell Game

January 24, 2021January 28, 2021

The Fed takes center stage this week, and it’s probably not a stretch to suggest

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4 Comments on Vacuous Shell Game

Junk Eyes January Sales Record As Risk-Taking En Vogue

January 24, 2021January 25, 2021

The US corporate bond market remains robust coming off a banner 2020. Last year, both

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After All That: Here’s How Trump’s Stock Market Ranks

January 23, 2021January 25, 2021

One of — and perhaps the — defining features of the Trump era was the

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11 Comments on After All That: Here’s How Trump’s Stock Market Ranks

Goldman Weighs In On ‘Unsustainable Excesses’ In US Stocks

January 23, 2021January 25, 2021

If you ask Goldman, stocks probably aren’t a “bubble” — or at least not at

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4 Comments on Goldman Weighs In On ‘Unsustainable Excesses’ In US Stocks

Paul Singer Warns On Possibility Of ‘Tremendous’ Inflation ‘Surprise’

January 23, 2021January 25, 2021

As regular readers know, I enjoy lampooning industry “legends” in these pages. Actually, “lampooning” isn’t

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5 Comments on Paul Singer Warns On Possibility Of ‘Tremendous’ Inflation ‘Surprise’

Make Stocks Collapse Again

January 23, 2021February 21, 2021

Will anyone hold Jeremy Grantham’s feet to the proverbial fire if his latest dire prediction

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11 Comments on Make Stocks Collapse Again

An Open Question

January 22, 2021January 25, 2021

“We’ve got the tools, why don’t we use them?”, Joe Biden asked, on Friday afternoon.

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6 Comments on An Open Question

‘Those Who Want To Stay Rich’

January 22, 2021January 25, 2021

Earlier this week, I expressed some consternation at the frequency with which the word “bubble”

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3 Comments on ‘Those Who Want To Stay Rich’

‘Unhealthy’ US Housing Market Caps Best Year Since Eve Of GFC

January 22, 2021January 25, 2021

A day after data showed housing starts and permits rose to the highest since the

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1 Comment on ‘Unhealthy’ US Housing Market Caps Best Year Since Eve Of GFC

Hot PMI Headlines Belie Onset Of Stagflation

January 22, 2021January 25, 2021

Well, if you go by PMIs (a questionable proposition), the US economy continued to press

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2 Comments on Hot PMI Headlines Belie Onset Of Stagflation

Washington Is Creating A Wall Street Bubble, One Bank Suggests

January 22, 2021January 25, 2021

“DC’s policy bubble [is] fueling Wall Street’s asset bubble,” BofA’s Michael Hartnett wrote, in the

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4 Comments on Washington Is Creating A Wall Street Bubble, One Bank Suggests

Is The Reflation Trade Facing A Wile E. Coyote Moment?

January 22, 2021January 25, 2021

For markets, some trepidation crept in as the curtain closed on Inauguration Week in the

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1 Comment on Is The Reflation Trade Facing A Wile E. Coyote Moment?

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Monthly Letter+

  • Lost At Sea

    March 11, 2023March 11, 2023

Week’s News

It’s Not A Wage-Price Spiral. It’s ‘Greedflation’!

March 23, 2023March 23, 2023

Fed Delivers Dovish Hike Amid Bank Crisis

March 22, 2023March 23, 2023

Xi, Putin Revel In Pageantry As Show Of Defiance

March 20, 2023March 22, 2023

The Swiss Killed The CoCos

March 20, 2023March 21, 2023

Book Closes On Credit Suisse After 167 Years

March 19, 2023March 20, 2023

Most Read

  • Food, Bar Inflation Now Off The Charts In UK
    Food, Bar Inflation Now Off The Charts In UK
  • It's Not A Wage-Price Spiral. It's 'Greedflation'!
    It's Not A Wage-Price Spiral. It's 'Greedflation'!
  • Some Additional Hikes. Maybe.
    Some Additional Hikes. Maybe.
  • Ambiguous New Home Sales Suggests Prices Firmed After Drop
    Ambiguous New Home Sales Suggests Prices Firmed After Drop
  • TikTok CEO Says Xi Jinping Not Hiding In App
    TikTok CEO Says Xi Jinping Not Hiding In App

Recent Comments

  • Tommy Shelby on It’s Not A Wage-Price Spiral. It’s ‘Greedflation’!
  • Eddie Z on It’s Not A Wage-Price Spiral. It’s ‘Greedflation’!
  • John Liu on Households Could Sell Up To $1.1 Trillion In Stocks: Goldman
  • justmyopinion on It’s Not A Wage-Price Spiral. It’s ‘Greedflation’!
  • John Liu on TikTok CEO Says Xi Jinping Not Hiding In App

Monthly Letters

Lost At Sea

March 11, 2023March 11, 2023

Exiles On Main Street

February 4, 2023March 11, 2023

That’s Great, It Starts With An Earthquake

January 22, 2023February 4, 2023

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