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Featured

Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?

September 22, 2026
  • WTF: Buyer’s Market, Higher Prices?

    September 22, 2026
  • ‘Do I Annihilate Iran, Drive Them Into Hell?’ Nobel Hopeful Asks

    September 22, 2026
  • ‘Let The Oil Flow!’ Again!

    September 22, 2026September 22, 2026

Markets

There’s A Lot Riding On The Chips…

September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Erstwhile Bear Confident In Year-End Stock Rally

    September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Wall Street’s Fata Morgana Risk

    September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • What Happens To Stocks If Treasury Yields Go To 6%?

    September 20, 2026September 21, 2026
  • ‘The House’ Humiliated As Yen Plunges

    September 18, 2026September 20, 2026

economy

The Fed’s Never Been This Sure About The Jobs Market

September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Weekly: The Counterfactual

    September 18, 2026September 20, 2026
  • A Mixed Read On A Grim Housing Market

    September 17, 2026September 19, 2026
  • Below 200k. Again.

    September 17, 2026September 18, 2026
  • Warsh Fed Hikes, Thank God

    September 16, 2026September 17, 2026

Geopolitics

A King In Washington

September 20, 2026September 21, 2026

Achtung Baby

September 20, 2026September 21, 2026

The ‘Real-World’ Energy Shock’s Finally Here

September 19, 2026September 21, 2026

Duly Noted

Who’s Coming To Nashville?

September 19, 2026September 20, 2026

Builder Sentiment Crumbles As US Mortgage Rates Soar

September 16, 2026September 17, 2026

Warren Buffett Has Enough Cash To Buy Every Share Of Stock Held By Black America

August 29, 2024August 29, 2024

Warren Buffett was in the news this week for the only reason Warren Buffett’s ever

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1 Comment on Warren Buffett Has Enough Cash To Buy Every Share Of Stock Held By Black America

The Profits Are Fine

August 29, 2024August 31, 2024

Earlier this week, I suggested US equities would have a hard time rising without Nvidia.

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9 Comments on The Profits Are Fine

Did US Housing Just Reach A Tipping Point?

August 29, 2024August 30, 2024

Even if I were inclined to positive spin — and I’m obviously not — I’d

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1 Comment on Did US Housing Just Reach A Tipping Point?

Poor People Cited As Dollar General Plunges Most Ever

August 29, 2024August 30, 2024

Poor people get blamed a lot for a lot in America. Including for their own

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13 Comments on Poor People Cited As Dollar General Plunges Most Ever

Have Jobs, Will Spend

August 29, 2024August 30, 2024

If you came into Thursday’s US economic data looking for evidence of additional labor market

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3 Comments on Have Jobs, Will Spend

Nvidia Beats, But Huang’s Revolution Faces Impossibly High Bar

August 28, 2024August 29, 2024

“Hopper demand remains strong, and the anticipation for Blackwell is incredible,” Jensen Huang beamed, rhapsodizing

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7 Comments on Nvidia Beats, But Huang’s Revolution Faces Impossibly High Bar

Big Numbers, Hard Landings

August 28, 2024August 29, 2024

Big numbers. (“Loud noises!”) Market participants were focused on big numbers ahead of… well, ahead

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US Home Down Payments Soar To Record. Mortgage Rates Fall Again

August 28, 2024August 29, 2024

Mortgages. Get ’em while they’re hot. Err, “cheap.” Financing costs for half-million dollar human self-storage

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3 Comments on US Home Down Payments Soar To Record. Mortgage Rates Fall Again

Israel Launches Massive West Bank Operation

August 28, 2024August 29, 2024

The Israeli military’s in “the first stages” of a sweeping operation in the West Bank,

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3 Comments on Israel Launches Massive West Bank Operation

Melt-Up Tickets

August 27, 2024August 27, 2024

It’s perilous to say anything about directionality for equities index when the only stock that

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Stocks To Get $43 Billion Of Support Over The Next Week. If They Behave

August 27, 2024August 28, 2024

Interest in systematic flows — and specifically the effort to anticipate and quantify their impact

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4 Comments on Stocks To Get $43 Billion Of Support Over The Next Week. If They Behave

‘Mixed Feelings’

August 27, 2024August 28, 2024

American consumers harbor “mixed feelings.” On one hand, they live in the US as opposed

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4 Comments on ‘Mixed Feelings’

US Home Prices Climb Further With 86% Of Mortgages Still Handcuffed

August 27, 2024August 28, 2024

US home prices are still rising. “Breaking news,” I know. If you don’t own one

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22 Comments on US Home Prices Climb Further With 8622 Of Mortgages Still Handcuffed

$55 Billion Stock Crash Underscores China’s ‘Inevitable’ Date With Deflation

August 27, 2024August 28, 2024

Earlier this month, PDD founder Colin Huang usurped water baron Zhong Shanshan atop the list

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5 Comments on $55 Billion Stock Crash Underscores China’s ‘Inevitable’ Date With Deflation

Checking The Mechanics

August 26, 2024August 26, 2024

The earliest of this week’s trade on Wall Street was a bit difficult to parse,

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1 Comment on Checking The Mechanics

FOMO, Nvidia And ‘All-Time High Watch’

August 26, 2024August 27, 2024

Goldman’s Scott Rubner is “back on all-time high watch.” Writing Monday at the beginning of

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3 Comments on FOMO, Nvidia And ‘All-Time High Watch’

Powell’s ‘Tetonic’ Shift And How To Make 50% In Six Days

August 26, 2024August 27, 2024

I hesitate to say anything that might be construed as even remotely predictive vis-à-vis markets

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Leave a Comment on Powell’s ‘Tetonic’ Shift And How To Make 50% In Six Days

Can High Rates Stoke Inflation? Ask $3 Trillion

August 26, 2024August 27, 2024

Somehow, it’s still controversial to suggest that rate hikes, and particularly the persistence of Fed

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5 Comments on Can High Rates Stoke Inflation? Ask $3 Trillion

Gold’s Trying To Tell Us Something

August 25, 2024

Gold’s trying to tell us something. As you might’ve noticed, bullion hit records above $2,500

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Bloody Inanity

August 25, 2024August 26, 2024

Israel and Hezbollah have reached the point of sheer, blatant inanity. On Sunday, the IDF

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6 Comments on Bloody Inanity

Inflation Updates Eyed In Post-Jackson Hole Trade

August 25, 2024August 27, 2024

It’s the week before Labor Day, which means trader participation and conviction will be limited

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1 Comment on Inflation Updates Eyed In Post-Jackson Hole Trade

Capitalist Suicide Cult

August 24, 2024August 26, 2024

We — card-carrying members of a suicide cult called “capitalism” — tell ourselves a fantastical

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29 Comments on Capitalist Suicide Cult

Global Stock Funds Run Inflow Streak To 18 Amid Rally

August 23, 2024August 30, 2024

If you’re curious — and I know you were! — global equity funds just enjoyed

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Leave a Comment on Global Stock Funds Run Inflow Streak To 18 Amid Rally

Rate Cuts Are Coming

August 23, 2024August 26, 2024

Jerome Powell’s keynote address in Jackson Hole was overtly — unequivocally, deliberately — dovish. No

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3 Comments on Rate Cuts Are Coming

Powell Emphatically Dovish: Fed Now Focused On Protecting Labor Market

August 23, 2024August 25, 2024

“The time has come for policy to adjust,” Jerome Powell said Friday, during a hotly-anticipated

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4 Comments on Powell Emphatically Dovish: Fed Now Focused On Protecting Labor Market

Big Box Sales Boom

August 23, 2024August 25, 2024

Sales of newly-constructed, cookie cutter, Hardie board boxes rose sharply in America last month, volatile

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4 Comments on Big Box Sales Boom

Rate Cut Parties, CRE Slow-Burns And Recession Canaries

August 23, 2024August 24, 2024

The Fed’s “loath to impose” reality on liquidity takers. So said BofA’s Jared Woodard, channeling

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4 Comments on Rate Cut Parties, CRE Slow-Burns And Recession Canaries

Posts pagination

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

  • derek on Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?
  • Average Joe on Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?
  • T-Dog on Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?
  • derek on Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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