Equities stumbled a bit in recent days and Wall Street was on track to notch its first weekly decline in seven. Blame pre-election jitters in the US, lingering trepidation about the Chinese economy and a fairly sharp rise in Treasury yields.
Despite the anxiety, folks were still buying stocks. On net, anyway.
Global stock funds took in $4 billion over the latest weekly reporting period, according to EPFR. That was the smallest weekly inflow since a redemption early last month.
The four-week rolling pace slipped to $70 billion. As the updated figure above makes clear, outflows are a rarity in 2024.
For the year as a whole, global equity funds have seen $521 billion of inflows. The breakdown’s $846 billion to ETFs and $324 billion from mutual funds.
This week’s inflow came courtesy of US-focused funds, which took in more than $6 billion. Recall that last week saw the fourth-largest inflow of the year, a $23 billion haul.
YTD, US funds are approaching $300 billion of inflows.
The most notable takeaway from this week’s flows data was a second consecutive exodus from Chinese shares. China-focused products lost $6.7 billion. That comes atop a $4 billion outflow the prior week.
Of course, Chinese equities saw record buying earlier this month on stimulus bets. Between last week and this week, a fourth of the mammoth $40 billion one-week buying spree witnessed at the beginning of October has cashed out.
As the figure above, from BofA, shows, the apparent profit-taking constituted the largest one-week outflow from Chinese shares since the bubble burst in the summer of 2015.
Those redemptions, in turn, were behind a $7.2 billion outflow from emerging market-focused funds as a cohort. It was the largest one-week selling impulse since April of 2020, when the world was ending.
Elsewhere on the flows front, money market funds continued to rake it in. This is such a broken record that it hardly bears mentioning. ICI’s data showed another $40 billion of inflows to US MMFs, pushing total AUM above $6.5 trillion (see the figure below).
To some strategists, that looks like “dry powder” — a source of funds for a year-end equity melt-up. Others have suggested it’ll be a while — nine months or so following the first Fed cut if past is precedent — before that cash starts to find its way into riskier assets.
In the meantime, that mountain of money sure is generating a lot of monthly interest income. $6.5 trillion is still earning some of the highest USD cash rates in decades.
I continue to believe that income stream goes a long was towards explaining why the best US companies and the richest US households remain big spenders nearly three years on from the most aggressive Fed-hiking campaign in a generation. If some of that spending is part and parcel of still-elevated services inflation, then high rates are paradoxically a source of upside consumer price risk.






Agreed on the paradox. Too bad there’s only one hammer for the independent body of bureaucrats…
High rates bad for residential real estate and auto sales/consumption. Sorry not stimulating consumption on net.