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Featured

Buy The Dip? (Honeypot Training)

November 9, 2026November 9, 2026
  • What Are Treasurys Telling Us?

    November 9, 2026November 9, 2026
  • Megaspeed Indeed. (Two Huangs Don’t Make A Right)

    November 9, 2026November 9, 2026
  • Jensen Got Honey-Trapped

    November 8, 2026November 8, 2026

Markets

Weekly: Melodrama

November 7, 2026November 9, 2026
  • ‘Dem Fatale’ Crashes The AI Party

    November 6, 2026November 8, 2026
  • On Wall Street: Crash And F’in’ Burn

    November 5, 2026November 7, 2026
  • Did Democrats Just Kill ‘New 60/40’?

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Um, Excuse Me, But Your Chips Are Bleeding

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026

economy

Inflation Week!

November 8, 2026November 9, 2026
  • Inflation Fatalism Has Set In

    November 6, 2026November 8, 2026
  • Drunken Monkey Darts

    November 6, 2026November 8, 2026
  • ‘Tis The Season! For Temporary Fulfillment Jobs

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Senseless Iran War Triggers BoE Hike, 5% Inflation Warning

    November 5, 2026November 5, 2026

Geopolitics

Rasputin Presiding

November 8, 2026November 9, 2026

Tsunami

November 4, 2026November 5, 2026

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026

Duly Noted

US Jobless Claims Chase History

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026

Tech Got No Love This Earnings Season

November 3, 2026November 8, 2026

‘If It Weren’t So Ignorant, One Could Mourn This Collapse Of Dignity’

August 14, 2017

“They have begun to do things they clearly don’t really want to be doing, and, to do so, they are (1) abandoning their sense of human dignity and (2) risking the appearance of cowardice.”

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2 Comments on ‘If It Weren’t So Ignorant, One Could Mourn This Collapse Of Dignity’

Mr. Woo And The Chickens: ‘It’s Not Too Late To Hedge’

August 14, 2017August 14, 2017

“… it is reasonable to think the repricing has not run its course.”

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1 Comment on Mr. Woo And The Chickens: ‘It’s Not Too Late To Hedge’

48 Hours Later, Trump Finally Denounces White Supremacists

August 14, 2017

Ultimately though, we’ll just repeat what we said above: it’s never “too late” to denounce white supremacists, so at least give him that even if you think he’s full of shit.

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2 Comments on 48 Hours Later, Trump Finally Denounces White Supremacists

GoDaddy Shuts Down The Daily Stormer After Heinous Charlottesville Post

August 14, 2017August 14, 2017

Good riddance.

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5 Comments on GoDaddy Shuts Down The Daily Stormer After Heinous Charlottesville Post

One Bank Thinks You’re Not Excited Enough About Bad Data

August 14, 2017

#MBNGA

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Leave a Comment on One Bank Thinks You’re Not Excited Enough About Bad Data

Long Live The Cow! Goldman Says BTFD Is Safe Despite Crazy Ass VVIX

August 14, 2017August 14, 2017

“But the ratio of the VVIX to VIX reached its highest level in history last week, suggesting that, although vol has remained relatively anchored (Exhibit 28), markets are already significantly pricing the more latent risk that the volatility regime shifts.” 

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Leave a Comment on Long Live The Cow! Goldman Says BTFD Is Safe Despite Crazy Ass VVIX

JPMorgan: VIX Could Unwind Further, US Stocks Are ‘Outright Expensive’

August 14, 2017

“We continue to see the risk-reward for equities as unattractive, given that complacency seen in VIX and in HY spreads could unwind further.”

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Trump Can’t Believe Merck CEO Is Mad About That Whole Nazi Thing

August 14, 2017August 14, 2017

Just let that sink in. The CEO of a giant corporation just had to resign from a Presidential council on manufacturing because the President won’t come out and say that he doesn’t want the support of the KKK. 

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2 Comments on Trump Can’t Believe Merck CEO Is Mad About That Whole Nazi Thing

Professor Who Was Threatened With Rape For Trump Criticism Calls Bullsh*t

August 14, 2017

“Within hours, invective filled my inbox. I received emails that promised I would be lynched, shot and raped, and Princeton’s department of African-American studies, of which I am a member, was so flooded with hate that the locks on the doors had to be changed.”

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1 Comment on Professor Who Was Threatened With Rape For Trump Criticism Calls Bullsh*t

If This Is ‘Risk-Off’, What Are You Going To Call A Real Correction?!

August 14, 2017

“Or at least, you may want to give some thought about what you would do when there is a proper setback – maybe call that ‘risk- offest?'”

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Leave a Comment on If This Is ‘Risk-Off’, What Are You Going To Call A Real Correction?!

You Will Listen While I Talk About That Data From Japan And China

August 14, 2017August 14, 2017

Draw your own conclusions.

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1 Comment on You Will Listen While I Talk About That Data From Japan And China

Babbling In The Face Of Tragedy

August 14, 2017

“Not every president does this equally well. But none have been incapable. Until Donald Trump.”

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Key Calls (Monday): Upgrades, Downgrades & Initiations

August 14, 2017August 14, 2017

You need an upgrade.

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‘Playing With Fire’ – Full Week Ahead Preview

August 13, 2017August 14, 2017

“Deterrence counts on the rationality of the opponents. The build-up of mutual threats and the shows of force in the past weeks have unsettled markets, with risk assets and high-beta currencies underperforming, and it is likely to continue.”

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4 Comments on ‘Playing With Fire’ – Full Week Ahead Preview

Larry Summers: The Fed’s Good Luck Is Likely To Run Out

August 13, 2017

“I suspect the Fed’s job will be much more difficult over the next few years. Economics, finance and politics will all throw up new challenges that will probably demand creative and unorthodox responses.”

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4 Comments on Larry Summers: The Fed’s Good Luck Is Likely To Run Out

Beeeeeep. I’m Not Sure This Is A Great Idea…

August 13, 2017

The rather glaring question is what the hell happens in the event exogenous shocks conspire to upset the apple cart?

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1 Comment on Beeeeeep. I’m Not Sure This Is A Great Idea…

Trump To Fire Steve Bannon Barring ‘A Miracle’: Gasparino

August 13, 2017

And oh the irony. Steve will now be the sacrificial lamb that allows Trump to avoid criticizing the very people Bannon represents.

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2 Comments on Trump To Fire Steve Bannon Barring ‘A Miracle’: Gasparino

Testing The Sacred Cow

August 13, 2017

“This time is different” is famously one of the most expensive phrases in finance, but perhaps this time really is different.”

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5 Comments on Testing The Sacred Cow

The Arborist

August 13, 2017

“Left to its own devices your portfolio will grow wildly — not to structural ruin, but to structural inefficiency.”

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9 Comments on The Arborist

Is This The Photo That Will Define The Trump Era?

August 13, 2017

“The picture is a visual expression of simply how strange America feels right now.”

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1 Comment on Is This The Photo That Will Define The Trump Era?

Video: Charlottesville Mayor Says Trump Responsible For Deadly Nazi Rally

August 13, 2017August 13, 2017

“Look at the campaign he ran.”

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3 Comments on Video: Charlottesville Mayor Says Trump Responsible For Deadly Nazi Rally

The Trump Trade Is Dead – But Long Live War

August 13, 2017

So you know, he’s got that going for him…

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2 Comments on The Trump Trade Is Dead – But Long Live War

Ivanka Trump Thinks Maybe Murderous Nazi Rallies Are Bad After All

August 13, 2017

Listen, here’s the thing: Donald Trump is going down with the white supremacist ship and

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4 Comments on Ivanka Trump Thinks Maybe Murderous Nazi Rallies Are Bad After All

Asleep At The Wheel: U.S. Shorts Miss Big Trouble In Little China

August 13, 2017

“But the fun may not be over yet”…

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1 Comment on Asleep At The Wheel: U.S. Shorts Miss Big Trouble In Little China

There Was A Nazi Rally In Charlottesville. Today. In America. In 2017.

August 12, 2017August 12, 2017

Complete with torches, swastikas, KKK members, and of course, Trump supporters.

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15 Comments on There Was A Nazi Rally In Charlottesville. Today. In America. In 2017.

Compare And Contrast: Charlottesville Response Edition

August 12, 2017August 12, 2017

For the umpteenth time on Saturday, we ask: “any questions, America?”

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3 Comments on Compare And Contrast: Charlottesville Response Edition

A Stunned CNN Reacts To Trump’s Bizarre Charlottesville Statement

August 12, 2017

“It’s hard to imagine a less presidential statement in a time in which the country looks to its elected leader to stand up against intolerance and hatred.”

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3 Comments on A Stunned CNN Reacts To Trump’s Bizarre Charlottesville Statement

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

  • therealheisenberg on Weekly: Melodrama
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  • John L on Buy The Dip? (Honeypot Training)
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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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