Contract Signings Limp Higher As US Housing Payments Hit New Record
If you’re the glass half-full type, you might say contract activity in America’s tortured housing
More ‘Correction Reflections’
If you’re immersed in the market narrative — and you are, otherwise you wouldn’t be
Tax The Cars!
Damn you “Tariff Man!” I’m laughing. It’s not funny, but then again it really is.
Trade Reciprocity Would Be ‘Very Tough For People’
“I’ll probably be more lenient than reciprocal,” Donald Trump said, during an interview with Newsmax.
S&P Could Crash 30% In Tariff Worst-Case, One Bank Warns
Count Barclays among major banks concerned about the read-through for equities of tariff uncertainty and
Bank Of England Still Has A Services Inflation Problem
Good news, albeit news no one cares about. Sorry, that’s insensitive. People in the UK
Are Record Stock Allocations A Canary?
Are elevated household stock “allocations” a canary? I put “allocations” in scare quotes because there’s
Affordability Bedevils US Housing As GenZ, Millennials Struggle
New home sales rose less than expected in the US last month, a so-so read
Americans’ Outlook For US Economy Plunges To 12-Year Low
Bad news: Consumer confidence in America deteriorated more than expected in March, according to Tuesday’s
April’s Fools
Whose put’s struck lower? Jerome Powell’s or Donald Trump’s? Opinions vary. Last week, JPMorgan wrote
‘Currently Clean On OPSEC’
On Monday, the Trump administration stumbled into a truly unfortunate PR debacle described by some
Bear Market In Melt-Up Bets Points To Rally Pain Trade
What’s the “pain trade” in US assets going forward? If you read “The ‘Less-Bad’ Thesis
The ‘Less-Bad’ Thesis For Stocks Ahead Of ‘Liberation Day’
Could “Liberation Day” be a buy-the-news event for equities? If you know markets, you’re aware
Petitio Principii: GOP Goes ‘Nihilistic’ To Extend Trump Tax Cuts
When it comes to the myriad, glaring absurdities hiding in plain sight amongst the grotesque
US Services Activity Recovered This Month. The Good News Stops There
There was incrementally positive news on the US macro front Monday, when preliminary PMI readouts
‘Trump Put’ May Be Struck As Low As SPX 5200
Investors bought the dip in US equities to the tune of $34 billion, but maybe
‘Transitory’ Is The New Transitory
There’s a fair amount on offer this week in the US macrosphere, including what’ll probably
Liberation!
In the days ahead, traders and investors will gear up for “Liberation Day.” Never heard
Autocracy Now
[Editor’s note: The domestic political situation in America is spiraling. This is, I think, an
Killing The Golden Goose
From a near-term, domestic economic perspective, the riskiest aspect of Donald Trump’s agenda is the
Stock ETFs Deluged By $57 Billion Dip-Buying Tsunami
Did you buy the dip? Some folks did. I don’t love “analyzing” flows data anywhere
Global Stocks Haven’t Been This Out Of Sync Since The 1990s
Not since the 1990s have regional equities diverged to the extent they have today. That
History Suggests S&P On Bear Market Trajectory
2025’s early-year stock correction on Wall Street will go down as one of the quickest
JPMorgan Says US Stock Valuations ‘Structurally Higher’
US stocks are expensive. Maybe you heard. Maybe you noticed. Maybe you bought them anyway.
US Home Sales Rebound. Price Gains Offset Stock Losses For America’s Rich
Surprise, surprise: Existing US home sales defied expectations for another decline to post a solid
A Wary Bank Of England Holds Rates Amid ‘Intensified’ Uncertainty
The Bank of England kept rates on hold Thursday as expected. The vote split was
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