Guest Post: Romance Is For Losers
“This is what trading is all about. We are constantly battling what we want to do, and what we should do. Even those who understand the game exceptionally well, are constantly battling their own inner demons.”
Speculators Beware, China Just Made Things “Harder Still”
“At such times, FX intervention will become necessary to close the gap between the market price and the fixing.”
Trader: We Are Living In A World Of “Consciously Derived Bubbles”
“Where did the feel-good vibe of equities making new highs every day and we’re all getting rich go?”
Turkey Bans Singing After Dark As US Investors Dump Most Turkish Stocks Since September
Turkish President — and man who thinks democracy is really, really fucking overrated — Recep Tayyip Erdoğan has heard all the folk song Karaoke that he cares to hear, which is why on Friday, he banned singing.
Because Nothing Says “Bullish” Like Nuclear War…
South Korea’s KOSPI index rose for a sixth day to yet another record as inflows accelerated on
Your “Unreal, Irrational, Herd Actions” Were Pissing China Off – But They “Fixed” It
Well, this was pretty easy to see coming. When Moody’s downgraded China for the first time
Key Calls (Friday): Upgrades, Downgrades & Initiations
Are your stocks on the list?
Volatility Has Collapsed Across Assets. One Bank Asks “Now What”?
Volatility has become the market’s perpetual topic du jour (does it make sense to use “perpetual” and “du
Guest Post: Populism, Pornography, And The Nostalgia Of Greatness
“Everything is explicit, but the plot cannot be taken seriously.”
Oil Just Had A “Sell The News” Moment. Here’s What Goldman Thinks…
“How can OPEC avoid this boom-bust cycle and achieve both fiscal stability and rising revenue through oil market share gains?”
Video: Trump Slap-Shoves Montenegro PM, Adjusts Coat, Puts On Best Mussolini Face
“Trump forcefully slapped a hand on the shoulder of Montenegro Prime Minister Dusko Markovic, pushed him aside, and barreled his way through to the front of the group. Satisfied, Trump raised his chin, adjusted his jacket and surveyed the crowd before him.”
Strategist: Go To The Party But For God’s Sake, “Know Where The Nearest Exit Is”
“There’s certainly no guarantee that the party stops any time soon. Maybe I am just a grumpy macro man, but even when attending the party, I am going to make sure I know where the nearest exits are located.”
Jeff Gundlach Is Absolutely Sure There’s More To Do In Buffalo Than “Jerk Off”
“Going out on a limb here”…
Guest Post: China Downgrade – Buy The News?
“I know it’s not what the cool kids are doing, but count me in the camp that believes this is not the start of the China unraveling, and if anything, the decline offers a decent buying opportunity.”
This Has Only Happened 3 Times Since 1984
“…history would suggest markets are likely to perform poorly.”
Trader: This Market Needs A Healthy Dose Of “Blunt-Force Trauma”
“The errors weren’t policy mistakes from the Fed or BOE, but from investment banks-turned-hedge funds that refused to listen to what they were being told and fought the tightening cycle every step of the way.”
“Investors Have Been Lulled To Sleep”: BofAML Deep-Sixes The Recovery Myth
“The S&P 500 is at near record levels despite the fact that EPS hasn’t really changed in 3 years. So which economy is going to show up later this year and in 2018? We think the jury is still out.”
“Unexplained, High-Volume Drops,” Yuan Shenanigans, And A Cartel Meeting
Well, things have been “choppy” overnight and especially around the flood of OPEC headlines that
OPEC Agrees To 9-Month Extension Of Cuts, Market Shrugs
The OPEC headlines started coming in hot and heavy around 4:30 a.m. EST and it
Key Calls (Thursday): Upgrades, Downgrades & Initiations
Are your stocks on the list?
Guest Post: Trump In Wonderland
“They are incapable of creating a deception when they need it – the conceptual difference between a deception and a lie seems to elude them — so they lie instead, and when they are called on a lie, they lie more and blame facts, which further undermines their credibility until there is none left. As a result, after less than a month in office, Trump had to declare war on facts and pronounce the press the enemy of the people.”
Revisiting The “Tokyo Whale”
“We assume the BoJ’s current ETF holdings stand around Â¥15.7tn ($144bn), i.e. approximately 75% of the total assets in Japanese equity ETFs.”
Wednesday Satire: Pope Calls Trump A Fat Ass, Other Countries Cancel Visits
“We don’t see why we should be speaking to Donald Trump when even Melania isn’t doing that.”
Fed Minutes: “Soon” Or “Soon”-ish
“Most participants judged that if economic information came in about in line with their expectations, it would soon be appropriate for the Committee to take another step in removing some policy accommodation. A number of participants pointed out that clarification of prospective fiscal and other policy changes would remove one source of uncertainty for the economic outlook.”
Don’t Forget That Iron Ore Crashed Last Night…
So last night Moody’s downgraded China for the first time since 1989. China was pissed.
The Ugly Truth About ETFs Is Revealed (In A Footnote)
“[This assumes] the ETF secondary market remains balanced between buyers and sellers. this higher liquidity profile of ETF assumes secondary market liquidity does not disappear, which may be the case in theory during a sell-off or a one-way market. In these instances, the client (sale) order execution would require tapping underlying market liquidity. ETF liquidity would then just be the same as that of the underlying assets. If these underlying exposures are not liquid, ETFs would be not liquid either.”
Goldman Pukes All Over Trump Budget; Clinton Calls It “Unimaginably Cruel”
“In general, the President’s Budget is a political document more than a working fiscal proposal.”
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