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Featured

Weekly: Melodrama

November 7, 2026November 7, 2026
  • ‘Dem Fatale’ Crashes The AI Party

    November 6, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Inflation Fatalism Has Set In

    November 6, 2026
  • Drunken Monkey Darts

    November 6, 2026November 6, 2026

Markets

On Wall Street: Crash And F’in’ Burn

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026
  • Did Democrats Just Kill ‘New 60/40’?

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Um, Excuse Me, But Your Chips Are Bleeding

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Deus Ex Machina?

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • The Capex Catch-22

    November 3, 2026November 4, 2026

economy

‘Tis The Season! For Temporary Fulfillment Jobs

November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Senseless Iran War Triggers BoE Hike, 5% Inflation Warning

    November 5, 2026November 5, 2026
  • Irrepressible

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • In Other News: Scorching ‘Job Changer’ Pay Gains, AI Disruption

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • Someone’s Got Work For You

    November 3, 2026November 4, 2026

Geopolitics

Tsunami

November 4, 2026November 5, 2026

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

Duly Noted

US Jobless Claims Chase History

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Nomura’s McElligott Outlines The Gap Higher ‘Force-In’ As Risk ‘Foams At The Mouth’

January 9, 2019January 9, 2019

Don’t fade the risk rally just yet.

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oil1 Comment on Nomura’s McElligott Outlines The Gap Higher ‘Force-In’ As Risk ‘Foams At The Mouth’

December Minutes Betray A ‘Patient’ Fed That May Hold Off On More Hikes

January 9, 2019January 9, 2019

Patience is a virtue.

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4 Comments on December Minutes Betray A ‘Patient’ Fed That May Hold Off On More Hikes

US Releases Official Nothingburger Statement On China Trade Talks

January 9, 2019

If Trump wants to rescue markets, he’s going to have to do better than this.

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1 Comment on US Releases Official Nothingburger Statement On China Trade Talks

Rod Rosenstein All Set To Leave America At The Mercy Of Trump And William Barr

January 9, 2019January 9, 2019

Rod Rosenstein has had enough, and you can hardly blame him.

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2 Comments on Rod Rosenstein All Set To Leave America At The Mercy Of Trump And William Barr

‘V’ Is For ‘V-Shaped’

January 9, 2019January 9, 2019

Waiting on “a message”.

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6 Comments on ‘V’ Is For ‘V-Shaped’

Irony: Trump, Fearing Stock Selloff, Anxious To Strike Quick Trade Deal With China

January 8, 2019October 24, 2021

Poetic justice.

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7 Comments on Irony: Trump, Fearing Stock Selloff, Anxious To Strike Quick Trade Deal With China

Jeff Gundlach Talks ‘Horrific Situations’, ‘Relativistic’ Opportunities, Bitcoin In Annual Webcast

January 8, 2019October 24, 2021

Here we go.

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4 Comments on Jeff Gundlach Talks ‘Horrific Situations’, ‘Relativistic’ Opportunities, Bitcoin In Annual Webcast

It Is ‘Impossible’ For Turkey’s Erdogan To ‘Swallow’ John Bolton’s ‘Grave Mistake’, Ok?!

January 8, 2019January 8, 2019

If you’re wondering how the ill-conceived Syria pullout is going, ask John Bolton.

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3 Comments on It Is ‘Impossible’ For Turkey’s Erdogan To ‘Swallow’ John Bolton’s ‘Grave Mistake’, Ok?!

Analyst Who Called Tech Selloff Says ‘Rolling Bear Market Is Complete’, But No All-Clear Just Yet

January 8, 2019January 8, 2019

Remember: none of the above is in any way, shape or form “influenced” by Mike’s self-professed “Chicago Bears fanaticism”.

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4 Comments on Analyst Who Called Tech Selloff Says ‘Rolling Bear Market Is Complete’, But No All-Clear Just Yet

Goldman Slashes Global Bond Yield Forecasts On Stormy Growth Outlook – Now Cue The Cynics

January 8, 2019

“We believe 10y yields may have peaked for this cycle.”

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Leave a Comment on Goldman Slashes Global Bond Yield Forecasts On Stormy Growth Outlook – Now Cue The Cynics

What Does The Worst Slump In German Industry Since 2009 Have To Do With Samsung?

January 8, 2019January 8, 2019

Connect the dots, la, la, la.

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2 Comments on What Does The Worst Slump In German Industry Since 2009 Have To Do With Samsung?

Another Big Bank Cuts 2019 S&P Forecast, But It’s The December Postmortem That’s Really Interesting…

January 7, 2019January 8, 2019

Looking back and looking forward.

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2 Comments on Another Big Bank Cuts 2019 S&P Forecast, But It’s The December Postmortem That’s Really Interesting…

Who’s Still Hungry (For Risk)?

January 7, 2019

All in all, not a bad day.

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Leave a Comment on Who’s Still Hungry (For Risk)?

What Are Stocks And Other Assets Saying About The Odds Of A US Recession?

January 7, 2019

Remember: anything is better than Larry Kudlow’s “models”.

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4 Comments on What Are Stocks And Other Assets Saying About The Odds Of A US Recession?

‘Bending The Knee To Vigilante Markets’

January 7, 2019October 24, 2021

“Once again”…

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hedge funds2 Comments on ‘Bending The Knee To Vigilante Markets’

Salivating Masses Excited That ‘Infallible’ Bull & Bear Indicator Now Flashing ‘Buy’ Signal

January 7, 2019January 7, 2019

Calm down, it’s not the “Big Low”.

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Leave a Comment on Salivating Masses Excited That ‘Infallible’ Bull & Bear Indicator Now Flashing ‘Buy’ Signal

China’s Latest Attempt To Rescue Sentiment Falls Flat

January 7, 2019

We’re gonna need more than that.

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2 Comments on China’s Latest Attempt To Rescue Sentiment Falls Flat

‘Growth Decelerated Notably’: Goldman Slashes Metals Forecasts As China Jitters Proliferate

January 6, 2019January 6, 2019

It’s all about China data.

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2 Comments on ‘Growth Decelerated Notably’: Goldman Slashes Metals Forecasts As China Jitters Proliferate

Fed Doves, Trade Hawks And Steel Walls: Full Week Ahead Preview

January 6, 2019January 7, 2019

The new week is coming.

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7 Comments on Fed Doves, Trade Hawks And Steel Walls: Full Week Ahead Preview

As Trump’s Economic ‘Miracle’ Dies, Short Dollar Is En Vogue

January 6, 2019January 6, 2019

… I suppose the whole thing rests on who you want to fade.

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3 Comments on As Trump’s Economic ‘Miracle’ Dies, Short Dollar Is En Vogue

Behavioral Finance, ‘Certainty’ As An Investment Style And Other Key Themes For 2019

January 5, 2019

“Buzzwords” and buzzkills.

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4 Comments on Behavioral Finance, ‘Certainty’ As An Investment Style And Other Key Themes For 2019

Apple’s Guidance Cut Is Proof That Trump’s Trade War Is Coming Home

January 5, 2019October 24, 2021

“…we see it as part of a much part of a much broader picture.”

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7 Comments on Apple’s Guidance Cut Is Proof That Trump’s Trade War Is Coming Home

Amid The Volatility, Here’s The Latest From Marko Kolanovic, Goldman On Systematic Flows And Liquidity Provision

January 5, 2019January 6, 2019

The phenomenon is not only real, but in fact pervasive. There are, of course, caveats…

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14 Comments on Amid The Volatility, Here’s The Latest From Marko Kolanovic, Goldman On Systematic Flows And Liquidity Provision

Emergency Powers, Coyotes, And Women Tied Up In Vans: Highlights From Trump’s Shutdown Press Conference

January 4, 2019January 18, 2019

Just when you think it can’t possibly get any crazier…

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5 Comments on Emergency Powers, Coyotes, And Women Tied Up In Vans: Highlights From Trump’s Shutdown Press Conference

Nomura’s McElligott Explains Why Some Traders And PMs Are Set To Fade Jerome Powell

January 4, 2019January 4, 2019

“Desire to fade.”

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2 Comments on Nomura’s McElligott Explains Why Some Traders And PMs Are Set To Fade Jerome Powell

Jay Powell Figures It Out, Reiterates Flexible Policy, Draws 2016 Yellen Parallel, Says Trump Can’t Make Him Resign

January 4, 2019January 4, 2019

That’s better, Jay. A lot better.

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4 Comments on Jay Powell Figures It Out, Reiterates Flexible Policy, Draws 2016 Yellen Parallel, Says Trump Can’t Make Him Resign

Friday Tidbits: Mester Is Latest To Tip QT Tweak, Trump Blames Dems For Market Crash

January 4, 2019October 24, 2021

“Too much success!”

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2 Comments on Friday Tidbits: Mester Is Latest To Tip QT Tweak, Trump Blames Dems For Market Crash

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

  • Engineer on ‘Dem Fatale’ Crashes The AI Party
  • Engineer on ‘Dem Fatale’ Crashes The AI Party
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  • Engineer on ‘Dem Fatale’ Crashes The AI Party

Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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