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Featured

Weekly: Melodrama

November 7, 2026November 7, 2026
  • ‘Dem Fatale’ Crashes The AI Party

    November 6, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Inflation Fatalism Has Set In

    November 6, 2026
  • Drunken Monkey Darts

    November 6, 2026November 6, 2026

Markets

On Wall Street: Crash And F’in’ Burn

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026
  • Did Democrats Just Kill ‘New 60/40’?

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Um, Excuse Me, But Your Chips Are Bleeding

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Deus Ex Machina?

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • The Capex Catch-22

    November 3, 2026November 4, 2026

economy

‘Tis The Season! For Temporary Fulfillment Jobs

November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Senseless Iran War Triggers BoE Hike, 5% Inflation Warning

    November 5, 2026November 5, 2026
  • Irrepressible

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • In Other News: Scorching ‘Job Changer’ Pay Gains, AI Disruption

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • Someone’s Got Work For You

    November 3, 2026November 4, 2026

Geopolitics

Tsunami

November 4, 2026November 5, 2026

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

Duly Noted

US Jobless Claims Chase History

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Here’s The Blooper Reel From Trump’s Predictably Absurd China Trade Press Event

February 22, 2019February 23, 2019

“…the question is an interesting one.”

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5 Comments on Here’s The Blooper Reel From Trump’s Predictably Absurd China Trade Press Event

Cov-Lite Reality Check: An Update On The Leveraged Loan ‘Bubble’

February 22, 2019

Any takers on a leveraged loan story?

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1 Comment on Cov-Lite Reality Check: An Update On The Leveraged Loan ‘Bubble’

Congress Moves To Terminate Trump’s Emergency, Setting Stage For Veto, Twitter Meltdown, Name-Calling

February 22, 2019October 26, 2021

“Your all time favorite President” is going to lose his mind.

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3 Comments on Congress Moves To Terminate Trump’s Emergency, Setting Stage For Veto, Twitter Meltdown, Name-Calling

The Truth Behind Trump’s Absurd New Mexico Wall Video

February 22, 2019February 22, 2019

Spoiler alert: he’s lying.

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2 Comments on The Truth Behind Trump’s Absurd New Mexico Wall Video

As Trump Meets Liu He, Let’s Talk About That ‘Stable Yuan Pledge’ Again

February 22, 2019February 22, 2019

If you’re looking to point fingers at anyone for currency “manipulation”…

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1 Comment on As Trump Meets Liu He, Let’s Talk About That ‘Stable Yuan Pledge’ Again

Hedge Funds Made (Kinda, Sorta) Great Again Amid 2019 Market Rally

February 21, 2019

As bad as 2018 was for nearly all investors, last year was especially trying for equity hedge funds.

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hedge funds4 Comments on Hedge Funds Made (Kinda, Sorta) Great Again Amid 2019 Market Rally

Meanwhile, Still Lurking In The Background: The Debt Ceiling

February 21, 2019February 22, 2019

“Steven, no they won’t.”

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10 Comments on Meanwhile, Still Lurking In The Background: The Debt Ceiling

Oh, Good: ‘Global Recession’ Tops Worry List In Closely-Watched Credit Survey

February 21, 2019

Don’t worry, China will save us.

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1 Comment on Oh, Good: ‘Global Recession’ Tops Worry List In Closely-Watched Credit Survey

Different Day, Same Set Of Hopelessly Entangled Narratives

February 21, 2019February 21, 2019

Who can untangle this massive strand of Christmas lights?

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2 Comments on Different Day, Same Set Of Hopelessly Entangled Narratives

Albert Edwards Is Worried America Is ‘Gripped By An Epidemic Of Stoned Pedestrians Stepping Into Traffic’

February 21, 2019October 26, 2021

“…most surprising was the pungent smell of skunk that pervaded the streets almost everywhere.”

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2 Comments on Albert Edwards Is Worried America Is ‘Gripped By An Epidemic Of Stoned Pedestrians Stepping Into Traffic’

Deluge Of Unwelcome Data Virtually Screams ‘Synchronous Global Slowdown’

February 21, 2019February 21, 2019

Oh well, there’s always services…

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3 Comments on Deluge Of Unwelcome Data Virtually Screams ‘Synchronous Global Slowdown’

What Wall Street Thinks Of The January Fed Minutes

February 20, 2019

And so, an announcement in March is the base case.

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5 Comments on What Wall Street Thinks Of The January Fed Minutes

William Barr Will Have The Mueller Report ‘As Early As Next Week’ – Sharing Is Caring, Bill!

February 20, 2019February 21, 2019

All good “witch hunts” must come to an end.

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11 Comments on William Barr Will Have The Mueller Report ‘As Early As Next Week’ – Sharing Is Caring, Bill!

Fed Minutes Detail Case For Patience, Desire To End QT, December Selloff Discussion, Inflation Outlook

February 20, 2019February 20, 2019

“Almost all participants thought that it would be desirable to announce before too long a plan to stop reducing the Federal Reserve’s asset holdings later this year.”

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4 Comments on Fed Minutes Detail Case For Patience, Desire To End QT, December Selloff Discussion, Inflation Outlook

One Bank Channels Mike Tyson, Says ‘Everyone’s Got A Strategy, Until They Get Punched In The Face By QT’

February 20, 2019October 26, 2021

“…we should pay attention to this stuff.”

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1 Comment on One Bank Channels Mike Tyson, Says ‘Everyone’s Got A Strategy, Until They Get Punched In The Face By QT’

Eric Trump: Idea The Deutsche Bank Worried My Dad Might Default On $340 Million Of Loans While President Is ‘Complete Nonsense’

February 20, 2019February 20, 2019

Eric Trump, son of “genius”, doesn’t know much, but…

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2 Comments on Eric Trump: Idea The Deutsche Bank Worried My Dad Might Default On $340 Million Of Loans While President Is ‘Complete Nonsense’

From Japan, A Bleak Warning

February 20, 2019February 20, 2019

More problems.

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1 Comment on From Japan, A Bleak Warning

There’s No Way Trump Asked Matt Whitaker To Obstruct Justice Because That Would Be Totally Out Of Character

February 19, 2019February 20, 2019

Oh, boy Matt.

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4 Comments on There’s No Way Trump Asked Matt Whitaker To Obstruct Justice Because That Would Be Totally Out Of Character

As US Demands Yuan Stability In Trade Talks, Let’s Go Insane Again

February 19, 2019February 19, 2019

Back to the insanity loop.

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2 Comments on As US Demands Yuan Stability In Trade Talks, Let’s Go Insane Again

You Can Forget About Another Hike From Sweden

February 19, 2019

That slightly hawkish bent from last week is likely to disappear now.

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Leave a Comment on You Can Forget About Another Hike From Sweden

What To Expect In FX Land If China Starts Loading Up On US Goods

February 19, 2019

This is somewhat self-evident, but worth mentioning nonetheless.

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Leave a Comment on What To Expect In FX Land If China Starts Loading Up On US Goods

Just As He ‘Predicted’, 16 ‘Cities’ Sue Trump For His ‘Flagrant Disregard’ Of Just About Everything

February 19, 2019February 19, 2019

“Cities”, states, whatever.

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15 Comments on Just As He ‘Predicted’, 16 ‘Cities’ Sue Trump For His ‘Flagrant Disregard’ Of Just About Everything

From Frankfurt To Tokyo To Sydney, Doves On Parade

February 19, 2019February 19, 2019

Suffice to say the dovish pivot from global central banks appears to have wings

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2 Comments on From Frankfurt To Tokyo To Sydney, Doves On Parade

We Need To Learn To Speak Again

February 18, 2019February 19, 2019

“Why does it appear impossible to dispute obvious lies and falsehoods with simple and self-evident truths?”

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11 Comments on We Need To Learn To Speak Again

The ‘Cautiously Optimistic’ Take On Russia Sanctions

February 18, 2019February 18, 2019

If you were nervous, you probably sold before last week.

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2 Comments on The ‘Cautiously Optimistic’ Take On Russia Sanctions

Is America’s Debt Path Sustainable?

February 18, 2019February 18, 2019

And for what?

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25 Comments on Is America’s Debt Path Sustainable?

Seeing Red And The Indefinite Suppression Of Rates Volatility

February 18, 2019

“…it is difficult to build a case for owning rates volatility over any horizon.”

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1 Comment on Seeing Red And The Indefinite Suppression Of Rates Volatility

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

  • Engineer on ‘Dem Fatale’ Crashes The AI Party
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  • Engineer on ‘Dem Fatale’ Crashes The AI Party

Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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