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Featured

Have The Hyper-Scalers Lost Their Minds?

November 2, 2026November 2, 2026
  • Debbie Downers Amid The Renaissance

    November 2, 2026November 2, 2026
  • Sell-Side Sarcasm: New And Improved!

    November 2, 2026November 2, 2026
  • Let’s Talk Blue Waves

    November 1, 2026November 1, 2026

Markets

Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)

October 31, 2026November 2, 2026
  • The Problem, In A Nutshell…

    October 30, 2026November 2, 2026
  • What’s What And WTF?

    October 30, 2026November 1, 2026
  • Oil, Dammit!

    October 30, 2026November 1, 2026
  • My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money

    October 29, 2026October 31, 2026

economy

Polls, Projectiles And Payrolls

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026
  • ‘Remains Elevated’

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Dissembling Strategery

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

Geopolitics

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Duly Noted

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Meanwhile, In Turkey…

February 3, 2020February 3, 2020

Inflation jump drives real rates further into negative territory, while Erdogan “neutralizes” nearly three-dozen of Assad’s troops.

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Sorry Mr. Trump, But China Is Going To Need Some ‘Leniency’ On All That Stuff They Promised To Buy

February 3, 2020February 3, 2020

It’s a “disaster”. And an “unforeseeable event”.

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oil4 Comments on Sorry Mr. Trump, But China Is Going To Need Some ‘Leniency’ On All That Stuff They Promised To Buy

ISM Manufacturing Jumps Back Into Expansion For First Time Since July

February 3, 2020

…no matter how fleeting the bounce may prove.

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Nomura’s McElligott: Gamma Impulse Again Concurrent With SPX Move, Markets ‘Stable’ But Iowa Risk Looms

February 3, 2020February 3, 2020

Let’s keep things “edgy”, shall we?

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Hong Kong’s Economy Shrank 2.9% On Year In Q4. And That Counts As ‘Good’ News These Days

February 3, 2020

It is, in a word, unfortunate.

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As Yuan Short Calls Grow, Will Coronavirus Infect US-China Trade Deal?

February 3, 2020February 3, 2020

The trade talks and the epidemic could soon become entangled, just as national security and trade became inextricably bound up last year. 

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1 Comment on As Yuan Short Calls Grow, Will Coronavirus Infect US-China Trade Deal?

After Stock Plunge, China Accuses Trump Administration Of Acting ‘Inappropriately’ In Virus Fight

February 3, 2020February 3, 2020

“… some countries, the US in particular, have inappropriately overreacted, which certainly runs counter to WHO advice”.

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1 Comment on After Stock Plunge, China Accuses Trump Administration Of Acting ‘Inappropriately’ In Virus Fight

China Delivers Larger-Than-Expected Repo Rate Cut, Says Industrial Profits Fell 6.3% In December

February 2, 2020February 2, 2020

Pardon the central bank cliché.

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Chinese Markets Plunge In Dramatic Reopening After Holiday: The Visuals

February 2, 2020February 3, 2020

“Too late to sell, too early to buy”.

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2 Comments on Chinese Markets Plunge In Dramatic Reopening After Holiday: The Visuals

China And The Virus Aren’t The Only Things To Trade On This Week…

February 2, 2020February 2, 2020

Misses could exacerbate the bond rally. Beats may assuage fears.

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Macro Tourist: ‘Buy The Periodic Table’

February 2, 2020February 2, 2020

“China will have no qualms about getting even deeper into debt to stimulate their economy.”

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2 Comments on Macro Tourist: ‘Buy The Periodic Table’

China To Inject Record 1.2 Trillion Yuan Amid Virus Worries. But Please, Mind The Details

February 2, 2020February 2, 2020

There’s plenty of nuance.

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Saudi Aramco Falls To Lowest Since IPO As Regional Shares Sink

February 2, 2020

The mood is sour, to say the least.

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8 Comments on Saudi Aramco Falls To Lowest Since IPO As Regional Shares Sink

As The Condemned Awaits The Hangman, Mainland Markets In China Brace For Rout

February 1, 2020February 2, 2020

Gallows humor.

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3 Comments on As The Condemned Awaits The Hangman, Mainland Markets In China Brace For Rout

South Korea’s Export Slump Extends To 14 Months On Holiday Effects. From Here, It’s All About The Virus

February 1, 2020

The optics leave something to be desired.

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Amid Virus Scare, We’re Golden.

February 1, 2020February 1, 2020

But c’est la vie…

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3 Comments on Amid Virus Scare, We’re Golden.

Crude Shorts Surge 50% As Virus ‘Black Swan’ Pushes Oil To Worst January Since 1991

February 1, 2020

It underscores the primacy of those concerns even in an environment plagued by worries on the supply side.

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Jeff Gundlach Probably About 90% Correct To Say Chances Of Fed Cut Are About 90%

February 1, 2020

“Now a 90% chance of a 2020 cut”.

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5 Comments on Jeff Gundlach Probably About 905 Correct To Say Chances Of Fed Cut Are About 905

Donald Trump Is Above The Law. It’s Time America Just Admits It.

January 31, 2020February 1, 2020

He’s a third world strongman.

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17 Comments on Donald Trump Is Above The Law. It’s Time America Just Admits It.

State Of Emergency.

January 31, 2020January 31, 2020

Who’s excited for mainland Chinese markets to reopen?

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3 Comments on State Of Emergency.

Maybe They Do Ring Bells At The Top: Viral Plague Edition

January 31, 2020January 31, 2020

Nailed it.

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4 Comments on Maybe They Do Ring Bells At The Top: Viral Plague Edition

MNI Marvels At Sheer ‘Hugeness’ Of Dastardly Chicago PMI Miss

January 31, 2020January 31, 2020

For months, ISM manufacturing has been the odd man out – but nothing like this.

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Find Me A Silver Lining (Other Than Margins) In These Caterpillar Numbers

January 31, 2020

And speaking of not very inspiring…

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A Sick Albatross.

January 31, 2020January 31, 2020

Quarantines, travel restrictions and macabre humor.

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3 Comments on A Sick Albatross.

So Much For ‘Green Shoots’: Europe Posts Worst Quarter For Growth In Almost Seven Years

January 31, 2020January 31, 2020

Japanification.

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1 Comment on So Much For ‘Green Shoots’: Europe Posts Worst Quarter For Growth In Almost Seven Years

How The Coronavirus Could Force The Fed Back To Zero (A Nuanced Take)

January 30, 2020January 31, 2020

It’s all about precluding further dollar appreciation.

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4 Comments on How The Coronavirus Could Force The Fed Back To Zero (A Nuanced Take)

WHO’s There? Amazon And A $1 Trillion Market Cap

January 30, 2020January 30, 2020

Don’t panic. But wear a mask.

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1 Comment on WHO’s There? Amazon And A $1 Trillion Market Cap

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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