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Featured

Have The Hyper-Scalers Lost Their Minds?

November 2, 2026November 2, 2026
  • Debbie Downers Amid The Renaissance

    November 2, 2026November 2, 2026
  • Sell-Side Sarcasm: New And Improved!

    November 2, 2026November 2, 2026
  • Let’s Talk Blue Waves

    November 1, 2026November 1, 2026

Markets

Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)

October 31, 2026November 2, 2026
  • The Problem, In A Nutshell…

    October 30, 2026November 2, 2026
  • What’s What And WTF?

    October 30, 2026November 1, 2026
  • Oil, Dammit!

    October 30, 2026November 1, 2026
  • My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money

    October 29, 2026October 31, 2026

economy

Polls, Projectiles And Payrolls

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026
  • ‘Remains Elevated’

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Dissembling Strategery

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

Geopolitics

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Duly Noted

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Person-To-Person Inversion.

January 30, 2020January 30, 2020

It’s starting to feel like August all over again for markets.

Read More

oil5 Comments on Person-To-Person Inversion.

Look, Green Shoots! And Just In Time For Viral Roundup

January 30, 2020January 30, 2020

The question is whether it’s durable.

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4 Comments on Look, Green Shoots! And Just In Time For Viral Roundup

Wilbur Ross To Bartiromo: Coronavirus Proves China Is Disease-Ridden, Will Be Good For US Jobs

January 30, 2020

Wilbur, like his boss, transcends satire.

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5 Comments on Wilbur Ross To Bartiromo: Coronavirus Proves China Is Disease-Ridden, Will Be Good For US Jobs

GDP Beats, But Consumption Slows Sharply, Business Investment Falls Third Straight Quarter

January 30, 2020January 30, 2020

As we’re fond of putting it: It’s good, but not “great”. “Again” or otherwise.

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5 Comments on GDP Beats, But Consumption Slows Sharply, Business Investment Falls Third Straight Quarter

BOE Gambles, Stands Pat In ‘Knife-Edge’ Call

January 30, 2020January 30, 2020

If this ends up looking misguided in retrospect…

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Leave a Comment on BOE Gambles, Stands Pat In ‘Knife-Edge’ Call

It Wasn’t Priced In: Taiwan’s Epic Tumble Prompts Asia Rout As Yuan Breaches 7

January 30, 2020January 30, 2020

That’s a lot of masks.

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Leave a Comment on It Wasn’t Priced In: Taiwan’s Epic Tumble Prompts Asia Rout As Yuan Breaches 7

A Corona(virus) Gets Its Lime

January 29, 2020January 30, 2020

It’s not contained. Or at least not yet.

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6 Comments on A Corona(virus) Gets Its Lime

Two Years In, Jay Powell Still Lacks Only Skill That Matters: Ability To Bullsh*t People

January 29, 2020January 29, 2020

At least he knows what to say when asked if the Fed is in the bubble-blowing business.

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5 Comments on Two Years In, Jay Powell Still Lacks Only Skill That Matters: Ability To Bullsh*t People

Fed Commits To Repos Through April, Keeps Main Rate On Hold, Raises IOER

January 29, 2020January 30, 2020

Quite a bit to digest, but perhaps not much to move markets other than at the very front-end.

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3 Comments on Fed Commits To Repos Through April, Keeps Main Rate On Hold, Raises IOER

Just How Stretched Is This Rubber Band, Anyway?

January 29, 2020January 29, 2020

Normally, the market would have pulled back by now.

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9 Comments on Just How Stretched Is This Rubber Band, Anyway?

Insouciant Stocks Back In The Gamma Pocket As Earnings Roll In, Betting Markets ‘Bern’

January 29, 2020January 29, 2020

Define nebulous: “It’s a good time to be in the market”.

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3 Comments on Insouciant Stocks Back In The Gamma Pocket As Earnings Roll In, Betting Markets ‘Bern’

Risk Aversion Lingers As Virus Deaths Climb Ahead Of Fed

January 29, 2020January 29, 2020

The number of confirmed cases is approaching 6,000.

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6 Comments on Risk Aversion Lingers As Virus Deaths Climb Ahead Of Fed

Harley Bassman On QE, Demographics, MMT And Flying Pigs

January 28, 2020January 29, 2020

“I will caveat that although I am certain of the denouement, it is possible its date is vastly longer than my career”.

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2 Comments on Harley Bassman On QE, Demographics, MMT And Flying Pigs

Buy The Viral-Apocalypse-Dip (Bern Victims)

January 28, 2020January 28, 2020

On the off chance the world doesn’t end this month or next…

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3 Comments on Buy The Viral-Apocalypse-Dip (Bern Victims)

Macro Tourist Presents: The World’s Biggest Steepener

January 28, 2020January 28, 2020

“You are just a degenerate river-boat-gambler”.

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2 Comments on Macro Tourist Presents: The World’s Biggest Steepener

As One Bank Takes Profits In Bond Long, Have Yields Fallen Too Far, Too Fast?

January 28, 2020

Too rich for some folks’ liking.

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Leave a Comment on As One Bank Takes Profits In Bond Long, Have Yields Fallen Too Far, Too Fast?

Nomura’s McElligott On ‘Classic Short Gamma’ And $62 Billion In Potential Vol. Target Fund De-Risking

January 28, 2020January 28, 2020

Just another example of why it’s crucial to understand the dynamics driving the price action.

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2 Comments on Nomura’s McElligott On ‘Classic Short Gamma’ And $62 Billion In Potential Vol. Target Fund De-Risking

Here’s Another Reminder That MAGA Economy Suffers From Dearth Of Business Investment

January 28, 2020January 28, 2020

Not that anyone cares amid the virus headlines, but maybe they should – care, that is.

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1 Comment on Here’s Another Reminder That MAGA Economy Suffers From Dearth Of Business Investment

3M Euphemistically Touts Exciting ‘Transformation Journey’ As Shares Slide On Job Cuts, Forecast Miss

January 28, 2020January 28, 2020

“As a result of these actions, 3M initiated a restructuring that will reduce approximately 1,500 positions”.

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1 Comment on 3M Euphemistically Touts Exciting ‘Transformation Journey’ As Shares Slide On Job Cuts, Forecast Miss

Coronavirus Threatens To Shutter Hong Kong, May Delay Recovery In South Korea’s Export Machine

January 28, 2020January 28, 2020

“Given the gravity of the epidemic”.

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Leave a Comment on Coronavirus Threatens To Shutter Hong Kong, May Delay Recovery In South Korea’s Export Machine

Supreme Court Sides With Trump Over Statue Of Liberty On Public Charge Rule

January 27, 2020

“I lift my lamp beside the golden door!”

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Leave a Comment on Supreme Court Sides With Trump Over Statue Of Liberty On Public Charge Rule

Zombieland.

January 27, 2020January 28, 2020

“Very few people on the streets, everyone wearing face masks”.

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3 Comments on Zombieland.

Macro Tourist Wants To Talk About Vanna White (And Also Volatility)

January 27, 2020January 27, 2020

“…it is becoming more of a self-reinforcing process with changes in VIX causing changes in the underlying asset”.

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2 Comments on Macro Tourist Wants To Talk About Vanna White (And Also Volatility)

$1 Trillion+ Surge In Negative Debt Pile Is Fillip For Yellow Paperweights, Digital Chuck E. Cheese Tokens

January 27, 2020January 27, 2020

That “blip” is worth about $1.5 trillion – with a “t”.

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3 Comments on $1 Trillion+ Surge In Negative Debt Pile Is Fillip For Yellow Paperweights, Digital Chuck E. Cheese Tokens

Taliban Tests Trump’s Patience With Bombastic Claims About Afghanistan Plane Crash

January 27, 2020January 27, 2020

“All onboard including high-ranking CIA officers were killed”.

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Leave a Comment on Taliban Tests Trump’s Patience With Bombastic Claims About Afghanistan Plane Crash

‘Stability Breeds Instability’: ‘Extreme’ Positioning From CTAs, Vol.-Targeters Raises Virus Contagion Risk

January 27, 2020January 27, 2020

While timeless, it’s become even more germane over the last decade…

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2 Comments on ‘Stability Breeds Instability’: ‘Extreme’ Positioning From CTAs, Vol.-Targeters Raises Virus Contagion Risk

Oil Plunges, Saudi Shares In Rout As Kingdom Says Don’t Panic About Deadly Mystery Virus

January 27, 2020January 27, 2020

“Psychological factors and extremely negative expectations”.

Read More

oil1 Comment on Oil Plunges, Saudi Shares In Rout As Kingdom Says Don’t Panic About Deadly Mystery Virus

Posts pagination

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

  • deconstruction on The Arbitrageur
  • Sophist on Debbie Downers Amid The Renaissance
  • Biscuit Creek on Let’s Talk Blue Waves
  • Brian Bretz on Debbie Downers Amid The Renaissance

Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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