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Featured

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 1, 2026
  • Polls, Projectiles And Payrolls

    November 1, 2026November 1, 2026
  • Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)

    October 31, 2026October 31, 2026
  • The Problem, In A Nutshell…

    October 30, 2026

Markets

What’s What And WTF?

October 30, 2026November 1, 2026
  • Oil, Dammit!

    October 30, 2026November 1, 2026
  • My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money

    October 29, 2026October 31, 2026
  • Alphabet Whiffs, Microsoft Hits

    October 28, 2026October 31, 2026
  • Mona Lisa’s Smirk

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

economy

‘Remains Elevated’

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Dissembling Strategery

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

Geopolitics

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Duly Noted

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

‘We Didn’t Know How To Navigate The Virus’: Ray Dalio’s Pure Alpha II Takes Big Hit Amid Market Chaos

March 15, 2020March 15, 2020

“We stayed in our positions and in retrospect we should have cut all risk”.

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hedge funds1 Comment on ‘We Didn’t Know How To Navigate The Virus’: Ray Dalio’s Pure Alpha II Takes Big Hit Amid Market Chaos

Mideast Shares Dive, Egypt Plunges 9%, Aramco Slashes Capex 24%

March 15, 2020March 15, 2020

Central banks in the region are spending nearly $50 billion in the virus fight.

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oil2 Comments on Mideast Shares Dive, Egypt Plunges 92, Aramco Slashes Capex 242

‘Economies Are In Lockdown’: Trump Tests Negative For Virus, Europe Shuts Down As Infections Soar

March 14, 2020March 14, 2020

“We have not reached our peak”.

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10 Comments on ‘Economies Are In Lockdown’: Trump Tests Negative For Virus, Europe Shuts Down As Infections Soar

‘We’re Living In A Black Swan Scenario’: Equity Positioning Just Plunged To GFC Lows

March 14, 2020March 15, 2020

There have only been two other periods characterized by these kinds of wild swings: The GFC and the Depression.

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18 Comments on ‘We’re Living In A Black Swan Scenario’: Equity Positioning Just Plunged To GFC Lows

Trump Hints At Demoting Jay Powell To ‘Regular Position’, Says He Took Virus Test

March 14, 2020March 14, 2020

“I haven’t made any decisions on that”.

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5 Comments on Trump Hints At Demoting Jay Powell To ‘Regular Position’, Says He Took Virus Test

Trump So Proud Of Nightmare On Wall Street, He Autographed A Chart And Gifted It To Lou Dobbs

March 14, 2020March 14, 2020

Define hubris.

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10 Comments on Trump So Proud Of Nightmare On Wall Street, He Autographed A Chart And Gifted It To Lou Dobbs

It’ll ‘Wash Through’

March 14, 2020March 14, 2020

America now has a virus relief “plan” – courtesy of Nancy Pelosi and Steve Mnuchin.

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1 Comment on It’ll ‘Wash Through’

It Could Get Worse

March 13, 2020March 14, 2020

Platitudes.

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oil5 Comments on It Could Get Worse

Emergency.

March 13, 2020March 13, 2020

“Confidence”.

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4 Comments on Emergency.

Loonie Tunes: That’s 100bps This Month From The Bank Of Canada, In Case You’re Keeping Score

March 13, 2020March 14, 2020

And they’ll do more, if necessary.

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1 Comment on Loonie Tunes: That’s 100bps This Month From The Bank Of Canada, In Case You’re Keeping Score

QE Has Returned. And The Risk Parity Kraken Has Been Unleashed.

March 13, 2020March 13, 2020

The drama continues.

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1 Comment on QE Has Returned. And The Risk Parity Kraken Has Been Unleashed.

Limit-Up/Limit-Down Rolls On, As Germany Teases ‘Unlimited’ Economic Support

March 13, 2020March 13, 2020

“We won’t do things by half-measures”.

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4 Comments on Limit-Up/Limit-Down Rolls On, As Germany Teases ‘Unlimited’ Economic Support

Schizophrenia: Asia’s Wild Friday Ride

March 13, 2020March 13, 2020

“Markets are schizophrenic at the best of times these days”.

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Leave a Comment on Schizophrenia: Asia’s Wild Friday Ride

PBOC, Norges Bank, Riksbank, BOJ Rush To Rescue Bloodied Markets With Rate Cuts, Liquidity Measures

March 13, 2020March 13, 2020

Of course, all of this will fall short if politicians do not step up with adequate measures.

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2 Comments on PBOC, Norges Bank, Riksbank, BOJ Rush To Rescue Bloodied Markets With Rate Cuts, Liquidity Measures

Chaos.

March 12, 2020March 12, 2020

“…not randomness run amok, but an essential instability to changes in initial conditions”.

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4 Comments on Chaos.

1987

March 12, 2020October 14, 2021

It looks as though it’s time to finally exorcise all our post-crisis demons. 

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11 Comments on 1987

European Shares, Italian Bonds Have Worst Day In History. Literally. So There’s That.

March 12, 2020March 12, 2020

With all due respect, there are questions, Christine. Lots of them.

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2 Comments on European Shares, Italian Bonds Have Worst Day In History. Literally. So There’s That.

Fed Brings Out Bazooka. Announces Massive Repos, Expands Asset Purchases Beyond Bills

March 12, 2020March 12, 2020

“These changes are being made to address highly unusual disruptions in Treasury financing”.

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2 Comments on Fed Brings Out Bazooka. Announces Massive Repos, Expands Asset Purchases Beyond Bills

The Treasury Market Is Broken. ETFs Are Cracking. Risk Parity’s ‘Footprints’ Have Been Spotted.

March 12, 2020November 22, 2020

“USTs are a ‘broken market’”, Nomura’s Charlie McElligott writes, in a Thursday note recapping some

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4 Comments on The Treasury Market Is Broken. ETFs Are Cracking. Risk Parity’s ‘Footprints’ Have Been Spotted.

Fed Injects Nearly $200 Billion To Fend Off ‘Cash Crunch’ As US Stocks Halted Limit-Down

March 12, 2020March 12, 2020

It was the second time this week that US equities have been halted after the cash open.

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3 Comments on Fed Injects Nearly $200 Billion To Fend Off ‘Cash Crunch’ As US Stocks Halted Limit-Down

ECB Expands QE By €120 Billion, Announces New Liquidity Measures, Relaxes Capital Ratios, Leaves Rates Unchanged

March 12, 2020March 12, 2020

Lagarde is credible. It’s just not clear whether she’s credible as a central banker. We’re about to find out.

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3 Comments on ECB Expands QE By €120 Billion, Announces New Liquidity Measures, Relaxes Capital Ratios, Leaves Rates Unchanged

Albert Edwards: ‘These Are Dangerous Times Indeed’

March 12, 2020March 12, 2020

It will not surprise you to learn that Edwards doesn’t think stocks are “cheap” after rout.

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5 Comments on Albert Edwards: ‘These Are Dangerous Times Indeed’

Bear Markets Everywhere. Global Stocks Implode As Trump’s ‘Foreign Virus’ Speech Goes Awry

March 12, 2020March 12, 2020

“Rolling their eyes”.

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4 Comments on Bear Markets Everywhere. Global Stocks Implode As Trump’s ‘Foreign Virus’ Speech Goes Awry

Trump Falls Short In Oval Office Coronavirus Address. Futures Collapse Limit-Down

March 11, 2020March 12, 2020

“The virus will not have a chance against us.”

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13 Comments on Trump Falls Short In Oval Office Coronavirus Address. Futures Collapse Limit-Down

Dislocations, Dysfunction And Diversification Desperation

March 11, 2020March 11, 2020

“This is not a normal functioning market”.

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Leave a Comment on Dislocations, Dysfunction And Diversification Desperation

It’s Official: We’ve Got A Bear Market And A Pandemic

March 11, 2020March 11, 2020

“I’ve made some decisions”.

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13 Comments on It’s Official: We’ve Got A Bear Market And A Pandemic

Unshackled!

March 11, 2020March 11, 2020

“…daily amplitudes not seen since 2011.”

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2 Comments on Unshackled!

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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