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Featured

The Problem, In A Nutshell…

October 30, 2026
  • What’s What And WTF?

    October 30, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Oil, Dammit!

    October 30, 2026October 30, 2026
  • My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money

    October 29, 2026

Markets

Alphabet Whiffs, Microsoft Hits

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Mona Lisa’s Smirk

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

    October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

economy

‘Remains Elevated’

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Dissembling Strategery

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

Geopolitics

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Duly Noted

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Dark ‘N’ Stormy: Hunger Games And A Word On Macro Mission Creep

April 9, 2021April 12, 2021

Last weekend, I spent a few hours writing a two-part series on hunger and starvation.

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6 Comments on Dark ‘N’ Stormy: Hunger Games And A Word On Macro Mission Creep

Would You Pay $39 For A Bar Of Soap?

April 9, 2021April 10, 2021

“Inflation – the ball is rolling,” proclaimed the title of one note out Friday morning

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3 Comments on Would You Pay $39 For A Bar Of Soap?

The Stock Inflow Tsunami And A Ridiculous Job Offer

April 9, 2021April 15, 2021

Equity funds gathered another $15.6 billion in the week through April 7, adding to an

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15 Comments on The Stock Inflow Tsunami And A Ridiculous Job Offer

Ambiguous Tea Leaves

April 9, 2021April 10, 2021

Inflation worries were back on the menu Friday, after data showed producer prices in China

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Jerome Powell And The ‘Pretty Substantial Tent City’

April 8, 2021April 14, 2021

Jerome Powell spoke on a virtual IMF panel Thursday. Nobody was expecting to hear anything

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8 Comments on Jerome Powell And The ‘Pretty Substantial Tent City’

Albert Edwards: Main Risk To Stocks May Be Opposite What You Think

April 8, 2021April 9, 2021

“Optimism abounds,” SocGen’s Albert Edwards wrote, in the opening passage of his latest piece, out

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8 Comments on Albert Edwards: Main Risk To Stocks May Be Opposite What You Think

Poker Faces And Unreasonable People

April 8, 2021April 9, 2021

(Editor’s note: Like so many of the articles published here, I started this piece with

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4 Comments on Poker Faces And Unreasonable People

Somebody Tell Jobless Claims They’re Going The Wrong Way

April 8, 2021April 12, 2021

744,000 Americans filed for unemployment benefits last week, far more than the 680,000 consensus expected.

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3 Comments on Somebody Tell Jobless Claims They’re Going The Wrong Way

You Are Not Capital. You Just Think You Are

April 8, 2021April 9, 2021

It’s becoming apparent that between the general public’s apathy, aversion to what I’ll call “scare”

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13 Comments on You Are Not Capital. You Just Think You Are

Biden Faces The Grim Reality Of A Disengaged Nation

April 7, 2021April 13, 2021

For (at least) the second time in a week, Joe Biden pitched his infrastructure plan

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26 Comments on Biden Faces The Grim Reality Of A Disengaged Nation

Fed Nowhere Near Any Kind Of Tightening (If You Were Wondering)

April 7, 2021April 8, 2021

I wish I could tell you that “expectations were running high” or that traders were

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This Is An Experiment. And Nobody Knows Anything.

April 7, 2021April 8, 2021

Over the course of the pandemic, I’ve variously insisted that the debate around stimulus checks

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4 Comments on This Is An Experiment. And Nobody Knows Anything.

‘Something Went Terribly Wrong’: How To Think About Corporate Virtue Signaling

April 7, 2021April 8, 2021

As I was briskly running through Jamie Dimon’s latest annual letter, it occurred to me

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8 Comments on ‘Something Went Terribly Wrong’: How To Think About Corporate Virtue Signaling

Jamie Dimon Delivers 67-Page Prescriptive Manifesto For America

April 7, 2021April 14, 2021

“While I have a deep and abiding faith in the United States of America and

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3 Comments on Jamie Dimon Delivers 67-Page Prescriptive Manifesto For America

The Summer Bonanza Scenario, Bassman On Archegos & Other Potpourri

April 6, 2021April 8, 2021

Some folks were vaccinated. Four million of them in a single day, actually. This is

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MRA’s Curnutt Suggests Cure For Fund Manager ‘ROMO’

April 6, 2021April 7, 2021

Whenever it feels like a melt-up might be afoot, market participants (and the media) go

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‘Life Ain’t Fair’ Is Passé In Post-Pandemic World, IMF Suggests

April 6, 2021April 7, 2021

As expected, the IMF upgraded its forecast for global growth Tuesday, while simultaneously adopting a

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8 Comments on ‘Life Ain’t Fair’ Is Passé In Post-Pandemic World, IMF Suggests

Credit Growth In China May Decelerate To 15-Year Low

April 6, 2021April 7, 2021

As it turns out, the PBoC didn’t just instruct banks to rein in lending for

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3 Comments on Credit Growth In China May Decelerate To 15-Year Low

A ‘Formidable Institution’

April 6, 2021April 12, 2021

Credit Suisse grabbed headlines again Tuesday, as the bank is poised to take a $4.7

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4 Comments on A ‘Formidable Institution’

The Day Janet Yellen Buried Trump’s Foreign Policy

April 5, 2021April 13, 2021

Revenge is a dish best served cold, as Treasury Secretary. More than three years after

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6 Comments on The Day Janet Yellen Buried Trump’s Foreign Policy

The Madness Of King Dollar

April 5, 2021April 6, 2021

“Firm US growth and rising bond yields may keep the greenback supported over the short-term,”

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2 Comments on The Madness Of King Dollar

The GOP Versus Corporate America?

April 5, 2021April 15, 2021

You know, it’s funny. For one half of America’s political duopoly, principles aren’t just malleable

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9 Comments on The GOP Versus Corporate America?

Another Record: ISM Services Comes In Scorching

April 5, 2021April 6, 2021

US services sector activity picked up dramatically last month, ISM said Monday. The headline print

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2 Comments on Another Record: ISM Services Comes In Scorching

At A Minimum

April 5, 2021April 5, 2021

The mood seemed tentatively upbeat as some markets returned from the holiday Monday and US

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1 Comment on At A Minimum

The Big Question: What Will Become Of The Rotation?

April 4, 2021April 25, 2021

One of the (many) pressing questions coming off a fraught (or exhilarating, depending on how

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2 Comments on The Big Question: What Will Become Of The Rotation?

Fearing Property Bubble, China ‘Instructs’ Banks To Slow Credit Supply: Report

April 4, 2021April 5, 2021

Aside from the prospect of a hawkish Fed, almost nothing causes more furrowed brows among

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Sincere And Prudent

April 4, 2021April 6, 2021

Equities will have their say on March’s blockbuster US jobs report — on a delay.

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6 Comments on Sincere And Prudent

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

  • John3D on The Problem, In A Nutshell…
  • Sophist on The Problem, In A Nutshell…
  • TwinTigerz on Oil, Dammit!
  • Engineer on What’s What And WTF?

Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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