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Featured

The Problem, In A Nutshell…

October 30, 2026
  • What’s What And WTF?

    October 30, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Oil, Dammit!

    October 30, 2026October 30, 2026
  • My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money

    October 29, 2026

Markets

Alphabet Whiffs, Microsoft Hits

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Mona Lisa’s Smirk

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

    October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

economy

‘Remains Elevated’

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Dissembling Strategery

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

Geopolitics

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Duly Noted

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Relatively Attractive Alternatives

April 3, 2021April 5, 2021

Suddenly, there is an alternative. Or at least that’s one way to look at the

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2 Comments on Relatively Attractive Alternatives

Feast, Famine And The Fed

April 3, 2021April 4, 2021

Time and again over the past several months, I’ve pointed to what could end up

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5 Comments on Feast, Famine And The Fed

What Does It Mean To Starve?

April 3, 2021April 11, 2021

Back in February, I removed a reader comment from an article called “The Children Are

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7 Comments on What Does It Mean To Starve?

Everything Roses? Under The Hood Of The March Jobs Report

April 2, 2021April 6, 2021

March’s jobs report was a blockbuster and early reactions were almost unequivocally and universally upbeat.

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5 Comments on Everything Roses? Under The Hood Of The March Jobs Report

Give Me Fives

April 2, 2021April 3, 2021

March’s rosy jobs report was met with bear flattening Friday, as markets looked to reprice

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5 Comments on Give Me Fives

US Economy Adds Nearly 1 Million Jobs In Blockbuster Month

April 2, 2021April 5, 2021

The US economy added 916,000 jobs last month, March’s hotly-anticipated nonfarm payrolls report showed. That

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Leave a Comment on US Economy Adds Nearly 1 Million Jobs In Blockbuster Month

‘Full Bull Run’

April 2, 2021April 3, 2021

US equity futures were higher ahead of Friday’s all-important nonfarm payrolls report, which, as expected,

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5 Comments on ‘Full Bull Run’

Credit Check (Records Were Broken)

April 1, 2021April 2, 2021

Q1 2021 was the worst quarter for investment grade credit since Lehman. Total returns in

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Leave a Comment on Credit Check (Records Were Broken)

IMF Calls For Global Wealth Redistribution To Avert Societal Breakdown

April 1, 2021April 2, 2021

The IMF says it’s time for the world to pivot in the direction of more

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7 Comments on IMF Calls For Global Wealth Redistribution To Avert Societal Breakdown

ISM Manufacturing Is Giant, Screaming Fireball

April 1, 2021April 5, 2021

ISM manufacturing was expected to come in hot for March. And it did. The market

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1 Comment on ISM Manufacturing Is Giant, Screaming Fireball

Jobless Claims Rise After Falling To Pandemic Low

April 1, 2021April 2, 2021

719,000 Americans filed for unemployment benefits last week, more than the 675,000 the market expected.

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Leave a Comment on Jobless Claims Rise After Falling To Pandemic Low

Choose Your Own Adventure

April 1, 2021April 1, 2021

Global equities looked to kick off the second quarter with gains as market participants weighed

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1 Comment on Choose Your Own Adventure

A Quarter For Your Thoughts

March 31, 2021April 8, 2021

The first quarter of 2021 had no chance of one-upping the first three months of

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5 Comments on A Quarter For Your Thoughts

In Archegos Aftermath: Questions, Collateral And Bullet Dodgers

March 31, 2021April 1, 2021

Days on from the first position unwinds, there were still (far) more questions than answers

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5 Comments on In Archegos Aftermath: Questions, Collateral And Bullet Dodgers

$2.25 Trillion And ‘The Need To Really Deliver’

March 31, 2021April 7, 2021

Joe Biden wants to tax corporations at a higher rate in order to help offset

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6 Comments on $2.25 Trillion And ‘The Need To Really Deliver’

Just Print The Money

March 31, 2021April 1, 2021

“People may have different ideas about how to pay for it,” Jen Psaki said Tuesday,

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13 Comments on Just Print The Money

‘The Groundwork Is Being Laid,’ As Private Employers Add Half-Million Jobs

March 31, 2021March 31, 2021

Private sector employers added 517,000 positions in March (figure below), ADP said Wednesday, in what

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Leave a Comment on ‘The Groundwork Is Being Laid,’ As Private Employers Add Half-Million Jobs

Archegos Had ‘All The Makings Of A Dangerous Situation’

March 30, 2021April 9, 2021

Over the last 72 hours, I’ve variously suggested that while the Archegos saga wasn’t likely

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3 Comments on Archegos Had ‘All The Makings Of A Dangerous Situation’

Surging Home Prices, Plunging Refis Make For Good Headlines

March 30, 2021March 31, 2021

Tuesday offered an amusing juxtaposition of housing headlines across various media outlets, all vying for

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4 Comments on Surging Home Prices, Plunging Refis Make For Good Headlines

Why The Archegos Blow-Up Failed To Trigger Instant Mayhem

March 30, 2021March 31, 2021

There was confusion (feigned and otherwise) to start the week around what I called the

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The US Consumer Suddenly Feels Much, Much Better

March 30, 2021March 30, 2021

Consumer confidence came in well ahead of expectations for March on the Conference Board’s gauge,

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1 Comment on The US Consumer Suddenly Feels Much, Much Better

Bonds Reclaim Limelight As Yields Hit Fresh Pandemic Highs

March 30, 2021March 31, 2021

The Treasury selloff showed signs of wanting to extend on Tuesday, as bonds looked poised

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Leave a Comment on Bonds Reclaim Limelight As Yields Hit Fresh Pandemic Highs

‘Argh Chaos!’ And The Biggest Margin Call Of All Time

March 29, 2021April 5, 2021

“This is a challenging time for Archegos Capital Management, our partners and employees,” Karen Kessler,

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4 Comments on ‘Argh Chaos!’ And The Biggest Margin Call Of All Time

Sometimes, You Blow Up

March 29, 2021April 4, 2021

There’s more to worry about than the (latest) trials and tribulations of Tiger Cub Bill

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9 Comments on Sometimes, You Blow Up

Panic Goes Missing In Archegos Flameout. Fed, Alcoholics Blamed

March 29, 2021March 30, 2021

Monday was supposed to be the day when the purportedly systemic nature of Tiger Cub

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1 Comment on Panic Goes Missing In Archegos Flameout. Fed, Alcoholics Blamed

Biden Leaves Little To Analyze As Methodical Mr. Fix-It

March 29, 2021March 30, 2021

Just hours after CDC Director Rochelle Walensky nearly broke down in tears while imploring Americans

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5 Comments on Biden Leaves Little To Analyze As Methodical Mr. Fix-It

CDC Director Walensky Tearfully Warns Of ‘Impending Doom’

March 29, 2021April 2, 2021

It’s never a great sign when the CDC Director nearly starts crying while discussing a

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21 Comments on CDC Director Walensky Tearfully Warns Of ‘Impending Doom’

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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