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Featured

The Problem, In A Nutshell…

October 30, 2026
  • What’s What And WTF?

    October 30, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Oil, Dammit!

    October 30, 2026October 30, 2026
  • My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money

    October 29, 2026

Markets

Alphabet Whiffs, Microsoft Hits

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Mona Lisa’s Smirk

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

    October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

economy

‘Remains Elevated’

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Dissembling Strategery

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

Geopolitics

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Duly Noted

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Raising Eyebrows

April 15, 2021April 16, 2021

Thursday was something of a barnburner for multi-asset investors. After suffering an egregious first quarter

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5 Comments on Raising Eyebrows

Shopping Spree!

April 15, 2021April 19, 2021

US retail sales surged 9.8% in March (figure below), far more than expected, underscoring the

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1 Comment on Shopping Spree!

Finally Going Nuclear

April 15, 2021April 21, 2021

At long last, US officials decided to “go there,” where “there” means hitting Russian sovereign

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3 Comments on Finally Going Nuclear

Claims Plunge Is ‘Fantastic’ Progress. But Don’t Say ‘Substantial Further’

April 15, 2021April 16, 2021

“Just” 576,000 Americans filed for unemployment benefits last week. It’s difficult to know how to

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Leave a Comment on Claims Plunge Is ‘Fantastic’ Progress. But Don’t Say ‘Substantial Further’

‘Exceptional’ May Be Too Generous For Bank Of America Results

April 15, 2021April 15, 2021

Bank of America delivered what Brian Moynihan described as “exceptional results” on Thursday. A decrease

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Leave a Comment on ‘Exceptional’ May Be Too Generous For Bank Of America Results

Below The Fold

April 14, 2021April 15, 2021

“Coinbase Opens at $381 in Volatile Market Debut. Should You Buy the Stock?,” Bloomberg wondered

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8 Comments on Below The Fold

Normality

April 14, 2021April 15, 2021

Despite presiding over a massive expansion of the same experiment in ultra-accommodative monetary policy that

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10 Comments on Normality

‘The Main Question’ (And A Lot More)

April 14, 2021April 21, 2021

Amid counterintuitive outperformance from perennial, “slow-flation” winners-turned reflation trade laggards, enquiring minds want to know:

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Leave a Comment on ‘The Main Question’ (And A Lot More)

Here Comes Coinbase

April 14, 2021April 19, 2021

With US CPI and this week’s Treasury supply having come and gone with barely a

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8 Comments on Here Comes Coinbase

Goldman Saunters In, Delivers Astounding Beat, Strolls Out

April 14, 2021April 15, 2021

With JPMorgan’s results on the books as a beat with an asterisk (Dimon struck a

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2 Comments on Goldman Saunters In, Delivers Astounding Beat, Strolls Out

JPMorgan Results Overshadowed By Dimon’s ‘Challenged’ Loan Demand

April 14, 2021October 13, 2021

JPMorgan kicked off big bank earnings Wednesday, reporting Q1 adjusted revenue of $33.12 billion, up

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1 Comment on JPMorgan Results Overshadowed By Dimon’s ‘Challenged’ Loan Demand

Harley Bassman Presents: The Marshmallow Test

April 13, 2021April 13, 2021

It was the clear intent of the synchronous central bank polices of ZIRP and QE

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1 Comment on Harley Bassman Presents: The Marshmallow Test

Kolanovic Suggests Style ‘Turning Point.’ Investors Debate Rate ‘Reckoning’

April 13, 2021April 18, 2021

A few weeks back, as an eventful first quarter melted into what’s expected to be

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4 Comments on Kolanovic Suggests Style ‘Turning Point.’ Investors Debate Rate ‘Reckoning’

Don’t Call It A Bubble

April 13, 2021April 14, 2021

Last month, for the first time since the onset of the pandemic, fund managers polled

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Leave a Comment on Don’t Call It A Bubble

US Gets Dose Of Europe’s Vaccine Woes, As J&J Shot Paused

April 13, 2021April 18, 2021

Risk sentiment took a hit early Tuesday when US health officials called for an immediate

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5 Comments on US Gets Dose Of Europe’s Vaccine Woes, As J&J Shot Paused

‘Crucial’ Inflation Data Produces Shrug

April 13, 2021April 16, 2021

Inflation came in hotter than expected in March, closely-scrutinized data out Tuesday showed. Headline CPI

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1 Comment on ‘Crucial’ Inflation Data Produces Shrug

Signal In The Noise

April 13, 2021April 15, 2021

“Today’s US CPI data has the potential to change the story, or to leave us

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8 Comments on Signal In The Noise

Jim-nastics

April 12, 2021April 13, 2021

More than a third of Americans have received at least one dose of a COVID

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Leave a Comment on Jim-nastics

The Word Is ‘Inflation.’ With A ‘K’

April 12, 2021April 19, 2021

“Expectations about home, gas, and rent price changes all reached new series highs,” the New

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6 Comments on The Word Is ‘Inflation.’ With A ‘K’

Nomura’s McElligott: The Easy Recovery Phase Money Has Been Made

April 12, 2021April 13, 2021

For all the talk of an imminent boom in the US economy, a cursory glance

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We Don’t Have All The Answers

April 12, 2021April 15, 2021

Equities felt uninspired ahead of a week that promised no shortage of tradable data. A

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2 Comments on We Don’t Have All The Answers

China’s ‘Pretty Evident’ Credit Slowdown May Bode Ill

April 12, 2021April 13, 2021

According to various sourced reports, directives aimed at curtailing “bubble” risk presage the slowest Chinese

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2 Comments on China’s ‘Pretty Evident’ Credit Slowdown May Bode Ill

Jane’s Tale

April 11, 2021April 12, 2021

With earnings season on deck and market participants increasingly prone to digital shouting matches about

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7 Comments on Jane’s Tale

Simulation Game, One Year Later

April 11, 2021April 12, 2021

On Sunday morning, while sitting cross-legged on the back deck and frowning out through the

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7 Comments on Simulation Game, One Year Later

‘Any Disappointment’

April 10, 2021April 13, 2021

Who’s afraid of inflation? Not Lacy Hunt, that’s for sure. And it seems like Albert

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5 Comments on ‘Any Disappointment’

Lacy Hunt Suggests Inflation Doomsayers Suffer From ‘Psychosis’

April 10, 2021April 12, 2021

I’m not a fan of Lacy Hunt. But, paradoxically, I don’t hold that against him.

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6 Comments on Lacy Hunt Suggests Inflation Doomsayers Suffer From ‘Psychosis’

Evolution.

April 10, 2021April 11, 2021

It occurs to me that I probably come across as unduly derisive (or needlessly blunt)

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30 Comments on Evolution.

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

  • John3D on The Problem, In A Nutshell…
  • Sophist on The Problem, In A Nutshell…
  • TwinTigerz on Oil, Dammit!
  • Engineer on What’s What And WTF?

Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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