Chinese Deflation Eases On Holiday Effect, But Crisis Far From Over
The good news is, deflation in China eased last month. The bad news (or the
Weekly: Is Trump The Dog Who Caught The Car?
A year on from Donald Trump’s reelection, the president who promised a “new golden age”
Tech Downside Likely Amplified By Leveraged Stock ETFs
Earlier this week, I highlighted (or re-highlighted is more apt given the number of times
Leveraged Buildout
Last weekend, I noted that it’s not realistic to expect America’s largest hyper-scalers to fund
Trump Gets God-Awful Read On Consumer Sentiment
Donald Trump and the personality cult that is the Republican party need to be careful:
Xi Jinping’s Export Machine Slams Into Reverse
And just like that, the only reliable pillar supporting the Chinese growth impulse looks wobbly.
Should Taxpayers Preemptively Bail Out OpenAI?
We’ve come too far, there’s too much to lose! — Frank Ricard As questions mount
US Economy Lost Jobs In October, Alternative Facts Suggest
If you’ve never heard of the Revelio Public Labor Statistics, don’t worry: The data wasn’t
BoE Gambles On Inflation Ebb With Dovish Pivot
Bank of England policy decisions are comedic these days. I’m not sure I’ve ever seen
Bleak Report Shows US Job Cuts Soaring, Hiring Plans Plunging
Job cuts. They’re happening in America. Lots of them by appearances. The monthly Challenger, Gray
Zohran Mamdani’s Not Crazy, The Rest Of Us Are
I have no interest in debating New Yorkers about the merits of a Zohran Mamdani
US Services Activity Heats Up. Price Index Is Sky-High
If you’re looking for recession canaries, you won’t find them in the marquee measure of
Treasury Tweaks Coupon Auction Guidance First Time Since Yellen
For the first time since Janet Yellen inaugurated conciliatory language to placate an irritable market
Coy Labor Market Leaves Fed Divided
Private sector employers in the US added more jobs than expected in October, this week’s
In US Housing, Turnover’s Never Been Lower
America’s resale housing market remains woefully — perennially, even– beset. Closings have managed just a
The Underappreciated Impact Of Leveraged Stock ETFs
Occasionally, you’ll see a mainstream financial media article about leveraged ETFs, but such pieces are
Another Froth Chart
Did you hear? There’s a bubble afoot. The financial media’s all over it. Michael Burry
Shiller! Bubbles! Burry!
Ted Pick says “We should welcome the possibility [of a] 10% to 15% drawdown” in
Virtuous Circle Or Rehypothecation?
Another session, another circular AI deal. If this all implodes one day — you can
Bullish Stocks, Bearish Life
I wish I were a Pollyanna. Really I do. Whenever I pen something that’s constructive
33 Out Of 36
The first of this week’s key US macro updates suggested factory activity across the world’s
One Word: Strong
Earnings season in the US is going well. Maybe you noticed. Specifically, 82% of companies
It’s Jobs Week In The US, BLS Or No BLS
In the days ahead, an assemblage of private sector US macro releases will give traders
Fed Succumbs To Polarization Plaguing America
Jerome Powell wasn’t exaggerating last week when he said there were “strongly different views” on
Weekly: The AI Spending Question
Now we’re supposed to believe investors are newly skeptical of AI spending. Just not at
Buffett’s Cash Pile Hits New Record At $382 Billion
It’s a Berkshire weekend. They always sneak up on me. Ol’ Warren (and “ol’” isn’t
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