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Dissembling Strategery

October 28, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Alphabet Whiffs, Microsoft Hits

    October 28, 2026
  • Mona Lisa’s Smirk

    October 28, 2026October 28, 2026
  • The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

    October 28, 2026October 28, 2026

Markets

F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

    October 26, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Only You Can Prevent A Bear Market

    October 26, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Credit Canaries

    October 25, 2026October 26, 2026

economy

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s A Big Week

    October 25, 2026October 27, 2026
  • What To Expect From The October FOMC Meeting

    October 24, 2026October 26, 2026

Geopolitics

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Not Done Just Yet?

October 22, 2026October 23, 2026

Questions, But No Answers

October 19, 2026October 20, 2026

Duly Noted

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Mind The Control Group!

October 15, 2026October 16, 2026

Panic Returns To Markets As Fed Fears Crescendo

June 13, 2022June 13, 2022

Risk sentiment was severely impaired Monday, when acute angst about the outlook for Fed policy

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1 Comment on Panic Returns To Markets As Fed Fears Crescendo

Traders Get No Respite From Data During Fed Week

June 12, 2022June 13, 2022

The June FOMC meeting isn’t the only notable event on the docket this week, although

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2 Comments on Traders Get No Respite From Data During Fed Week

Volcker Or Bust: What To Expect From June’s Fed Meeting

June 12, 2022June 15, 2022

The June FOMC meeting will dominate the news reel this week. Let’s be clear about

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6 Comments on Volcker Or Bust: What To Expect From June’s Fed Meeting

America Needs To Rediscover Sacrifice In Inflation Fight

June 12, 2022June 13, 2022

The Fed needs to show some conviction this week. The June FOMC meeting is an

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14 Comments on America Needs To Rediscover Sacrifice In Inflation Fight

Euro Fragmentation Demons Haunt ECB’s Rate Hike Dreams

June 11, 2022June 13, 2022

Time and again over the past several years, I’ve suggested that absent the ECB backstop,

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Leave a Comment on Euro Fragmentation Demons Haunt ECB’s Rate Hike Dreams

You Still Owe The Fed $38.6 Trillion

June 11, 2022June 13, 2022

Let’s start with a simple premise: The Fed now realizes that the massive windfall from

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1 Comment on You Still Owe The Fed $38.6 Trillion

The Math Just Doesn’t Work For US Stocks

June 11, 2022June 22, 2022

It’s still not a real selloff. US equities suffered their second worst week of a

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Traders, Fed Confront ‘Utterly Mad’ Reality

June 10, 2022June 12, 2022

“Where’s my bear market rally gone?” BofA’s Michael Hartnett wondered, somewhat sarcastically. The bank’s semi-famous

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3 Comments on Traders, Fed Confront ‘Utterly Mad’ Reality

Wall Street Gripped By Policy Panic, Stagflation Fears

June 10, 2022June 11, 2022

Friday brought gloom and doom aplenty for the US economy, where price pressures continue to

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4 Comments on Wall Street Gripped By Policy Panic, Stagflation Fears

‘Dismal’: US Consumer Sentiment Collapses To Record Low

June 10, 2022June 11, 2022

US consumer sentiment collapsed to a record low in early June, the preliminary read on

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7 Comments on ‘Dismal’: US Consumer Sentiment Collapses To Record Low

Unmitigated Disaster: US Gets Worst Inflation Report Yet

June 10, 2022June 14, 2022

Consumer prices in the US accelerated more rapidly than expected in May, crucial data out

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13 Comments on Unmitigated Disaster: US Gets Worst Inflation Report Yet

Nabiullina’s Miracle: Russia Cuts Rates To Pre-War Levels

June 10, 2022June 16, 2022

Elvira Nabiullina should’ve resigned when Vladimir Putin invaded Ukraine in February. As it turns out,

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5 Comments on Nabiullina’s Miracle: Russia Cuts Rates To Pre-War Levels

‘We Gotta Eat’: Food Crisis Becomes Biggest Macro Flashpoint

June 9, 2022June 17, 2022

Wishful thinking. That’s a two-word summary of the pushback you’ll likely receive if you’re brave

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9 Comments on ‘We Gotta Eat’: Food Crisis Becomes Biggest Macro Flashpoint

An S&P That ‘Looks Through’ Inflation Vol Is 7% Higher: JPMorgan

June 9, 2022June 10, 2022

A fixture of various “new era,” economic-regime-shift commentary is the idea that macro volatility has

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5 Comments on An S&P That ‘Looks Through’ Inflation Vol Is 75 Higher: JPMorgan

Albert Edwards Sees Telltale Recession Signs

June 9, 2022June 10, 2022

SocGen’s Albert Edwards sees telltale signs of an economic downturn. In and of itself, that

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Leave a Comment on Albert Edwards Sees Telltale Recession Signs

ECB Commits To Series Of Rate Hikes In Perilous Pivot

June 9, 2022June 14, 2022

The ECB will end net asset purchases under its long-running QE program on July 1,

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3 Comments on ECB Commits To Series Of Rate Hikes In Perilous Pivot

China Rapidly Shoots Down Ant Group IPO Revival ‘News’

June 9, 2022June 9, 2022

For a few minutes on Thursday, markets thought Chinese officials were leaning towards reviving Ant

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Leave a Comment on China Rapidly Shoots Down Ant Group IPO Revival ‘News’

Deflation, Not Inflation, Is Biggest Risk: Cathie Wood

June 8, 2022June 9, 2022

Cathie Wood has an idea. Don’t worry. It’s not a pitch for flying taxis that

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9 Comments on Deflation, Not Inflation, Is Biggest Risk: Cathie Wood

Debt Don’t Fail Us Now

June 8, 2022June 10, 2022

The cracks are getting wider in the US economy. Mortgage applications dropped 6.5% last week,

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4 Comments on Debt Don’t Fail Us Now

The Moral High Ground When Everyone’s Immoral

June 8, 2022June 19, 2022

“Saddam Hussein wasn’t an especially good guy.” That’s about all anyone who still defends America’s

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10 Comments on The Moral High Ground When Everyone’s Immoral

OECD Warns Of ‘Famine’ As World ‘Pays Price’ Of Putin’s War

June 8, 2022June 14, 2022

“A humanitarian crisis is unfolding before our eyes, leaving thousands dead, forcing millions of refugees

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8 Comments on OECD Warns Of ‘Famine’ As World ‘Pays Price’ Of Putin’s War

Can We Keep A Few S&P Points For Posterity?

June 7, 2022June 8, 2022

When will the Fed rescue equities? Does the vaunted “Fed put” still exist? If so,

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8 Comments on Can We Keep A Few S&P Points For Posterity?

‘Summer Of Volcker’

June 7, 2022June 8, 2022

“There simply isn’t the conviction or willingness to take your underlying core exposure back up

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7 Comments on ‘Summer Of Volcker’

Target Sounds Macro Alarm. Again.

June 7, 2022June 8, 2022

The writing is on the wall. And it’s scrawled in big, red letters. US corporate

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6 Comments on Target Sounds Macro Alarm. Again.

More Yen Sanity

June 7, 2022June 17, 2022

There’s one dove left in a world of monetary policy hawks. The Bank of Japan

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2 Comments on More Yen Sanity

Fresh Out Of Patience, Australia’s Uber-Dove Shocks Markets

June 7, 2022June 7, 2022

It wasn’t so long ago when RBA governor Philip Lowe was a “patient” man, predisposed

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Leave a Comment on Fresh Out Of Patience, Australia’s Uber-Dove Shocks Markets

Economics May Kill Us

June 6, 2022June 8, 2022

“Humans need food, shelter, warmth and a wage,” BofA’s Michael Hartnett declared, in his latest

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19 Comments on Economics May Kill Us

Posts pagination

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

  • n3utra on Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks
  • WMD on Dissembling Strategery
  • derek on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)
  • J Rose on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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