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Featured

F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

October 27, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 27, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 27, 2026

Markets

Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Only You Can Prevent A Bear Market

    October 26, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Credit Canaries

    October 25, 2026October 26, 2026
  • Weekly: Something Wicked This Way Comes?

    October 23, 2026October 26, 2026
  • After The Rally: What’s Next For Treasurys?

    October 23, 2026October 25, 2026

economy

It’s A Big Week

October 25, 2026October 27, 2026
  • What To Expect From The October FOMC Meeting

    October 24, 2026October 26, 2026
  • Kevin Needs A Credit Event

    October 23, 2026October 25, 2026
  • Return Of The Left-Tail

    October 22, 2026October 23, 2026
  • Dear Lord…

    October 20, 2026October 21, 2026

Geopolitics

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Not Done Just Yet?

October 22, 2026October 23, 2026

Questions, But No Answers

October 19, 2026October 20, 2026

Duly Noted

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Mind The Control Group!

October 15, 2026October 16, 2026

Republicans May Have A Math Problem In Debt Ceiling Standoff

January 30, 2023March 5, 2023

If you take House Republicans’ budget bombast literally, a key GOP demand for agreeing to

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4 Comments on Republicans May Have A Math Problem In Debt Ceiling Standoff

Mike Wilson Doubles Down: Rally ‘Just Another Bear Market Trap’

January 30, 2023March 5, 2023

“Reality” is coming for 2023’s early stock rally. That’s according to Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson,

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2 Comments on Mike Wilson Doubles Down: Rally ‘Just Another Bear Market Trap’

Recession, Stagflation Fears Resurface In Europe

January 30, 2023February 4, 2023

Don’t call off the European recession just yet. The German economy contracted in the fourth

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Leave a Comment on Recession, Stagflation Fears Resurface In Europe

Standing-Room Only

January 29, 2023February 4, 2023

To say it’ll be a busy week for fundamentals-focused traders and investors would be to

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Leave a Comment on Standing-Room Only

The Art Of The Hawkish Step-Down

January 29, 2023February 4, 2023

Jerome Powell’s birthday is coming up. Upon ascending the Fed chairmanship in 2018, Powell was

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9 Comments on The Art Of The Hawkish Step-Down

Default Plan

January 28, 2023February 4, 2023

“A politically disruptive standoff is likely later this year,” Goldman’s David Kostin said, citing the

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8 Comments on Default Plan

Television People

January 28, 2023January 30, 2023

Notwithstanding the “outsider” shtick favored by right-wing populists in Washington and, on the other side

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10 Comments on Television People

All Aboard!

January 27, 2023February 4, 2023

The Nasdaq 100 is on track for a double-digit monthly gain, Tesla rose more than

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2 Comments on All Aboard!

Does Hindenburg’s Anderson Know What He’s Getting Into?

January 27, 2023March 5, 2023

On Thursday, I characterized mainstream financial media coverage of the Gautam Adani “fraud” allegations as

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8 Comments on Does Hindenburg’s Anderson Know What He’s Getting Into?

US Consumers Real Tired Of Inflation

January 27, 2023February 4, 2023

Real personal spending in the US fell three times more than expected last month, data

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3 Comments on US Consumers Real Tired Of Inflation

The ‘No Landing’ Risk

January 27, 2023February 4, 2023

“Soft landing” or “hard landing”? The plane metaphors are a bit grating by now. As

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7 Comments on The ‘No Landing’ Risk

Leverage Is Not A Four-Letter Word, Bassman Reminds You

January 26, 2023January 27, 2023

A Commentary by Harley Bassman (Twitter: @ConvexityMaven) On March 16, 2021, I offered that “it

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2 Comments on Leverage Is Not A Four-Letter Word, Bassman Reminds You

Potemkin Village

January 26, 2023January 29, 2023

Americans bought 644,000 new homes last year, the government said Thursday. That was the fewest

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12 Comments on Potemkin Village

Reply Hazy. Try Again Later

January 26, 2023February 4, 2023

The US economy grew more briskly than expected in the final three months of 2022,

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2 Comments on Reply Hazy. Try Again Later

Newsworthy

January 26, 2023February 4, 2023

It hasn’t been a “quiet” week, per se. But it’s been one of those weeks

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10 Comments on Newsworthy

Big Blue To Cut Jobs, Tesla To Cut Costs

January 25, 2023February 4, 2023

Add IBM to the ranks of US tech behemoths cutting jobs. The company will give

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7 Comments on Big Blue To Cut Jobs, Tesla To Cut Costs

Persistent Disconnects

January 25, 2023February 4, 2023

One of the more remarkable anomalies in a year full of them was the persistent

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Hold Your Hawkses

January 25, 2023February 4, 2023

“If economic developments evolve broadly in line with the outlook, Governing Council expects to hold

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1 Comment on Hold Your Hawkses

Leopards, Paper Tigers And Russian Bears, Oh My!

January 25, 2023February 4, 2023

“Before we started sending them weapons they were killing Russians with things you could find

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10 Comments on Leopards, Paper Tigers And Russian Bears, Oh My!

A Slowdown Is A Slowdown

January 25, 2023February 4, 2023

“Growth continued to moderate, particularly in December, and we exited the quarter with Azure constant

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10 Comments on A Slowdown Is A Slowdown

Cloudy Forecast Undercuts Microsoft’s ‘Better-Than-Feared’ Results

January 24, 2023February 4, 2023

It’s a good thing Microsoft has a ~$13 billion inside line on the future of

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1 Comment on Cloudy Forecast Undercuts Microsoft’s ‘Better-Than-Feared’ Results

JPMorgan Sees End To Mechanical Bull

January 24, 2023February 4, 2023

Eventually, “risk markets will have to reconnect with the late-cycle backdrop.” That’s according to JPMorgan

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‘Stagflation!’ Screamed The PMIs

January 24, 2023February 4, 2023

I’m not sure where we are this week when it comes to the good news-bad

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2 Comments on ‘Stagflation!’ Screamed The PMIs

Tug Of War For The World

January 24, 2023February 4, 2023

Simmering superpower tensions were on display this week, casting doubt on the notion that Washington

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6 Comments on Tug Of War For The World

Lucky Europe, Unlucky Britain

January 24, 2023February 4, 2023

Against the odds, and with a little help from an unusually accommodating Old Man Winter,

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1 Comment on Lucky Europe, Unlucky Britain

Capitol Offense

January 23, 2023February 4, 2023

“When should we worry about the debt ceiling?” concerned market participants ask, every second of

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10 Comments on Capitol Offense

The Cash Is Drying Up

January 23, 2023February 4, 2023

There’s good news from “always and everywhere” land, where tautologies masquerade as wisdom and complex

Read More

4 Comments on The Cash Is Drying Up

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

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Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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