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Featured

Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?

September 22, 2026
  • WTF: Buyer’s Market, Higher Prices?

    September 22, 2026
  • ‘Do I Annihilate Iran, Drive Them Into Hell?’ Nobel Hopeful Asks

    September 22, 2026
  • ‘Let The Oil Flow!’ Again!

    September 22, 2026September 22, 2026

Markets

There’s A Lot Riding On The Chips…

September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Erstwhile Bear Confident In Year-End Stock Rally

    September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Wall Street’s Fata Morgana Risk

    September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • What Happens To Stocks If Treasury Yields Go To 6%?

    September 20, 2026September 21, 2026
  • ‘The House’ Humiliated As Yen Plunges

    September 18, 2026September 20, 2026

economy

The Fed’s Never Been This Sure About The Jobs Market

September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Weekly: The Counterfactual

    September 18, 2026September 20, 2026
  • A Mixed Read On A Grim Housing Market

    September 17, 2026September 19, 2026
  • Below 200k. Again.

    September 17, 2026September 18, 2026
  • Warsh Fed Hikes, Thank God

    September 16, 2026September 17, 2026

Geopolitics

A King In Washington

September 20, 2026September 21, 2026

Achtung Baby

September 20, 2026September 21, 2026

The ‘Real-World’ Energy Shock’s Finally Here

September 19, 2026September 21, 2026

Duly Noted

Who’s Coming To Nashville?

September 19, 2026September 20, 2026

Builder Sentiment Crumbles As US Mortgage Rates Soar

September 16, 2026September 17, 2026

Haves, Have-Nots And The Term Premium

October 20, 2023October 20, 2023

Earlier this week, I noted that money market funds are throwing off an estimated $22

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Xi’s Reopening Bull Market Crashes And Burns In 12 Months

October 20, 2023October 21, 2023

This feels a little gratuitous, but I don’t generally care. We’re talking about an autocrat

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7 Comments on Xi’s Reopening Bull Market Crashes And Burns In 12 Months

Famous BofA Indicator Flashes Rare, Contrarian ‘Buy’ Signal

October 20, 2023October 22, 2023

It’s time to “nibble.” That’s according to BofA’s Michael Hartnett who, despite what sometimes feels

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2 Comments on Famous BofA Indicator Flashes Rare, Contrarian ‘Buy’ Signal

Money Market Funds See Largest Outflow Since Lehman

October 19, 2023October 19, 2023

Money market funds saw the largest weekly exodus since Lehman in the week to October

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The Disinversion You Should Be Watching

October 19, 2023October 19, 2023

When you hear the term “disinversion,” you probably think Treasury curve. If this were a

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Fed Policy ‘Not Too Tight,’ Powell Says, After Otherwise Balanced Remarks

October 19, 2023November 5, 2023

As expected, Jerome Powell tried to thread the needle on Thursday during closely-watched remarks prepared

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4 Comments on Fed Policy ‘Not Too Tight,’ Powell Says, After Otherwise Balanced Remarks

Are Higher Rates Inflationary Now?

October 19, 2023October 19, 2023

On Thursday, while editorializing around the slowest pace of US existing home sales since 2010,

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1 Comment on Are Higher Rates Inflationary Now?

Albert Edwards Exposes China’s GDP ‘Beat’

October 19, 2023October 21, 2023

In “Roses Are Red,” I gently suggested market participants should cast a wary eye at

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3 Comments on Albert Edwards Exposes China’s GDP ‘Beat’

‘The Fed Simply Can’t Keep Raising Rates’: Existing Home Sales Slowest Since 2010

October 19, 2023October 20, 2023

The good news is, existing home sales in the US actually managed to beat estimates

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5 Comments on ‘The Fed Simply Can’t Keep Raising Rates’: Existing Home Sales Slowest Since 2010

The Never-Ending US Treasury Selloff

October 19, 2023October 20, 2023

Bonds were in the headlines again on Thursday, when 30-year US yields pushed well above

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1 Comment on The Never-Ending US Treasury Selloff

No Surrender

October 19, 2023October 19, 2023

“No surrender!” shouted the US labor market. Initial jobless claims for the week ending October

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Never A Dull Moment For Bonds Gone Wild

October 18, 2023October 18, 2023

There’s rarely a dull moment in the US rates complex these days. If it’s fireworks

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7 Comments on Never A Dull Moment For Bonds Gone Wild

‘What Sets Us Apart’

October 18, 2023November 5, 2023

“We believe in the fundamental dignity of every human life,” Joe Biden declared on Wednesday,

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6 Comments on ‘What Sets Us Apart’

Netflix Had A Lot Of Paying Add(ict)s

October 18, 2023October 19, 2023

Much as it pains me to take up my time and yours with Netflix earnings

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7 Comments on Netflix Had A Lot Of Paying Add(ict)s

Market Hedging Mideast ‘Tinderbox’ With VIX, Crude, Gold: McElligott

October 18, 2023

Bonds haven’t been the best hedge for your equities over the past two years. Maybe

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Roses Are Red

October 18, 2023November 5, 2023

“When you give roses to others, the fragrance lingers on your hand.” So said Xi

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1 Comment on Roses Are Red

Housing Starts Tick Up, Mortgage Apps At 28-Year Low Amid Rate Surge

October 18, 2023October 19, 2023

US housing starts missed estimates for September in data released on Wednesday, even as they

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1 Comment on Housing Starts Tick Up, Mortgage Apps At 28-Year Low Amid Rate Surge

Inflation Data Offers No Clarity For Befuddled Bank Of England

October 18, 2023October 18, 2023

Unless you’re a Bank of England policymaker, inflation data out of the UK wasn’t on

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Gaza Hospital Disaster Raises Odds Of Mideast Worst-Case

October 17, 2023October 18, 2023

“The shreds of the bodies have overlapped.” That’s a quote from a doctor at Al

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13 Comments on Gaza Hospital Disaster Raises Odds Of Mideast Worst-Case

Bond Fireworks: Largest Treasury ETF Now More Volatile Than Stocks

October 17, 2023

Anyone hoping for a reprieve from the “penny stock“-esque, rollercoaster price action that’s come to

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2 Comments on Bond Fireworks: Largest Treasury ETF Now More Volatile Than Stocks

Who’ll Buy Equities In 2024?

October 17, 2023October 17, 2023

Market participants are understandably concerned about what many argue is a burgeoning supply/demand imbalance in

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1 Comment on Who’ll Buy Equities In 2024?

Frustration Grows As Americans Need $115K Salary To Afford Homes

October 17, 2023October 18, 2023

The highest mortgage rates in decades continued to weigh on US builder sentiment in October,

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15 Comments on Frustration Grows As Americans Need $115K Salary To Afford Homes

D-Sol Scratches Up Mixed Results As Goldman Tries To Placate Critics

October 17, 2023November 5, 2023

Last quarter, the question at (or at least for) Goldman was: Is this as bad

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Americans Refuse To Stop Spending

October 17, 2023October 18, 2023

The US consumer is unbowed, undaunted and unperturbed, a closely-watched update on nominal spending across

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2 Comments on Americans Refuse To Stop Spending

Bank Of America Is Doing Fine

October 17, 2023October 17, 2023

The US economy is “healthy but slowing,” Brian Moynihan said Tuesday, while unveiling a set

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2 Comments on Bank Of America Is Doing Fine

Kolanovic, JPMorgan Add Bonds, Gold Amid Familiar Risks

October 16, 2023

Different month, same risks. That was the overarching message from JPMorgan analysts led by Marko

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1 Comment on Kolanovic, JPMorgan Add Bonds, Gold Amid Familiar Risks

Are We There Yet? (No)

October 16, 2023October 17, 2023

On Monday, while perusing the sparse menu of non-geopolitical articles on offer across the mainstream

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Posts pagination

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

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Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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