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Category: Markets

‘Disconnected From Reality’ In A Nefarious Bear Market

February 13, 2023March 5, 2023

Speculative bear market rallies are nefarious beasts. Not only are they dangerous, they also have

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3 Comments on ‘Disconnected From Reality’ In A Nefarious Bear Market

Macro Dinner Whispers

February 12, 2023February 15, 2023

Headed into the new week, there was a “building hot inflation whisper.” Speculation around an

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1 Comment on Macro Dinner Whispers

‘Peak Goldilocks’: Why The Party May Be Over

February 11, 2023February 15, 2023

It’s “tempting,” one bank says, to believe “peak Goldilocks” has come and gone. The combination

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7 Comments on ‘Peak Goldilocks’: Why The Party May Be Over

Hawks And Doves On The Carousel Of Madness

February 10, 2023February 12, 2023

It’s been a week since the combination of a blockbuster US jobs report and a

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2 Comments on Hawks And Doves On The Carousel Of Madness

Americans ‘With Large Stock Holdings’ Thanked For Sentiment Boost

February 10, 2023February 11, 2023

American consumer attitudes were “mixed” in early February, according to the preliminary vintage of this

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1 Comment on Americans ‘With Large Stock Holdings’ Thanked For Sentiment Boost

Albert Edwards Sees Another Recession Canary

February 9, 2023February 10, 2023

It won’t surprise you to learn that SocGen’s Albert Edwards is skeptical this week. Skeptical

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5 Comments on Albert Edwards Sees Another Recession Canary

Meme Melee Cost Credit Suisse $80 Billion In Outflows, Results Suggest

February 9, 2023February 10, 2023

Unfounded rumors about Credit Suisse’s solvency contributed to a larger-than-expected CHF110.5 billion outflow during Q4.

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3 Comments on Meme Melee Cost Credit Suisse $80 Billion In Outflows, Results Suggest

‘Surreal’ Tech Rally Vulnerable To Reality Check, Some Worry

February 8, 2023February 9, 2023

As you might’ve noticed recently, equities aren’t inclined to believe central banks when it comes

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4 Comments on ‘Surreal’ Tech Rally Vulnerable To Reality Check, Some Worry

Tragicomedy: UK Stocks Hit Record On BP Bonanza While 7 Million Can’t Pay Bills

February 8, 2023February 9, 2023

I have an affinity for tragicomedy. Probably because my own life blends elements of the

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4 Comments on Tragicomedy: UK Stocks Hit Record On BP Bonanza While 7 Million Can’t Pay Bills

JPMorgan Warns Risks Shifting Towards Even Higher Rate Peaks

February 6, 2023February 7, 2023

“Chaotic.” That’s how JPMorgan analysts led by Marko Kolanovic described last week’s price action, torn

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3 Comments on JPMorgan Warns Risks Shifting Towards Even Higher Rate Peaks

Terminal Correction

February 6, 2023February 7, 2023

I have some potentially distressing news for those who might’ve gone all-in on the notion

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Is The Dow Trying To Tell Us Something?

February 6, 2023February 7, 2023

Is the Dow’s relative underperformance versus the S&P in 2023 trying to tell us something

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Three Stories For 2023’s Everything Rally

February 6, 2023February 6, 2023

There are three stories driving the market in 2023 and those stories are “distinctly different.”

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4 Comments on Three Stories For 2023’s Everything Rally

A ‘Challenging’ Path Forward

February 4, 2023February 6, 2023

You wouldn’t know it to look at the outsized gains across benchmarks in 2023, but

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1 Comment on A ‘Challenging’ Path Forward

Goldman Says Scope For Additional Stock Gains ‘Limited’ After Rally

February 4, 2023February 6, 2023

Goldman is raising their near-term S&P target. Or perhaps it’s more apt to say they’re

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2 Comments on Goldman Says Scope For Additional Stock Gains ‘Limited’ After Rally

Funds Trapped In ‘Doom Loop’ Amid ‘Spot Up, Vol Up’ Trade

February 3, 2023February 5, 2023

Some unlucky folks on the buy-side might be trapped in a “doom loop” with little

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2 Comments on Funds Trapped In ‘Doom Loop’ Amid ‘Spot Up, Vol Up’ Trade

‘Apocalypse Postponed’

February 3, 2023February 5, 2023

If you’re looking for “signs of greed,” BofA’s Michael Hartnett sees one. He probably sees

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4 Comments on ‘Apocalypse Postponed’

AAA Letdown

February 2, 2023February 4, 2023

Amazon averted a worst-case sales scenario during the final three months of 2022, results released

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7 Comments on AAA Letdown

Groundhog Day

February 2, 2023February 8, 2023

The first question Jerome Powell took during this week’s post-FOMC press conference related to the

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6 Comments on Groundhog Day

Easy Money

February 1, 2023February 4, 2023

Asked during Wednesday’s press conference whether easier financial conditions as a result of buoyant stock

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5 Comments on Easy Money

‘Ongoing’

February 1, 2023February 4, 2023

The Fed hiked rates by 25bps on Wednesday, as expected. The decision was unanimous. Contrary

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1 Comment on ‘Ongoing’

A Little Bit Of Everything

January 31, 2023February 4, 2023

The US consumer is feeling worse about the outlook, and the rate at which employers

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4 Comments on A Little Bit Of Everything

Markets May Hit ‘Air Pocket’ Soon, Kolanovic Warns

January 30, 2023January 31, 2023

Fade it. That’s the mantra among some of Wall Street’s most recognizable names when it

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2 Comments on Markets May Hit ‘Air Pocket’ Soon, Kolanovic Warns

2023’s ‘Most Mispriced Tail Risk’

January 30, 2023July 24, 2023

It’s unlikely that anything Jerome Powell has to say on Wednesday, following the conclusion of

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16 Comments on 2023’s ‘Most Mispriced Tail Risk’

Dollar Declines Like This One Are Exceedingly Rare

January 30, 2023February 4, 2023

Look behind the rally since mid-October and you’ll find two things: Falling rates volatility and

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Mike Wilson Doubles Down: Rally ‘Just Another Bear Market Trap’

January 30, 2023March 5, 2023

“Reality” is coming for 2023’s early stock rally. That’s according to Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson,

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2 Comments on Mike Wilson Doubles Down: Rally ‘Just Another Bear Market Trap’

The Art Of The Hawkish Step-Down

January 29, 2023February 4, 2023

Jerome Powell’s birthday is coming up. Upon ascending the Fed chairmanship in 2018, Powell was

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9 Comments on The Art Of The Hawkish Step-Down

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

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Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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