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Category: Markets

SVB On Brink Of Collapse

March 10, 2023March 11, 2023

The bottom fell out entirely for SVB on Friday, when a planned capital raise reportedly

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8 Comments on SVB On Brink Of Collapse

Flaming Butterflies

March 10, 2023March 10, 2023

The crisis at Silicon Valley Bank managed to outcompete US payrolls for space above the

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5 Comments on Flaming Butterflies

‘Stay Calm,’ It’s Just A Bank Run

March 10, 2023March 20, 2023

“Stay calm.” That was Silicon Valley Bank CEO Greg Becker’s exhortation to VCs during a

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10 Comments on ‘Stay Calm,’ It’s Just A Bank Run

GM Asks Salaried Employees To Step Out Of The Vehicle

March 9, 2023March 10, 2023

Add GM to the ranks of major US corporations looking to trim headcount. On Thursday,

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2 Comments on GM Asks Salaried Employees To Step Out Of The Vehicle

Margin Squeeze May ‘Drive US Into Recession’: SocGen’s Edwards

March 8, 2023March 9, 2023

“It is the rear-guard action of companies that ’causes’ recessions as they slash both jobs

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4 Comments on Margin Squeeze May ‘Drive US Into Recession’: SocGen’s Edwards

In Canada, A Watershed Pause

March 8, 2023March 9, 2023

In a watershed moment of sorts, The Bank of Canada paused its tightening campaign. Although

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3 Comments on In Canada, A Watershed Pause

Bassman Compares ‘Team Transitory’ To Reckless Gamblers

March 7, 2023March 8, 2023

A Commentary by Harley Bassman (Twitter: @ConvexityMaven)   Family lore suggests that my great Aunt

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2 Comments on Bassman Compares ‘Team Transitory’ To Reckless Gamblers

The Most Important Canary For Corporate Profits?

March 7, 2023March 8, 2023

There’s a historic ravine between reported earnings and cash flows in the US, and it

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1 Comment on The Most Important Canary For Corporate Profits?

Clumsy RBA Messaging Raises Risks For Indebted Australian Households

March 7, 2023March 7, 2023

“Global inflation remains very high,” the RBA said Tuesday. “It will be some time before

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1 Comment on Clumsy RBA Messaging Raises Risks For Indebted Australian Households

Kolanovic Warns On Stocks As JPMorgan Sees ‘Boiling Frogs’

March 6, 2023March 15, 2023

The fundamental outlook for risk assets is challenging. One strong week for stocks (let alone

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5 Comments on Kolanovic Warns On Stocks As JPMorgan Sees ‘Boiling Frogs’

Fate Of Bear Market Rally Hangs On Two Things

March 6, 2023March 7, 2023

When Mike Wilson turns tactically (and relatively) constructive on equities, you might be inclined to

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1 Comment on Fate Of Bear Market Rally Hangs On Two Things

Wilson Pivots, Says Stock Rally May Continue. For Now

March 6, 2023March 15, 2023

Mike Wilson has seen enough. For now, anyway. US equities may manage to sustain a

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10 Comments on Wilson Pivots, Says Stock Rally May Continue. For Now

Traders Eye Big Week As Powell, US Jobs, Central Banks Loom

March 5, 2023March 9, 2023

It’s a big week for the US economy. Crucial jobs data will be a verdict

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3 Comments on Traders Eye Big Week As Powell, US Jobs, Central Banks Loom

No End Seen To America’s High-Stakes Inflation War

March 4, 2023March 6, 2023

Where does it end? That’s the question now for market participants warily (and wearily) eyeing

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7 Comments on No End Seen To America’s High-Stakes Inflation War

‘Year Of The Bond’ Meme Powers $30 Billion Treasury Inflow

March 3, 2023March 5, 2023

2023 was supposed to be the “year of the bond.” The thesis behind that mantra

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1 Comment on ‘Year Of The Bond’ Meme Powers $30 Billion Treasury Inflow

‘The Secular Script’ For An Inflationary Epoch

March 3, 2023March 9, 2023

“An era of extraordinary monetary policy is over,” BofA’s Michael Hartnett declared, dusting off a

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16 Comments on ‘The Secular Script’ For An Inflationary Epoch

Could The Inflation Crisis Dissolve The Euro?

March 2, 2023March 3, 2023

To exactly nobody’s surprise other than the economists whose forecasts again proved misguided, inflation in

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2 Comments on Could The Inflation Crisis Dissolve The Euro?

Determined Hawks, Ambivalent Bulls

March 1, 2023March 2, 2023

Markets felt all at once tense and disinterested following what it was fair to call

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3 Comments on Determined Hawks, Ambivalent Bulls

In Markets, Rationality Doesn’t Always Pay

February 28, 2023March 6, 2023

Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson spends a considerable amount of time in his weeklies addressing “pushback”

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8 Comments on In Markets, Rationality Doesn’t Always Pay

Stocks At ‘High Risk’ In March, Wilson Warns

February 27, 2023March 5, 2023

March is a “high risk” month for US equities. That’s according to Morgan Stanley’s Mike

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1 Comment on Stocks At ‘High Risk’ In March, Wilson Warns

How Much Have CTA And Options Flows Mattered Recently?

February 27, 2023February 28, 2023

How much did systematic re-leveraging matter for the rebound in US equities from October through

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Leave a Comment on How Much Have CTA And Options Flows Mattered Recently?

Tran·si·to·ry

February 26, 2023February 27, 2023

The usual first-of-the-month top-tier US data is split between two weeks in March. This week

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As American As Apple Pie And Billionaires

February 25, 2023March 4, 2023

I saw someone describe Warren Buffett’s annual letter as a “must-read” today. That sort of

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11 Comments on As American As Apple Pie And Billionaires

Stock Bulls Don Blinders As Rates Explode

February 25, 2023February 27, 2023

Even after the worst week for US equities since early December, it’d be hard to

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3 Comments on Stock Bulls Don Blinders As Rates Explode

Why McElligott Doesn’t Fear ‘Volmageddon 2.0’ — Yet

February 23, 2023March 5, 2023

Last week, one of the most recognizable names on the sell-side weighed in on the

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5 Comments on Why McElligott Doesn’t Fear ‘Volmageddon 2.0’ — Yet

Liquidity, Earnings And One Bear’s Big Disconnect

February 23, 2023February 24, 2023

Over the past week (or two or three) market participants latched onto a narrative about

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Albert Edwards Echoes Wilson: Stocks In ‘Death Zone’

February 23, 2023February 24, 2023

SocGen’s Albert Edwards agrees with Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson: US stocks are indeed in the

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2 Comments on Albert Edwards Echoes Wilson: Stocks In ‘Death Zone’

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