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Category: Markets

There’s A Wrench In Goldman’s Profit Machine

January 17, 2023February 4, 2023

Goldman missed on the top line and reported a $778 million pretax loss in its

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3 Comments on There’s A Wrench In Goldman’s Profit Machine

‘The Humans Are Still Bearish,’ But Less So

January 17, 2023February 4, 2023

“The humans are still bearish but a lot less bearish than in Q4,” BofA’s Michael

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2 Comments on ‘The Humans Are Still Bearish,’ But Less So

Gambling On Mao

January 16, 2023February 4, 2023

We’re all supposed to be buying Chinese stocks, apparently. The bull case goes something like

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9 Comments on Gambling On Mao

‘Pandora’s Box Is Open’: Will The BoJ Shock Markets Again?

January 15, 2023February 4, 2023

There was a time not so long ago — and by that I mean prior

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3 Comments on ‘Pandora’s Box Is Open’: Will The BoJ Shock Markets Again?

Finish Medication!

January 15, 2023February 4, 2023

Ahead of the pre-meeting quiet period, Fed officials have another week to push back on

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6 Comments on Finish Medication!

Tail Tales

January 14, 2023February 4, 2023

Humanity just suffered two left-tail events in succession. Pestilence came calling in 2020 and then,

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5 Comments on Tail Tales

War Games: Zoltan Pozsar And The Echo Chamber

January 14, 2023January 29, 2023

“Looks like the CIA are avid readers of Zoltan Pozsar.” That’s a real quote from

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Talking In Circles

January 13, 2023February 4, 2023

A recession is coming. Maybe. That was one tentative message from America’s largest banks, where

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3 Comments on Talking In Circles

Cautious Tone From BofA Feels Somewhat Ominous

January 13, 2023February 4, 2023

It was all about net interest income for Bank of America’s Q4 results, and the

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McElligott Warns Of ‘Inconvenient Truth’

January 13, 2023February 4, 2023

Over the past several weeks, I’ve editorialized breathlessly about the potential perils ahead for corporate

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1 Comment on McElligott Warns Of ‘Inconvenient Truth’

Goldman Reveals Scope Of Losses In Unit Housing Apple Card

January 13, 2023February 5, 2023

Headed into Q4 results due next week, Goldman investors were warily eying “Platform Solutions.” The

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JPMorgan Results Marred By Misses. Buybacks To Resume

January 13, 2023January 20, 2023

JPMorgan ended 2022 “in a position of strength,” Jamie Dimon said Friday. More importantly, the

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1 Comment on JPMorgan Results Marred By Misses. Buybacks To Resume

Losing Our Religion

January 12, 2023February 5, 2023

So far in 2023, US equities are up nearly 4%. At the same time, the

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7 Comments on Losing Our Religion

Done By March?

January 12, 2023February 5, 2023

Barring some unexpected turn, the Fed will almost surely downshift to “regular” rate hike increments

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1 Comment on Done By March?

A ‘Lost Decade’ Brought Forward

January 12, 2023February 5, 2023

Just prior to one of the most challenging years in history for multi-asset investors, Goldman

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Bulls Hard To Spot After Soul-Crushing Year

January 11, 2023February 5, 2023

There’s a lot of skepticism out there about US corporate profits. I realize this is

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1 Comment on Bulls Hard To Spot After Soul-Crushing Year

‘Be Careful What You Wish For,’ Mike Wilson Warns. Again.

January 11, 2023February 5, 2023

“Be careful what you wish for,” Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson warned, “way” back in August.

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5 Comments on ‘Be Careful What You Wish For,’ Mike Wilson Warns. Again.

McElligott Maps The Macro

January 11, 2023February 5, 2023

Markets are forward looking and the near universal adoption of the The Great One’s famous

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12 Comments on McElligott Maps The Macro

‘A Perfect Storm For Volatility’

January 10, 2023February 6, 2023

“Our track record at understanding inflation is really, really bad.” That rather stark admission, from

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6 Comments on ‘A Perfect Storm For Volatility’

Fear The 4th Quadrant: Kocic Says Markets At Critical Juncture

January 10, 2023February 6, 2023

“The unwind of financial repression is qualitatively different from traditional recoveries,” Deutsche Bank’s Aleksandar Kocic

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9 Comments on Fear The 4th Quadrant: Kocic Says Markets At Critical Juncture

Pozsar Prophecies Panned As ‘Austin Powers’-Style Parody

January 9, 2023January 10, 2023

Rabobank’s Michael Every is having none of it. By “it,” I mean any variation on

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13 Comments on Pozsar Prophecies Panned As ‘Austin Powers’-Style Parody

JPMorgan ‘Skeptical’ Of Rally, Says Soft Landing ‘Unlikely’

January 9, 2023January 10, 2023

“We are skeptical about a durable rally,” JPMorgan analysts led by Marko Kolanovic said Monday.

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5 Comments on JPMorgan ‘Skeptical’ Of Rally, Says Soft Landing ‘Unlikely’

Zoltan Pozsar, Humble Plumber

January 9, 2023January 20, 2023

“After all, I am just a ‘plumber,’ not a geostrategic expert.” So said Zoltan Pozsar,

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3 Comments on Zoltan Pozsar, Humble Plumber

Mike Wilson Worries Bears Aren’t Bearish Enough

January 9, 2023January 10, 2023

Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson can scarcely remember a time when he’s had as much interaction

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10 Comments on Mike Wilson Worries Bears Aren’t Bearish Enough

On ‘E’

January 8, 2023February 6, 2023

Most of the focus this week will be on the US CPI report, what it

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3 Comments on On ‘E’

The Fed ‘Will Love Me Even If I Don’t Listen’

January 5, 2023February 6, 2023

“I’ll be over 5% and I see staying there for some time,” Esther George told

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3 Comments on The Fed ‘Will Love Me Even If I Don’t Listen’

Bring Back Bezos

January 5, 2023February 6, 2023

In late April of last year, while unveiling Q1 results, Amazon foreshadowed an overcapacity problem

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23 Comments on Bring Back Bezos

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

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Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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