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Category: Markets

Fed Offers Rare Rebuke Of Market Rally In Meeting Minutes

January 4, 2023February 6, 2023

Those of you old enough to remember three weeks ago will recall that Jerome Powell

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5 Comments on Fed Offers Rare Rebuke Of Market Rally In Meeting Minutes

Yield Curve Godfather Says This Time May Be Different

January 4, 2023January 5, 2023

“Ask the yield curve” is a common reply when it comes to questions about whether

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7 Comments on Yield Curve Godfather Says This Time May Be Different

Knock On Wood

January 3, 2023February 6, 2023

The earliest price action of 2023 in US equities found two growth heavyweights under pressure,

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8 Comments on Knock On Wood

The Growth Stock Bubble Finally Burst

January 3, 2023January 4, 2023

It’s no secret that 2022 was a veritable disaster for growth stocks. Scores of investors

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2 Comments on The Growth Stock Bubble Finally Burst

2023 Orientation Day

January 3, 2023February 6, 2023

The first work day of the new year began with a deluge of notes and

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1 Comment on 2023 Orientation Day

Burning Questions

January 3, 2023February 6, 2023

Nothing says “pile into stocks” like piles of corpses. Don’t blame me for the macabre

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13 Comments on Burning Questions

Lost Down There

January 2, 2023January 9, 2023

I’m supposed to care about Tesla deliveries, and you are too. There was a time

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15 Comments on Lost Down There

No, Michael Burry Didn’t Say The US Is In A Recession

January 2, 2023January 3, 2023

Michael Burry kicked off the new year with a prediction. “Inflation peaked. But it is

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13 Comments on No, Michael Burry Didn’t Say The US Is In A Recession

Local Genius Loses $140 Billion In ‘Stock Market Craziness’

December 29, 2022December 31, 2022

It’s been a tumultuous and, I imagine, frustrating, year for Tesla shareholders. Getting into Tesla

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1 Comment on Local Genius Loses $140 Billion In ‘Stock Market Craziness’

Good Copy, Bad Copy

December 29, 2022December 31, 2022

Copy for the sake of it. I’m not a fan. Noteworthy market news was sparse

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3 Comments on Good Copy, Bad Copy

Click Monsters

December 28, 2022January 3, 2023

“It was a click monster.” I cringed, but she couldn’t see me since we communicated

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8 Comments on Click Monsters

Disconcerting Déjà Vu

December 28, 2022December 29, 2022

China’s grand reopening after three years of government-imposed isolation was supposed to save the global

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2 Comments on Disconcerting Déjà Vu

‘Placeholders For When Something Goes Wrong’

December 27, 2022December 29, 2022

There are a laundry list of reasons to cast a wary eye at the rate

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2 Comments on ‘Placeholders For When Something Goes Wrong’

Goldman’s ‘Most Out-Of-Consensus Call’ For 2023

December 27, 2022December 28, 2022

Goldman’s most out-of-consensus call for 2023 is arguably their most important. Generally speaking, economists and

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6 Comments on Goldman’s ‘Most Out-Of-Consensus Call’ For 2023

US Housing Market Enters 2023 As Bubble-Puzzle

December 25, 2022December 27, 2022

Home sales in the US either tumbled the most on record last month or ran

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4 Comments on US Housing Market Enters 2023 As Bubble-Puzzle

Visualizing Macro History

December 25, 2022December 27, 2022

Anyone with even a passing interest in markets can make a list of 2022’s “top”

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1 Comment on Visualizing Macro History

Existential Questions For 2023

December 24, 2022January 4, 2023

As the curtain closes on 2022, existential questions abound. Is the world headed for a

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6 Comments on Existential Questions For 2023

Stock Funds See Largest Exodus On Record

December 23, 2022December 25, 2022

Barring a Christmas miracle, 2022 will be the worst year for US equities since 2008.

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3 Comments on Stock Funds See Largest Exodus On Record

Ghost Of Christmas Past

December 23, 2022December 31, 2022

This time four years ago, Donald Trump was busy berating Jerome Powell’s golf game on

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Leave a Comment on Ghost Of Christmas Past

Hot Data And Tepper’s ‘Short’ Call

December 22, 2022December 23, 2022

“Stocks slump as bearish Tepper amplifies hot data,” one Thursday headline said. I suppose this

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3 Comments on Hot Data And Tepper’s ‘Short’ Call

No Recession Could Be Bad News For Stocks, Bonds In 2023

December 20, 2022December 26, 2022

One big risk in 2023 is that a hard landing doesn’t happen. That’s counterintuitive and

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9 Comments on No Recession Could Be Bad News For Stocks, Bonds In 2023

After The Fall: How To Regulate Crypto After $2 Trillion Collapse

December 20, 2022December 22, 2022

It’s been a bad year for crypto, to borrow Sam Bankman-Fried‘s deliberately understated description of

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3 Comments on After The Fall: How To Regulate Crypto After $2 Trillion Collapse

Why Is The VIX So Low?

December 20, 2022December 21, 2022

At regular intervals this year, sophisticated market participants have gone to extraordinary lengths to explain

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9 Comments on Why Is The VIX So Low?

Markets Ponder The Unthinkable After BoJ Shock

December 20, 2022December 21, 2022

“Symbolically, this is an important step,” SocGen’s Kit Juckes wrote Tuesday. He was referring to

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7 Comments on Markets Ponder The Unthinkable After BoJ Shock

Surprise! Bank Of Japan Stuns Markets With Policy Tweak

December 19, 2022December 27, 2022

The Bank of Japan finally blinked. At its last meeting of the year, the lone

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5 Comments on Surprise! Bank Of Japan Stuns Markets With Policy Tweak

Vox Populi

December 19, 2022December 24, 2022

Much as I’d like to, I can’t ignore the elephant in the room on Monday.

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8 Comments on Vox Populi

Read Elizabeth Warren’s Letter To Tesla’s Board

December 19, 2022December 20, 2022

On Monday morning, while documenting the latest and most dramatic twist in the ongoing soap

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8 Comments on Read Elizabeth Warren’s Letter To Tesla’s Board

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Monthly Letters

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Hell Or High Fashion

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