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Category: Markets

‘The Secular Script’ For An Inflationary Epoch

March 3, 2023March 9, 2023

“An era of extraordinary monetary policy is over,” BofA’s Michael Hartnett declared, dusting off a

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16 Comments on ‘The Secular Script’ For An Inflationary Epoch

Could The Inflation Crisis Dissolve The Euro?

March 2, 2023March 3, 2023

To exactly nobody’s surprise other than the economists whose forecasts again proved misguided, inflation in

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2 Comments on Could The Inflation Crisis Dissolve The Euro?

Determined Hawks, Ambivalent Bulls

March 1, 2023March 2, 2023

Markets felt all at once tense and disinterested following what it was fair to call

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3 Comments on Determined Hawks, Ambivalent Bulls

In Markets, Rationality Doesn’t Always Pay

February 28, 2023March 6, 2023

Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson spends a considerable amount of time in his weeklies addressing “pushback”

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8 Comments on In Markets, Rationality Doesn’t Always Pay

Stocks At ‘High Risk’ In March, Wilson Warns

February 27, 2023March 5, 2023

March is a “high risk” month for US equities. That’s according to Morgan Stanley’s Mike

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1 Comment on Stocks At ‘High Risk’ In March, Wilson Warns

How Much Have CTA And Options Flows Mattered Recently?

February 27, 2023February 28, 2023

How much did systematic re-leveraging matter for the rebound in US equities from October through

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Tran·si·to·ry

February 26, 2023February 27, 2023

The usual first-of-the-month top-tier US data is split between two weeks in March. This week

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As American As Apple Pie And Billionaires

February 25, 2023March 4, 2023

I saw someone describe Warren Buffett’s annual letter as a “must-read” today. That sort of

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11 Comments on As American As Apple Pie And Billionaires

Stock Bulls Don Blinders As Rates Explode

February 25, 2023February 27, 2023

Even after the worst week for US equities since early December, it’d be hard to

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3 Comments on Stock Bulls Don Blinders As Rates Explode

Why McElligott Doesn’t Fear ‘Volmageddon 2.0’ — Yet

February 23, 2023March 5, 2023

Last week, one of the most recognizable names on the sell-side weighed in on the

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5 Comments on Why McElligott Doesn’t Fear ‘Volmageddon 2.0’ — Yet

Liquidity, Earnings And One Bear’s Big Disconnect

February 23, 2023February 24, 2023

Over the past week (or two or three) market participants latched onto a narrative about

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Albert Edwards Echoes Wilson: Stocks In ‘Death Zone’

February 23, 2023February 24, 2023

SocGen’s Albert Edwards agrees with Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson: US stocks are indeed in the

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2 Comments on Albert Edwards Echoes Wilson: Stocks In ‘Death Zone’

Zuckerberg To Cut ‘Thousands’ More Jobs: Report

February 22, 2023February 23, 2023

Mark Zuckerberg’s “year of efficiency” is proceeding apace, apparently. Meta is gearing up for more

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3 Comments on Zuckerberg To Cut ‘Thousands’ More Jobs: Report

What The Fed Whisperer Is Reading This Week

February 22, 2023February 23, 2023

I’ve said it before, and I’ll say it again: In my opinion, it’s not ideal

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5 Comments on What The Fed Whisperer Is Reading This Week

Why The Risk Of Profit Letdowns Has Never Been Higher

February 21, 2023February 22, 2023

Never has the risk of downside earnings surprises from corporate America been greater. Or at

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1 Comment on Why The Risk Of Profit Letdowns Has Never Been Higher

‘Death Zones’ And The Trillion-Dollar Liquidity Narrative

February 20, 2023July 24, 2023

In his latest note, currently making the proverbial rounds, Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson channeled Jon

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7 Comments on ‘Death Zones’ And The Trillion-Dollar Liquidity Narrative

Fed Success May Go Through Shrinking Corporate Profits

February 20, 2023February 21, 2023

The US may be headed for an earnings recession+, but compared to the rest of

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1 Comment on Fed Success May Go Through Shrinking Corporate Profits

Three-Card Monte

February 19, 2023February 24, 2023

In the new week, markets will be treated to more key economic data impacted by

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2 Comments on Three-Card Monte

Stocks March To Their Own Drum

February 19, 2023February 20, 2023

Headed into this year, a generic narrative about bullish equity sentiment went something like this.

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4 Comments on Stocks March To Their Own Drum

The Mystery Of Oblivious Stocks

February 18, 2023February 20, 2023

Recalcitrant stocks are “baffling” Wall Street, declared a Bloomberg headline. It was an accurate, if

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6 Comments on The Mystery Of Oblivious Stocks

‘No Landing’ May Presage Stock Selloff, Late-Year Recession

February 17, 2023February 18, 2023

The likely result of a “no landing” macro environment in the first half of 2023

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1 Comment on ‘No Landing’ May Presage Stock Selloff, Late-Year Recession

‘No Landing’ Becomes Consensus

February 16, 2023February 17, 2023

If you ask Loretta Mester, demand across the US economy isn’t weakening as much as

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16 Comments on ‘No Landing’ Becomes Consensus

Defiant Stocks ‘Taunt’ Fed By Ignoring Dramatic Rates Repricing

February 15, 2023March 5, 2023

Over the past week, quite a bit of digital ink was spilled editorializing around the

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6 Comments on Defiant Stocks ‘Taunt’ Fed By Ignoring Dramatic Rates Repricing

Marko Kolanovic Warns Of ‘Volmageddon 2.0’ From 0DTE Option Craze

February 15, 2023February 16, 2023

Since rising to the top of JPMorgan’s research ranks, Marko Kolanovic’s role has felt more

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4 Comments on Marko Kolanovic Warns Of ‘Volmageddon 2.0’ From 0DTE Option Craze

What $850 Billion Said About The Rally, The Macro And The Fed

February 14, 2023February 15, 2023

Two-thirds of the nearly 300 panelists who participated in a closely-watched survey of fund managers

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6 Comments on What $850 Billion Said About The Rally, The Macro And The Fed

Only You Can Prevent Wildfires

February 14, 2023February 15, 2023

Markets appeared to come around Tuesday to what I’d describe as the “neutral” character of

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2 Comments on Only You Can Prevent Wildfires

Kolanovic Calls Markets ‘Complacent,’ Cuts Risk Again

February 13, 2023February 14, 2023

Markets are too complacent. That was the message on Monday from JPMorgan analysts led by

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Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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