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Category: Markets

Understanding The Valuation-Rates-Macro Nexus

April 23, 2023April 24, 2023

If last year’s cross-asset malaise taught us anything, it’s that no correlation, no matter how

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4 Comments on Understanding The Valuation-Rates-Macro Nexus

Another De-Dollarization Reality Check

April 22, 2023April 24, 2023

It’s not just your imagination, even if the narrative is (mostly) imaginary: De-dollarization is a

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9 Comments on Another De-Dollarization Reality Check

Money Market Assets Dive, Fed Backstop Usage Rises Amid Tax Distortions

April 20, 2023April 21, 2023

US money market fund assets plunged by almost $70 billion over the weekly reporting period

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6 Comments on Money Market Assets Dive, Fed Backstop Usage Rises Amid Tax Distortions

Musk’s Margins

April 19, 2023April 20, 2023

You wouldn’t know it from all the times I criticized him last year, but I

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9 Comments on Musk’s Margins

What’s The Fed Thinking? Ask ChatGPT

April 19, 2023April 20, 2023

Notwithstanding terrifying warnings+ about “nonhuman minds that might eventually outnumber, outsmart, obsolete and replace us,”

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4 Comments on What’s The Fed Thinking? Ask ChatGPT

Morgan Stanley Posts Solid Results, But Provisions Surge

April 19, 2023April 20, 2023

Morgan Stanley rounded out big US bank earnings Wednesday with a solid set of numbers

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1 Comment on Morgan Stanley Posts Solid Results, But Provisions Surge

Rising Recession Odds Bring Out The Bond Bulls

April 18, 2023April 19, 2023

I’ll say one thing for Hoisington’s quarterly letters: They’re efficient. The firm, which is synonymous

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6 Comments on Rising Recession Odds Bring Out The Bond Bulls

Untidy Goldman Results Suggest Solomon’s Pivot Still Work In Progress

April 18, 2023April 30, 2023

I think it’s fair to suggest that some observers believe Goldman has lost its way

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3 Comments on Untidy Goldman Results Suggest Solomon’s Pivot Still Work In Progress

BofA Bolstered By Blockbuster FICC Haul, Solid NII

April 18, 2023April 19, 2023

Last week’s big bank results suggested America’s largest financial institutions fared well in the first

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Leave a Comment on BofA Bolstered By Blockbuster FICC Haul, Solid NII

Kolanovic: Market Risk-Reward ‘Heavily Favors Cash’

April 17, 2023April 18, 2023

“Markets often bottom before the end of a recession, but not before the beginning of

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3 Comments on Kolanovic: Market Risk-Reward ‘Heavily Favors Cash’

The Bullfighter

April 17, 2023April 30, 2023

Equities have proven remarkably resilient in the face of recent banking sector tumult and amid

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1 Comment on The Bullfighter

The Simple Dynamic Most Investors Miss

April 17, 2023April 17, 2023

Too many investors are missing a very simple, but very important, dynamic at the heart

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1 Comment on The Simple Dynamic Most Investors Miss

Among The Giants

April 14, 2023April 16, 2023

Bigger is better when you’re a bank. Big banks might contest that assertion depending on

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JPMorgan, Dimon Pass Earnings Test With Flying Colors

April 14, 2023April 30, 2023

JPMorgan kicked off big bank earnings with a very solid set of results, particularly under

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2 Comments on JPMorgan, Dimon Pass Earnings Test With Flying Colors

Money Market Fund Assets Swell, Approach $5.3 Trillion

April 13, 2023April 14, 2023

Surprise! Money market funds attracted another $30 billion over the latest weekly reporting period, data

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4 Comments on Money Market Fund Assets Swell, Approach $5.3 Trillion

From SoftBank To Apple, Capital Cringes At Xi

April 13, 2023April 14, 2023

SoftBank and Prosus are selling more Alibaba and Tencent. That’s not the best news if

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2 Comments on From SoftBank To Apple, Capital Cringes At Xi

Fed Staff Saw Recession From Bank Stress, Minutes Reveal

April 12, 2023April 14, 2023

The word “recession” came up three times in the March FOMC minutes, all in the

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4 Comments on Fed Staff Saw Recession From Bank Stress, Minutes Reveal

Goldman Changes Fed Call Amid Tight Credit, Mixed Official Messaging

April 12, 2023April 13, 2023

The US is “certainly” past peak inflation, Tom Barkin told CNBC on Wednesday, following a

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Fed Has $1 Trillion In Paper Losses. Projects $90 Billion In 2023 Red Ink

April 11, 2023April 12, 2023

You’ve surely seen the figure by now: US banks were sitting on $620.4 billion in

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2 Comments on Fed Has $1 Trillion In Paper Losses. Projects $90 Billion In 2023 Red Ink

Hikes, Specs And Techs

April 11, 2023April 12, 2023

Tech shares may be “over-discounting” prospective additional relief from bond yields, traders are increasingly convinced

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3 Comments on Hikes, Specs And Techs

Is The Banking Crisis Over? Ask Google

April 10, 2023April 11, 2023

I’ve spent a lot of time over the last four weeks discussing the psychological side

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7 Comments on Is The Banking Crisis Over? Ask Google

SVB And The Anarchists’ Dream

April 10, 2023July 24, 2023

Seemingly every day, somebody, somewhere, publishes a new postmortem on last month’s turmoil in the

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6 Comments on SVB And The Anarchists’ Dream

Backup Plans And Alternate Realities

April 9, 2023April 14, 2023

The outcome of the Fed’s next meeting will, for all intents and purposes and assuming

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14 Comments on Backup Plans And Alternate Realities

Bank Lending Plunge, Deposit Flight Raise ‘Sudden Stop’ Concerns

April 8, 2023July 24, 2023

As you might’ve heard, commercial bank deposits in the US fell a tenth week late

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6 Comments on Bank Lending Plunge, Deposit Flight Raise ‘Sudden Stop’ Concerns

Hike In May And Go Away?

April 7, 2023April 9, 2023

For what it’s worth, which wasn’t much on a holiday Friday, the market reaction to

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8 Comments on Hike In May And Go Away?

Merciless Money Market Magnet Attracts Another $49 Billion

April 6, 2023April 8, 2023

Almost $50 billion poured into money market funds in the week to April 5, data

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9 Comments on Merciless Money Market Magnet Attracts Another $49 Billion

The Profit Recession Is Finally Here (But Don’t Tell Anyone)

April 6, 2023April 7, 2023

You wouldn’t necessarily know it from “Greedflation” banter and the perception that corporations are engaged

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7 Comments on The Profit Recession Is Finally Here (But Don’t Tell Anyone)

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