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Category: Markets

Let’s Hope We Don’t Have To Worry About Credit Suisse

March 15, 2023March 15, 2023

The deluge of bank headlines continued unabated Wednesday, when Credit Suisse returned to the spotlight

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13 Comments on Let’s Hope We Don’t Have To Worry About Credit Suisse

Zuckerberg’s Layoff Letter Walked Out Of The Onion

March 14, 2023March 15, 2023

For the third time in as many months, I’m compelled to report that Mark Zuckerberg

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14 Comments on Zuckerberg’s Layoff Letter Walked Out Of The Onion

Fed Faces Impossible Optics, Difficult Tradeoffs After Banks Collapse

March 14, 2023March 15, 2023

As the US prepared to grapple with a fresh read on inflation, the market discussion

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15 Comments on Fed Faces Impossible Optics, Difficult Tradeoffs After Banks Collapse

Kolanovic: All The Carry Trades Can’t Be Bailed Out

March 13, 2023March 14, 2023

JPMorgan’s Marko Kolanovic has a message for markets: “There are many carry trades, and they

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3 Comments on Kolanovic: All The Carry Trades Can’t Be Bailed Out

Investors, Fed Were ‘Lulled To Sleep,’ Mike Wilson Says

March 13, 2023March 14, 2023

“The real story for equity markets is the impact of the Fed’s actions over the

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6 Comments on Investors, Fed Were ‘Lulled To Sleep,’ Mike Wilson Says

Melees And Suicide Missions

March 13, 2023March 14, 2023

Predictably given the circumstances, Monday was a market and media melee. I imagine every day

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15 Comments on Melees And Suicide Missions

Treasury, Fed Backstop SVB, Close Signature, Unveil Emergency Fund

March 12, 2023March 20, 2023

On Sunday evening in the US, Jerome Powell, Janet Yellen and FDIC Chair Martin Gruenberg

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45 Comments on Treasury, Fed Backstop SVB, Close Signature, Unveil Emergency Fund

Fed To Pause Rate Hikes Amid SVB Drama: Goldman

March 12, 2023March 13, 2023

Last week, US rates underwent a dramatic about-face+ when the second-largest bank failure in the

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Inflation On Collision Course With Bank Drama As Traders Brace

March 12, 2023March 13, 2023

Just as the second-largest bank failure in US history easily overshadowed nonfarm payrolls last week,

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2 Comments on Inflation On Collision Course With Bank Drama As Traders Brace

How SVB Failed And What Might Happen Next

March 11, 2023March 20, 2023

“Despite the bank being in sound financial condition prior to March 9, investors and depositors…

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19 Comments on How SVB Failed And What Might Happen Next

Fear Is Contagious

March 10, 2023March 12, 2023

The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank dominated financial media coverage on Friday, overshadowing an update

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12 Comments on Fear Is Contagious

SVB Shuttered. FDIC Takes Over

March 10, 2023March 12, 2023

Now it’s official. California regulators closed Silicon Valley Bank on Friday, the FDIC said. The

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7 Comments on SVB Shuttered. FDIC Takes Over

SVB On Brink Of Collapse

March 10, 2023March 11, 2023

The bottom fell out entirely for SVB on Friday, when a planned capital raise reportedly

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8 Comments on SVB On Brink Of Collapse

Flaming Butterflies

March 10, 2023March 10, 2023

The crisis at Silicon Valley Bank managed to outcompete US payrolls for space above the

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5 Comments on Flaming Butterflies

‘Stay Calm,’ It’s Just A Bank Run

March 10, 2023March 20, 2023

“Stay calm.” That was Silicon Valley Bank CEO Greg Becker’s exhortation to VCs during a

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10 Comments on ‘Stay Calm,’ It’s Just A Bank Run

GM Asks Salaried Employees To Step Out Of The Vehicle

March 9, 2023March 10, 2023

Add GM to the ranks of major US corporations looking to trim headcount. On Thursday,

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2 Comments on GM Asks Salaried Employees To Step Out Of The Vehicle

Margin Squeeze May ‘Drive US Into Recession’: SocGen’s Edwards

March 8, 2023March 9, 2023

“It is the rear-guard action of companies that ’causes’ recessions as they slash both jobs

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4 Comments on Margin Squeeze May ‘Drive US Into Recession’: SocGen’s Edwards

In Canada, A Watershed Pause

March 8, 2023March 9, 2023

In a watershed moment of sorts, The Bank of Canada paused its tightening campaign. Although

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3 Comments on In Canada, A Watershed Pause

Bassman Compares ‘Team Transitory’ To Reckless Gamblers

March 7, 2023March 8, 2023

A Commentary by Harley Bassman (Twitter: @ConvexityMaven)   Family lore suggests that my great Aunt

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2 Comments on Bassman Compares ‘Team Transitory’ To Reckless Gamblers

The Most Important Canary For Corporate Profits?

March 7, 2023March 8, 2023

There’s a historic ravine between reported earnings and cash flows in the US, and it

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1 Comment on The Most Important Canary For Corporate Profits?

Clumsy RBA Messaging Raises Risks For Indebted Australian Households

March 7, 2023March 7, 2023

“Global inflation remains very high,” the RBA said Tuesday. “It will be some time before

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1 Comment on Clumsy RBA Messaging Raises Risks For Indebted Australian Households

Kolanovic Warns On Stocks As JPMorgan Sees ‘Boiling Frogs’

March 6, 2023March 15, 2023

The fundamental outlook for risk assets is challenging. One strong week for stocks (let alone

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5 Comments on Kolanovic Warns On Stocks As JPMorgan Sees ‘Boiling Frogs’

Fate Of Bear Market Rally Hangs On Two Things

March 6, 2023March 7, 2023

When Mike Wilson turns tactically (and relatively) constructive on equities, you might be inclined to

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1 Comment on Fate Of Bear Market Rally Hangs On Two Things

Wilson Pivots, Says Stock Rally May Continue. For Now

March 6, 2023March 15, 2023

Mike Wilson has seen enough. For now, anyway. US equities may manage to sustain a

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10 Comments on Wilson Pivots, Says Stock Rally May Continue. For Now

Traders Eye Big Week As Powell, US Jobs, Central Banks Loom

March 5, 2023March 9, 2023

It’s a big week for the US economy. Crucial jobs data will be a verdict

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3 Comments on Traders Eye Big Week As Powell, US Jobs, Central Banks Loom

No End Seen To America’s High-Stakes Inflation War

March 4, 2023March 6, 2023

Where does it end? That’s the question now for market participants warily (and wearily) eyeing

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7 Comments on No End Seen To America’s High-Stakes Inflation War

‘Year Of The Bond’ Meme Powers $30 Billion Treasury Inflow

March 3, 2023March 5, 2023

2023 was supposed to be the “year of the bond.” The thesis behind that mantra

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1 Comment on ‘Year Of The Bond’ Meme Powers $30 Billion Treasury Inflow

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

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Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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