
Hikes, Specs And Techs
Tech shares may be "over-discounting" prospective additional relief from bond yields, traders are in
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As far as rates go we will know a lot more Thursday. It’s apparent now to almost everyone except for the fomc, some rate strategists and economists, that central banks have gone too far too fast in the other direction. We will be extremely lucky to escape with a short moderate recession. A hard landing is baked in the cake. Foam the runway.
We’ve known for a long time that the economy is headed for a recession (LEIs, curve inversion). And that the Fed prioritizes defeating inflation over avoiding recession (Powell’s been clear on this).
“Lopsided positioning can be fuel for a swing back in the other direction.” You can bet on it. Truer words were never spoken.