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Category: Markets

From Frankfurt To Tokyo To Sydney, Doves On Parade

February 19, 2019February 19, 2019

Suffice to say the dovish pivot from global central banks appears to have wings

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The ‘Cautiously Optimistic’ Take On Russia Sanctions

February 18, 2019February 18, 2019

If you were nervous, you probably sold before last week.

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2 Comments on The ‘Cautiously Optimistic’ Take On Russia Sanctions

Is America’s Debt Path Sustainable?

February 18, 2019February 18, 2019

And for what?

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25 Comments on Is America’s Debt Path Sustainable?

Seeing Red And The Indefinite Suppression Of Rates Volatility

February 18, 2019

“…it is difficult to build a case for owning rates volatility over any horizon.”

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1 Comment on Seeing Red And The Indefinite Suppression Of Rates Volatility

State Of Emergency: Full Week Ahead Preview

February 17, 2019

Trade, car tariffs and Fed minutes.

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1 Comment on State Of Emergency: Full Week Ahead Preview

The Russia ‘Sanctions Bill From Hell’ Is Back – Does It Matter?

February 17, 2019

DASKA returns.

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3 Comments on The Russia ‘Sanctions Bill From Hell’ Is Back – Does It Matter?

‘The Negative Tail Has Become Fatter’: Extreme Outcomes, Policy And Populism

February 16, 2019

That goes for markets and society more generally.

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4 Comments on ‘The Negative Tail Has Become Fatter’: Extreme Outcomes, Policy And Populism

Unlike Morgan Stanley, Goldman Isn’t Too Worried About An Earnings Recession

February 16, 2019October 26, 2021

Hockey stick inflections, and such.

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‘A Negative Outcome On Any Of These Fronts Likely Spells The End Of Hikes’: Another Bank Slashes Fed Outlook

February 15, 2019February 15, 2019

The risks are myriad – the dangers clear and present.

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1 Comment on ‘A Negative Outcome On Any Of These Fronts Likely Spells The End Of Hikes’: Another Bank Slashes Fed Outlook

A 4.64 Trillion Yuan Tidal Wave Of Credit Growth – Let’s Discuss

February 15, 2019October 26, 2021

Is the transmission channel “unclogged”?

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‘Trade Tensions Have Not Disappeared’, Goldman Warns

February 15, 2019October 26, 2021

Curb your enthusiasm?

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US, China Will Hold Do-Over Trade Talks In Washington As Einsteinian Insanity Takes Hold

February 15, 2019October 26, 2021

“I hope you keep up the good work.”

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2 Comments on US, China Will Hold Do-Over Trade Talks In Washington As Einsteinian Insanity Takes Hold

Why One Bank Is ‘Putting The Fed On Hold’

February 14, 2019

“…we are eliminating the two hikes we had penciled in this year.”

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Marko Kolanovic: ‘Calls For A 1929-Style Recession Are Now Getting Quieter’

February 14, 2019January 8, 2022

Of V-shaped bounces and low positioning.

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9 Comments on Marko Kolanovic: ‘Calls For A 1929-Style Recession Are Now Getting Quieter’

Larry Kudlow Opens His ‘Money Mouth’, Out Come ‘Glitches’

February 14, 2019October 26, 2021

And lies. We also think lies.

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8 Comments on Larry Kudlow Opens His ‘Money Mouth’, Out Come ‘Glitches’

If The Fed Was Looking For An Excuse To Stay ‘Patient’, This Disastrous Retail Sales Print Will Work!

February 14, 2019February 14, 2019

Bad news is probably just bad news in this case.

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Congrats, Germany: You Avoided A Recession

February 14, 2019February 14, 2019

And that’s pretty much where the good news stops.

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1 Comment on Congrats, Germany: You Avoided A Recession

China Reports Ostensibly Decent Trade Data For January – Now Commence The Derision

February 13, 2019February 14, 2019

This should serve its purpose while the trade talks continue.

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4 Comments on China Reports Ostensibly Decent Trade Data For January – Now Commence The Derision

Larry Kudlow Would Never Lie To You, So That Horrific Deficit Number Must Be Wrong

February 13, 2019February 13, 2019

“…the deficit is coming down and it’s coming down rapidly.”

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31 Comments on Larry Kudlow Would Never Lie To You, So That Horrific Deficit Number Must Be Wrong

The Evolution Of Cross-Asset Vol. Spikes And July 6, 2021, As Recession D-Day

February 13, 2019

It starts with stocks…

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Dear Sweden: ‘Slightly Hawkish’ Doesn’t Work Right Now

February 13, 2019October 26, 2021

Remember, “hawkish” is a highly relative term – especially in light of recent events.

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Hope Springs Eternal As Shutdown Risk Fades, Xi To Meet Lighthizer, Mnuchin

February 13, 2019February 13, 2019

“Please Mr. President”…

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Nomura’s McElligott Talks Tuesday Stock ‘Grab-In’, Volatility, QT And More

February 12, 2019February 12, 2019

Around the cross asset universe in 1,000 words.

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Morgan’s Mike Wilson Explains The ‘Simple’ Reason The Fed Can’t Save Stocks

February 12, 2019

“…we suspect that neither is a bullish signal for equities.”

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The World Has A New ‘Most Crowded Trade’ – And The Same ‘Biggest Tail Risk’

February 12, 2019

For the first time in survey history…

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‘Big Fat Buyers’ Strike’: Global Equity Allocations Dive In Latest Edition Of Popular Survey

February 12, 2019

This, despite the best start to a year for stocks since 1987.

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Make Small Businesses Nervous Again! Optimism Index Plunges Most In 43 Months On Shutdown Woes

February 12, 2019February 12, 2019

Survey says!

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