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Category: Markets

Conflicting China Trade Comments Whipsaw Nervous Markets

August 15, 2019August 15, 2019

“The US side’s move seriously violated the consensus between the heads of state”.

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3 Comments on Conflicting China Trade Comments Whipsaw Nervous Markets

No More Saving For A Rainy Day, China ‘Has To Resume Headline Easing Soon’, SocGen Warns

August 14, 2019August 15, 2019

“Targeted measures are clearly insufficient to stabilize even credit growth, never mind the real economy”.

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4 Comments on No More Saving For A Rainy Day, China ‘Has To Resume Headline Easing Soon’, SocGen Warns

#TrumpRecession, CRAZY INVERTED YIELD CURVE!

August 14, 2019August 14, 2019

“We will Win”!

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12 Comments on #TrumpRecession, CRAZY INVERTED YIELD CURVE!

‘Next To Nothing’: China Launches ‘Unprecedented’ Crack-Down On Gold Imports

August 14, 2019August 14, 2019

“…an easy way to curtail outflows”.

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1 Comment on ‘Next To Nothing’: China Launches ‘Unprecedented’ Crack-Down On Gold Imports

Limit-Up! Long Bond Futures Tripped Circuit Breaker During ‘Crazy’ Wednesday Rally

August 14, 2019

The fun never stops.

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3 Comments on Limit-Up! Long Bond Futures Tripped Circuit Breaker During ‘Crazy’ Wednesday Rally

‘3D Chess’ Tariff Strategy Looks Suspiciously Like Chaos To Stocks, Bonds, Fed

August 14, 2019August 14, 2019

Investors and policymakers are increasingly wary of the White House’s “crazy like a fox” tariff tactics.

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8 Comments on ‘3D Chess’ Tariff Strategy Looks Suspiciously Like Chaos To Stocks, Bonds, Fed

After Wednesday’s Doomsday Inversions, What’s Next For The Yield Curve?

August 14, 2019August 14, 2019

Crystal ball gazing via a trio of possible scenarios.

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US, UK Curves Invert, 30-Year Treasury Yield Hits Record Low Amid Growth Panic

August 14, 2019August 14, 2019

The bad vibes are proliferating.

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1 Comment on US, UK Curves Invert, 30-Year Treasury Yield Hits Record Low Amid Growth Panic

‘Sick Man’ Germany Stumbles To Second Contraction In Four Quarters – Recession Looms

August 14, 2019August 14, 2019

“The impact of weaker growth on the labor market is becoming more visible”.

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1 Comment on ‘Sick Man’ Germany Stumbles To Second Contraction In Four Quarters – Recession Looms

China Data Deluge Misses Badly As Industrial Output Crashes To Lowest Since 2002

August 13, 2019August 14, 2019

Misses pretty much across the board.

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2 Comments on China Data Deluge Misses Badly As Industrial Output Crashes To Lowest Since 2002

Closely-Watched Fund Manager Survey Is All Bonds, Tariffs And Recession Risk In August

August 13, 2019

“[The] onus is on the Fed, ECB and PBoC to restore animal spirits”.

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As Manic Market Moves Metastasize, Mind The Liquidity Drought

August 13, 2019August 14, 2019

A recipe for “fun”. 

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2 Comments on As Manic Market Moves Metastasize, Mind The Liquidity Drought

Jay ‘Behind-The-Curve’ Powell, And Why The Fed May Have To Start ‘Outright QE’

August 13, 2019August 13, 2019

For the embattled Fed chair, no rest for the weary.

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2 Comments on Jay ‘Behind-The-Curve’ Powell, And Why The Fed May Have To Start ‘Outright QE’

Nomura’s McElligott Explains What Tariff News ‘Very Clearly’ Means For US Stocks

August 13, 2019August 13, 2019

“…this re-pricing lower in the VIX complex should drive powerful second-order impacts”.

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6 Comments on Nomura’s McElligott Explains What Tariff News ‘Very Clearly’ Means For US Stocks

US, China Engineer Massive Yuan Rally, Stock Surge, But Fed Outlook Still Cloudy

August 13, 2019August 13, 2019

The cross-asset reaction to the latest tariff news was quite dramatic.

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7 Comments on US, China Engineer Massive Yuan Rally, Stock Surge, But Fed Outlook Still Cloudy

‘Goldilocks’ Has Left The Building – Again

August 13, 2019

Bad news is just bad. And cross-asset returns since the latest tariff escalation reflect as much.

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4 Comments on ‘Goldilocks’ Has Left The Building – Again

Hong Kong Goes From Bad To Worse As Property Shares Dive Into Bear Market Amid Airport Upheaval

August 13, 2019August 13, 2019

It is just a matter of time.

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2 Comments on Hong Kong Goes From Bad To Worse As Property Shares Dive Into Bear Market Amid Airport Upheaval

A Tale Of Two Century Bonds

August 12, 2019August 13, 2019

What a time to be alive.

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2 Comments on A Tale Of Two Century Bonds

Monday, Bloody Monday On Wall Street Amid Argentina Crisis, Relentless Safe-Haven Bid

August 12, 2019August 12, 2019

Risk-off from start to finish.

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4 Comments on Monday, Bloody Monday On Wall Street Amid Argentina Crisis, Relentless Safe-Haven Bid

2 Simple Reasons Why US Assets Are Now More Vulnerable To Volatility In China’s Currency

August 12, 2019August 12, 2019

This was always the risk.

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In Argentina: Total Meltdown

August 12, 2019August 12, 2019

“All the pollsters have failed”.

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1 Comment on In Argentina: Total Meltdown

With Risk Assets On Razor Edge, One Strategist Sees Potential Near-Term Catalyst

August 12, 2019

‘Bleeds’ and ‘sling-shots’.

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Hong Kong Turmoil Hits Fragile Sentiment As Flights Canceled, China Cites ‘Terrorism’

August 12, 2019September 4, 2019

“[Protesters] exhibited sings of terrorism”.

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3 Comments on Hong Kong Turmoil Hits Fragile Sentiment As Flights Canceled, China Cites ‘Terrorism’

China’s Credit Growth Comes Up Woefully Short, Raising Concerns At Critical Juncture

August 12, 2019August 12, 2019

All in all, this isn’t great news.

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Goldman No Longer Sees Trade Deal Before 2020 Election, But It’s Not All Bad News

August 11, 2019August 12, 2019

It’s a “fool me once” type of thing.

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4 Comments on Goldman No Longer Sees Trade Deal Before 2020 Election, But It’s Not All Bad News

4 Reasons Why One Bank Thinks A ‘Quick, Major Comeback’ For Stocks Is Unlikely

August 11, 2019August 11, 2019

Maybe later, but not now.

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1 Comment on 4 Reasons Why One Bank Thinks A ‘Quick, Major Comeback’ For Stocks Is Unlikely

Tail Risks, FX Vol. And Tangled Christmas Lights

August 11, 2019August 11, 2019

But here’s the paradox…

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2 Comments on Tail Risks, FX Vol. And Tangled Christmas Lights

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