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Category: Markets

What’s Cheap? (Don’t Answer That. It’s A Trick Question)

March 13, 2021March 14, 2021

What’s cheap in equities? Wait. Don’t answer that. It’s a trick! It’s all expensive. I

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5 Comments on What’s Cheap? (Don’t Answer That. It’s A Trick Question)

Fantasy Worlds, Bitcoin And The Almost Apocalypse

March 13, 2021March 14, 2021

Meanwhile, in the land of the make-believe, Bitcoin hit a new record over the weekend,

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8 Comments on Fantasy Worlds, Bitcoin And The Almost Apocalypse

No Peace

March 12, 2021March 16, 2021

Tech just can’t get out of its own way. Or, more aptly, bonds just won’t

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2 Comments on No Peace

Treasury ETF In Bear Market As US Borrows Portugal’s GDP In 4 Days

March 12, 2021March 16, 2021

If you go by TLT, bonds are in a bear market. The widely-followed long-end product

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1 Comment on Treasury ETF In Bear Market As US Borrows Portugal’s GDP In 4 Days

Behold: A Record Plunge In Primary Dealer Treasury Holdings

March 12, 2021March 17, 2021

If you were looking for data to help support the narrative that the Fed’s silence

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5 Comments on Behold: A Record Plunge In Primary Dealer Treasury Holdings

Nomura’s McElligott: ‘Folks Are Emerging From The Bunker’

March 12, 2021March 13, 2021

For most of 2021, scouring the equities vol space for signs of crash-up positioning suggested

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Out Of The Frying Pan, Into The Fire

March 12, 2021March 12, 2021

A fresh bout of bond turmoil rippled across markets Friday, as Treasurys sold off on

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US Household Net Worth Jumped $7 Trillion In Q4

March 11, 2021March 12, 2021

Following the worst year for humanity in at least seven decades, Americans were richer than

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5 Comments on US Household Net Worth Jumped $7 Trillion In Q4

Albert Edwards On Stocks, ‘Hard Core’ Disinflation

March 11, 2021March 12, 2021

“A few weeks back, I doubted US 10-year yields could reach the lofty heights of

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13 Comments on Albert Edwards On Stocks, ‘Hard Core’ Disinflation

Out Of The Woods Or Pet Sematary?

March 11, 2021March 12, 2021

“Out of the woods” is everywhere and always a perilous phrase. No matter the context,

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1 Comment on Out Of The Woods Or Pet Sematary?

Amid Vigilante Attack, ECB Will Buy At ‘Significantly Higher Pace’

March 11, 2021March 14, 2021

The ECB is dealing with the same dilemma as the Fed, the RBA, the BoJ,

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1 Comment on Amid Vigilante Attack, ECB Will Buy At ‘Significantly Higher Pace’

Stimulus Hits With Jobless Claims Near Pandemic Lows

March 11, 2021March 15, 2021

712,000 Americans filed for unemployment benefits last week, slightly less than the market expected. Economists

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2 Comments on Stimulus Hits With Jobless Claims Near Pandemic Lows

$1 Trillion In Your Pocket

March 10, 2021March 15, 2021

“Tomorrow will make one year since the coronavirus was declared a public health emergency by

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3 Comments on $1 Trillion In Your Pocket

Dead Cat Tech Bounce

March 10, 2021March 11, 2021

The rebound in tech shares and other pandemic winners fizzled Wednesday, perhaps suggesting the correction

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2 Comments on Dead Cat Tech Bounce

Hyperinflation Postponed In US

March 10, 2021March 12, 2021

If a relatively bland inflation print was desirable for market participants concerned about the possibility

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9 Comments on Hyperinflation Postponed In US

Churn And ‘The Absence Of Conviction’

March 10, 2021March 11, 2021

“Churn” now seems inevitable. Tech, stay-at-home favorites, and pandemic winners will look oversold to salivating

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‘Mock Starket’ (Meanwhile, In China)

March 10, 2021March 10, 2021

A day after state-backed funds intervened to stanch the bleeding in mainland Chinese stocks, Weibo

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Fireworks

March 9, 2021March 10, 2021

“A risk asset revival driven by dip-buyers.” That’s how Bloomberg described Tuesday’s theatrics in the

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4 Comments on Fireworks

Revenge Of The Titans

March 9, 2021March 11, 2021

As far as dramatic turnarounds go, you could scarcely ask for a juxtaposition more stark

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3 Comments on Revenge Of The Titans

Dollar Collapse And The $187 Reese’s Cup

March 9, 2021March 10, 2021

With the House poised to pass Democrats’ $1.9 trillion virus relief bill and Joe Biden

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12 Comments on Dollar Collapse And The $187 Reese’s Cup

Corrections, Whipsaws And A Half-Century Of ‘Precedent’

March 9, 2021March 10, 2021

US investors were looking for signs on Tuesday that the relentless, grinding rout in tech

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4 Comments on Corrections, Whipsaws And A Half-Century Of ‘Precedent’

China On Brink Of Bear Market As State Rescue Fails

March 9, 2021March 12, 2021

An already tenuous situation in mainland Chinese equities deteriorated further Tuesday despite state intervention to

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Rotation Fascination

March 8, 2021March 9, 2021

Bullish comments from David Tepper (speaking through surrogates on CNBC) helped set the tone and

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David Tepper Foretells End Of Bond Selloff Via Prophet Kernen

March 8, 2021March 12, 2021

I allocate at least two hours each day to reading, where “reading” means serious reading.

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11 Comments on David Tepper Foretells End Of Bond Selloff Via Prophet Kernen

Return Of The King

March 8, 2021March 9, 2021

There was trouble in paradise as the new week dawned. A promising start in Asia

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It’s Bad In China. And Worse For Hong Kong Tech

March 8, 2021March 9, 2021

Last week, I whispered about a “global tech bear market.” The poster child, I noted,

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1 Comment on It’s Bad In China. And Worse For Hong Kong Tech

Saudi Oil Infrastructure Gets Another Test In Ambitious Houthi Strike

March 7, 2021March 10, 2021

In a rather stark reminder that a meaningful portion of the world’s oil supply is

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

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Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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