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Category: Markets

Proceeding With Caution

March 7, 2021March 10, 2021

Traders and investors (and those are two distinct types of market participants, as I’m fond

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6 Comments on Proceeding With Caution

‘Extremely Stretched’ (But Bullish Nonetheless)

March 6, 2021March 8, 2021

I recently spoke of “undeterred” investors. Despite the tumult catalyzed by volatility in rates, market

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3 Comments on ‘Extremely Stretched’ (But Bullish Nonetheless)

Bar Hopping & Bar Hoping

March 6, 2021March 10, 2021

My heart may be “as cold as hockey gloves” (to quote one of the most

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12 Comments on Bar Hopping & Bar Hoping

The Hubris Bear Market Has Arrived

March 6, 2021March 13, 2021

US equities skirted what could have been another sizable weekly loss thanks to a manic

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7 Comments on The Hubris Bear Market Has Arrived

February Jobs Report ‘Not Good Enough’

March 5, 2021March 9, 2021

The February jobs report came in hot Friday, suggesting the US labor market is on

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4 Comments on February Jobs Report ‘Not Good Enough’

The Right Direction

March 5, 2021March 7, 2021

“The bond market is reflecting, I think, the strength that we’ve seen in some of

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5 Comments on The Right Direction

Who’s Boss

March 5, 2021March 6, 2021

I’ve talked quite a bit recently about central banks’ power over markets, and especially their

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3 Comments on Who’s Boss

A Paradox

March 5, 2021March 6, 2021

Apparently undeterred by the bond tantrum and accompanying equity jitters, investors poured a sizable $22.2

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5 Comments on A Paradox

US Labor Market Roars Back To Life With Blockbuster February Gain

March 5, 2021March 8, 2021

The US economy added 379,000 jobs in February, the government said Friday. Economists were expecting

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3 Comments on US Labor Market Roars Back To Life With Blockbuster February Gain

Central Planning

March 5, 2021March 8, 2021

For a few hours in Asia, it looked like selling pressure inherited from Wall Street

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‘Feel The Market’ Next Time, Jay

March 4, 2021March 7, 2021

Jerome Powell’s webinar with The Wall Street Journal didn’t go well. Or at least not

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5 Comments on ‘Feel The Market’ Next Time, Jay

Albert Edwards And Scott Minerd Agree: US Yields Could Go Negative

March 4, 2021March 5, 2021

Do you believe we’ve “crossed the Rubicon” where that means policymakers are increasingly inclined to

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3 Comments on Albert Edwards And Scott Minerd Agree: US Yields Could Go Negative

High Energy

March 4, 2021March 5, 2021

If you were already bullish on oil and maintained a bullish bias headed into this

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oil4 Comments on High Energy

Are We Entering A Global Tech Bear Market?

March 4, 2021March 4, 2021

Tech shares globally are teetering. The rise in yields (especially in the US) has undercut

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7 Comments on Are We Entering A Global Tech Bear Market?

One Year Later, Jobless Claims Stuck Above Pre-Pandemic Record

March 4, 2021March 4, 2021

745,000 Americans filed for unemployment benefits last week, underscoring the ongoing trials and tribulations of

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Bad Liquor

March 4, 2021March 4, 2021

“Many investors who once called themselves fans of Zhang, began to raise questions and engage

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‘Significant Concern’ Creeps Into Services Sector As Prices Soar

March 3, 2021March 6, 2021

As expected, price pressures were evident in the February vintage of ISM services. The prices

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5 Comments on ‘Significant Concern’ Creeps Into Services Sector As Prices Soar

Even If Everyone Spends All Their ‘Extra’ Money…

March 3, 2021March 8, 2021

In the US, some folks (with Larry Summers being perhaps the most famous, and certainly

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5 Comments on Even If Everyone Spends All Their ‘Extra’ Money…

ADP Offers Disappointing Read On Hobbled US Labor Market

March 3, 2021March 3, 2021

Private US firms added 117,000 jobs in February, ADP said Wednesday. I suppose this goes

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2 Comments on ADP Offers Disappointing Read On Hobbled US Labor Market

The Wealth Tax And Our Shared Insanity

March 2, 2021March 3, 2021

I’d describe my life as a largely stress-free endeavor. Attaining serenity wasn’t easy. At first,

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34 Comments on The Wealth Tax And Our Shared Insanity

Give Up, Barbarian. I’ve Got A Printing Press.

March 2, 2021March 3, 2021

I’d be remiss not to point out how explicit the language from central banks is

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5 Comments on Give Up, Barbarian. I’ve Got A Printing Press.

Like A Lion

March 2, 2021March 3, 2021

“March came in like a proverbial lion,” Bloomberg’s Laura Cooper wrote Tuesday. “Sure, a Chinese

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1 Comment on Like A Lion

Guo’s Bubbles

March 2, 2021March 5, 2021

Tuesday’s word was “bubble” or, actually, “bubbles,” plural. Guo Shuqing, chairman of the China Banking

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1 Comment on Guo’s Bubbles

$1 Trillion In Credit Losses And Dead Reefs

March 1, 2021March 2, 2021

“Based on this method, the sectors whose activity contracts the most suffer the largest increases

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3 Comments on $1 Trillion In Credit Losses And Dead Reefs

‘This May Not Be Sustainable’: Factory Surveys Show Acute Price Pressures

March 1, 2021March 7, 2021

In the first of this week’s marquee data in the US, ISM manufacturing handily topped

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2 Comments on ‘This May Not Be Sustainable’: Factory Surveys Show Acute Price Pressures

Three Things That Can ‘Make It All Go Right Again’

March 1, 2021March 5, 2021

How do things calm down? That’s the main question on traders’ minds this week. The

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2 Comments on Three Things That Can ‘Make It All Go Right Again’

Hope Floats, Skepticism Lingers

March 1, 2021March 1, 2021

Risk sentiment improved as February gave way to March. Global equities were higher, marking a

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3 Comments on Hope Floats, Skepticism Lingers

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

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  • Wave Dash on ‘Let The Oil Flow!’ Again!

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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