The market’s stagflation obsession will be on full display this week as GDP reports out
Category: Markets
‘The System Has Become Over-Optimized’
In “Underestimating The Biggest Risk Of All,” I contextualized the Bank of England’s rate hike
Underestimating The Biggest Risk Of All
I doubt Turkey’s Recep Tayyip Erdogan was aware of this when he compelled central bank
Never Call The Top
Global equities enjoyed the largest inflow in five weeks as US stocks trekked towards new
US Inflation Shows ‘No Signs Of Abating’ In October
US services sector activity was more robust than anticipated in early October. Or something. It’s
UK Faces Nightmare Dilemma With Inflation Gauge At 25-Year High
Never miss an opportunity to use the word “century” in a headline. That’s especially applicable
Finding $83.5 Million
Evergrande found $83.5 million. With just days to go before the grace period on a
A Heroic Powell Restores Public Faith In The Fed
“This is huge news,” someone on Bloomberg Television declared, as the network interrupted a live
What If Nothing Is ‘Transitory’?
“Buyers likely want to secure a home before mortgage rates increase even further next year,”
‘Enemy’ Of Interest Rates Tempts Fate. Again
In yet another exceptionally ill-advised, albeit wholly predictable, move, Turkey cut rates again on Thursday.
Evergrande Moves Closer To The Abyss
Update: On Friday, Evergrande reportedly paid the $83.5 million bond interest referenced below Evergrande was
The Market’s ‘Fab Five’
Via Macro Risk Advisors (Tune into the Alpha Exchange podcast) Celebrating 30 Years of the
Simply Saying ‘China’
When it comes to tail risks, there’s inflation, there’s China and then there’s everything else.
Why Higher?
A few days ago, I reiterated the absolute necessity of taking systematic trading and mechanistic
Jens Weidmann Has Left The Building
Jens Weidmann resigned as Bundesbank President today, effective December 31. Some years ago, when I
Cognitive Dissonance And The Bond Bears
If you’re the type who thinks it’s a contrarian indicator when seemingly everyone coalesces around
‘A Critical Phase Shift Is Occurring In Real-Time’
If you needed yet another piece of incremental evidence to support any iteration of the
$1.3 Trillion Is Now Least Bullish In A Year, Key Survey Shows
Investors are the least bullish in a year. That was the headline takeaway from the
Scary Stories
Thank god for the flattener. Monday’s action in rates breathed life into what might have
‘Bad-flation’
The bear flattening impulse seen across global bonds to start the week felt ominous. If
Buyback Comeback
When it comes to equity demand, there’s no bid quite like the corporate bid. Buybacks
Rate Hike Threats, Surging Inflation Dominate Headlines
Traders are increasingly convinced that surging prices will force central banks to tighten. And posthaste.
Chinese Economy Decelerates Amid Crises
The Chinese economy decelerated in the third quarter, data out Monday confirmed, validating a chorus
The Hard Truth About The Energy Crisis And Climate Change
The data docket is relatively sparse in the US this week. Housing figures, claims and
Stock Allocations Breach Dot-Com Bubble Highs
Overall equity allocations are at a record high. That probably won’t surprise anyone. After all,
How To Make Sense Of Stocks In Modern Markets
Earlier this month, at least one bank suggested dip-buying, as a strategy, failed following the
An $8 Trillion Cliff
For now, the market is “cool with” policymakers being behind the curve on inflation. That
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