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Category: Markets

Vigilante Justice

November 2, 2021November 6, 2021

Predictably, media coverage of the RBA’s Tuesday policy tweak was replete with nonsense. One particularly

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3 Comments on Vigilante Justice

Don’t Kill The Sacred Cash Cow

November 1, 2021November 2, 2021

It’s no secret that the “broad” market isn’t very broad. History is replete with examples

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1 Comment on Don’t Kill The Sacred Cash Cow

At US Factories, A Compendium Of Complaints

November 1, 2021November 2, 2021

At this point, getting a “clean” read on where we are in the post-pandemic economic

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5 Comments on At US Factories, A Compendium Of Complaints

Back Up The Wall Of Worry

November 1, 2021November 2, 2021

European stocks hit records Monday and Japanese shares surged, as global equities looked to build

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5 Comments on Back Up The Wall Of Worry

Even If It All Comes Crashing Down Tomorrow

October 31, 2021November 1, 2021

Even if central banks stumble into a policy mistake and it all comes crashing down

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2 Comments on Even If It All Comes Crashing Down Tomorrow

At Stake This Week: Credibility

October 31, 2021November 1, 2021

The November FOMC meeting and accompanying taper announcement will garner most of the financial headlines

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Leave a Comment on At Stake This Week: Credibility

Sans Tantrum, Please

October 31, 2021November 3, 2021

The Fed will formally unveil plans to taper monthly bond-buying this week, with designs on

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1 Comment on Sans Tantrum, Please

‘The Markets Were Not Consulted’

October 30, 2021November 1, 2021

In “Napalm,” I contextualized recent front-end rates fireworks by reference to a possible shift in

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‘By One Full Year’: Goldman Shifts Fed Call Dramatically

October 30, 2021November 5, 2021

One day, we may look back on the last several weeks and chuckle at the

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1 Comment on ‘By One Full Year’: Goldman Shifts Fed Call Dramatically

Napalm

October 30, 2021November 2, 2021

One bond market recap featured the word “bloody.” I suppose the hyperbole was apt. Last

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3 Comments on Napalm

The High Price Of Price Uncertainty

October 29, 2021November 4, 2021

Anyone searching for evidence of a rebound in consumer sentiment in late October was disappointed

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3 Comments on The High Price Of Price Uncertainty

Taper Tantrum, Aussie Style

October 29, 2021October 30, 2021

In case it wasn’t clear enough that some manner of policy shift is in the

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1 Comment on Taper Tantrum, Aussie Style

Not For Me To Say

October 29, 2021October 30, 2021

“Not for me to say.” That was Christine Lagarde’s assessment Thursday when, following the October

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2 Comments on Not For Me To Say

Marko Kolanovic: ‘Did The World Change Yesterday? No.’

October 28, 2021October 29, 2021

The financial media was awash this week with headlines about flattening yield curves and what

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ECB Confronts Global Rates Upheaval As German Inflation Soars

October 28, 2021October 28, 2021

Over the past several weeks, traders began pondering active central banks and preemptive policy tightening

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2 Comments on ECB Confronts Global Rates Upheaval As German Inflation Soars

‘Mayhem’ In Aussie Rates As YCC Breaks

October 28, 2021October 28, 2021

Yield-curve control snapped in Australia Thursday. I’m insistent on the notion that it’s never a

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2 Comments on ‘Mayhem’ In Aussie Rates As YCC Breaks

Central Banks Are Reinstating The Fourth Wall

October 27, 2021October 28, 2021

Central banks may be reinstating the fourth wall. Following Janet Yellen’s decision to postpone liftoff

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1 Comment on Central Banks Are Reinstating The Fourth Wall

‘This Is Wild’: Canadian Rates Go Nuts On BoC Blindside

October 27, 2021November 1, 2021

The Bank of Canada on Wednesday became the latest central bank to suggest (tacitly) that

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2 Comments on ‘This Is Wild’: Canadian Rates Go Nuts On BoC Blindside

Inflation And The Billionaires Tax

October 27, 2021October 28, 2021

Taxes and inflation were in the news Wednesday. Or, put differently, the same macro narratives

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10 Comments on Inflation And The Billionaires Tax

Elon Musk And Our Future In Irrelevance

October 26, 2021November 22, 2021

Because much of this wealth is tied up in stock, society benefits not via compulsory

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16 Comments on Elon Musk And Our Future In Irrelevance

The Real Takeaway From Tesla Fireworks

October 26, 2021October 27, 2021

At regular intervals, I feel compelled to remind market participants that things don’t really work

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China Tells Evergrande Founder To Pay Debt With Personal Wealth

October 26, 2021November 2, 2021

China has an idea for Evergrande. Hui Ka Yan should help pay the company’s debt.

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5 Comments on China Tells Evergrande Founder To Pay Debt With Personal Wealth

The Facebook Papers: We’re Not Asking The Right Questions

October 25, 2021November 7, 2021

It’s difficult for me to get excited about the latest deluge of damning revelations about

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23 Comments on The Facebook Papers: We’re Not Asking The Right Questions

‘Persona Non Grata’: Erdogan Recycles Playbook

October 25, 2021October 26, 2021

Last week, following a second consecutive rate cut from Turkey’s hopelessly beholden central bank, I

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1 Comment on ‘Persona Non Grata’: Erdogan Recycles Playbook

Crowded Bearish Rates Trade Poses ‘Major Market Reversal Risk’

October 25, 2021October 30, 2021

Last week, I wrote that seemingly everyone has coalesced around some variation on a bearish

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‘Epidemic’ Is A Relative Term

October 25, 2021October 26, 2021

Traders and investors were greeted by proliferating coverage of China’s latest COVID outbreak as the

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5 Comments on ‘Epidemic’ Is A Relative Term

‘It’s Come To This’: Beyond The Great Supply Chain Crisis

October 24, 2021October 25, 2021

If rates are losing the plot due to the impossibility of mapping the interplay between

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4 Comments on ‘It’s Come To This’: Beyond The Great Supply Chain Crisis

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

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To Be Happy

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Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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