What’s the biggest risk to the macroeconomic outlook in 2021 and beyond? To answer that
Category: Markets
‘Just Because The Sun Is Out’
Markets looked poised to embrace a risk-on bent to start the new week, emboldened by
Front-Running Collective Irrationality
I have to tell you: What interests me isn’t always what “sells” for the financial
Let Me Off This ‘Wild Ride’: What To Expect From The Fed’s Last Meeting Of 2020
If the Fed wants to unveil plans to extend the average maturity of its ongoing
Yen And The Art Of Bridge Maintenance
For years, critics of central banks’ increasingly belabored efforts to engineer robust growth and “healthy”
‘Some Worry’
“Some worry,” is an industry mainstay when it comes to language the financial media employs
Macro Tourist: ‘This Is A Buying Frenzy. And The Trader In Me Is Worried’
[Editor’s note: The following excerpts are from a longer piece by Kevin Muir, formerly head
Is Buyback Plunge Protection Poised For A 2021 Comeback?
Last weekend, I talked a bit more about equity supply/demand dynamics. The overarching point was
‘Frankenbull’ And Corporate America’s Multi-Trillion Dollar Bonanza
Forget the “everything rally.” That’s not nearly colorful enough as a description of 2020’s various
D.C. Dysfunction & The Lost Art Of Civic Responsibility
Good news: University of Michigan sentiment managed to post what, on the surface anyway, appeared to
Bullish Catalysts And Volatility Suppressants For 2021
Let’s talk bullish catalysts. Or, if you like, we can call them “factors with the
Deal Busters Going Sideways
Risk sentiment soured Friday as market participants weighed stalled stimulus talks in D.C. and the
‘It Took Unprecedented Liquidity Merely To Stabilize Risk’
“It’s all about liquidity.” That’s a popular refrain when it comes to explaining how risk
Hot Takes Galore: Key Macro Thoughts And ‘Good Stuff’ With Nomura’s McElligott
Whatever happens later, the “now” is still under the influence of the same set of
Jobless Claims Surge In Stark Warning To Congress
Jobless claims surged last week, data out Thursday showed. 853,000 Americans filed for unemployment benefits
Let’s Talk Inflation. Or A Lack Thereof
Inflation was a bit “hotter” than expected in November, the BLS said Thursday, although “hot”
ECB ‘Recalibrates’ Easing Measures. Ups Pandemic QE Program To €1.85 Trillion
As expected, the ECB topped up its emergency pandemic QE program (PEPP), adding €500 billion
‘Never Quite Say Never’
Cans were kicked both on fresh stimulus to help the US weather the winter virus
A Ticket To The S&P Party Costs American Workers More Sweat Than Ever
Let’s say, for argument’s sake, that you have a job. First of all, congratulations! Because
Are We Just Buying Time? ‘An Urgent Need To Reconfigure The Whole Socioeconomic System’
Over the course of the last nine months, I’ve been keen to emphasize that part
Marko Kolanovic Delivers 2021 Outlook: ‘A Decline In Volatility Creates A Positive Feedback Loop’
JPMorgan’s Marko Kolanovic grabbed plenty of headlines over the course of the pandemic, both within
As Households Cling To Cash, Dalio Wonders: Why Not 50X Earnings For Stocks?
While perusing a recent note from Goldman assessing the odds of an equity market pullback
Stocks May See ‘Modest Pullback’ On ‘Extremely Stretched’ Positioning, Goldman Says
“Since the start of November, US equity mutual funds and ETFs have witnessed $52 billion
All Brinkmanship, All The Time
US stimulus talks dominated the headlines again on Wednesday after Steve Mnuchin injected himself into
China Sees First Consumer Price Deflation Since 2009
For the first time since 2009, China witnessed consumer price deflation. CPI declined 0.5% in
Mini-Mansion Mania!
When Toll Brothers, America’s leading luxury home builder, reported earnings after the bell on Monday
Ray Dalio On ‘Floods Of Money,’ Bitcoin, China, And Social Safety Nets
Ray Dalio held another one of his “Ask Me Anything” Reddit events on Tuesday. It
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