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Author: therealheisenberg

Lunatics

October 13, 2024October 15, 2024

Another day in the paradise that is the Holy Land found Israeli tanks bulldozing their

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7 Comments on Lunatics

US Spending Update, ECB Rate Cut Headline Macro Docket

October 13, 2024October 14, 2024

The US data docket’s pretty light this week. If there’s a highlight it’s plainly retail

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Lackluster Price Data Underscores China’s Deflation Risk

October 13, 2024October 14, 2024

If authorities in Beijing weren’t already under enough pressure to revive domestic demand, Xi’s statisticians

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3 Comments on Lackluster Price Data Underscores China’s Deflation Risk

Brass Tacks. Or A Lack Thereof

October 12, 2024October 14, 2024

Phrases like “without specifying an amount” and “without specifying a time frame” are prevalent in

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6 Comments on Brass Tacks. Or A Lack Thereof

China Stimmy Flows And SPX 6666

October 11, 2024October 13, 2024

Investors put nearly $40 billion to work in global equities over the last week. The

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2 Comments on China Stimmy Flows And SPX 6666

News Flash: People Hate High Prices

October 11, 2024October 13, 2024

Consumer sentiment undershot expectations in early October, according to the preliminary read on the country’s

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11 Comments on News Flash: People Hate High Prices

JPMorgan Tops Estimates As Dimon Stares Down ‘Treacherous’ World

October 11, 2024October 13, 2024

Jamie Dimon’s hoping for the best, but as ever, his bank’s prepared for the worst.

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PPI Plays Along, But Won’t Quash November ‘Skip’ Chatter

October 11, 2024October 12, 2024

The Fed welcomed some incrementally encouraging news on the inflation front Friday, when US producer

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2 Comments on PPI Plays Along, But Won’t Quash November ‘Skip’ Chatter

Prepping The Pause

October 10, 2024October 11, 2024

If nobody else gets it, Raphael Bostic does. Four hours or so after BLS data

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1 Comment on Prepping The Pause

Are America’s Magnificent Mega-Caps Losing Their Luster?

October 10, 2024October 11, 2024

Are they tired of tech? I suppose it depends on who “they” are and also

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2 Comments on Are America’s Magnificent Mega-Caps Losing Their Luster?

Hedge Funds ‘Rapidly’ Sold Chinese Stocks This Week

October 10, 2024

I’ve cautioned recently against reading too much into a monumental rally in Chinese shares. My

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Hurricanes And Suicide Missions

October 10, 2024October 11, 2024

On Thursday, a Fed pondering the outlook for the US economy received two potentially impactful

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6 Comments on Hurricanes And Suicide Missions

This Was Not A Good Inflation Report

October 10, 2024October 11, 2024

“US CPI data will likely show further disinflation in September,” read the headline on one

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4 Comments on This Was Not A Good Inflation Report

Promises, Promises

October 9, 2024October 10, 2024

At the September FOMC meeting, “many” Fed officials said the rekindled inflation impulse observed over

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Are We Still In A FOMO Regime?

October 9, 2024

Are we still living in a FOMO regime? How would one go about determining such

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1 Comment on Are We Still In A FOMO Regime?

Iran Spy Chief Qaani ‘Perfectly Healthy.’ Will Get Medal

October 9, 2024October 10, 2024

“Esmail Qaani is, unfortunately, alive,” someone joked on social media Wednesday. I actually don’t know

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15 Comments on Iran Spy Chief Qaani ‘Perfectly Healthy.’ Will Get Medal

US Mortgage Rates Inflect, Rocket Higher

October 9, 2024October 10, 2024

Damn you jobs! Mortgage rates in the US jumped sharply over the last week and

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6 Comments on US Mortgage Rates Inflect, Rocket Higher

Chinese Stocks Crash On Botched Stimmy Reveal

October 9, 2024October 10, 2024

If at first you don’t succeed. Beijing on Wednesday said Finance Minister Lan Fo’an will

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6 Comments on Chinese Stocks Crash On Botched Stimmy Reveal

So Long, Safieddine

October 8, 2024October 9, 2024

The world knew Hashem Safieddine’s name for exactly a week before the IDF buried him

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7 Comments on So Long, Safieddine

Dollar Questions

October 8, 2024October 9, 2024

Ahead of this week’s crucial US CPI report, and with America’s jobs market and service

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1 Comment on Dollar Questions

‘This Is How Policy Mistakes Are Created’

October 8, 2024October 9, 2024

On Tuesday, at an ECB event in Frankfurt, Adriana Kugler said she doesn’t know the

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8 Comments on ‘This Is How Policy Mistakes Are Created’

Zheng’s Epic Fail

October 8, 2024October 9, 2024

If Chinese equities were an instantaneous barometer of Zheng Shanjie’s success in communicating the Party’s

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6 Comments on Zheng’s Epic Fail

Why Not Be Bullish?

October 7, 2024October 8, 2024

The prospects for rapid, deep Fed cuts are diminished following last week’s dramatic upside US

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2 Comments on Why Not Be Bullish?

Wilson Upgrades Cyclicals As Bonds Say Jobs Report Not One-Off

October 7, 2024

The red-hot September jobs report was a game-changer in at least one respect: It compelled

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One Year Later, Israel Forces ‘New Reality’ In Mideast

October 7, 2024October 8, 2024

Hamas still has some rockets. On the (exceedingly grim) anniversary of the October 7 attacks,

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Moment Of Truth Looms For Historic China Rally

October 7, 2024October 8, 2024

If you’re curious as to how committed officials in Beijing really are to the stimulus

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3 Comments on Moment Of Truth Looms For Historic China Rally

2024 Stock Inflows Near Half-Trillion. MMF AUM Swells Further

October 6, 2024October 6, 2024

On the heels of a near $65 billion two-week bonanza, inflows to global equity funds

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

  • Engineer on Dissembling Strategery
  • Engineer on Mona Lisa’s Smirk
  • Engineer on The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State
  • WMD on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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