The Fed cut rates by a quarter-point on Thursday, as expected. I don’t think there
Author: therealheisenberg
Leveraged ETFs Were $17 Billion Flow Kicker To MAGA Rally
So, yeah: Modern markets did their thing in the monster, mid-week MAGA melt-up. The post-election
Bank Of England Delivers Cautious Cut As Fiscal Uncertainty Clouds Outlook
“External shocks have abated,” helping to facilitate the disinflation process. So said the Bank of
The Dollar In Trump’s Second Coming
A word on the dollar. I suppose I should say another word on the dollar.
Vol Crush Unlocked
Vol was obviously crunched hard into a truly raucous, post-election rally on Wall Street. “MAGA
For Democrats: A Reckoning
It wasn’t close. Really it wasn’t. Donald Trump served notice this week that America’s still
We’re Going Back!
In the early-morning hours of November 4, 2020, when votes were still being tallied in
Vol Crush Loading
Everybody likes a good forward on an esoteric backtest. For what it’s worth, at least
Surprise! US Services Sector Still Going Strong
The US services sector is holding up well, data released on Tuesday showed. That’s not
See You At The Capitol!
Put on your red hats and sling your rifles, it’s Election Day in the US.
US Stocks: Exceptional And Exceptionally Expensive
How richly-valued are US equities? It’s all relative. To the dot-com bust. I’m kidding. But
Passive Aggressive
What share of the US equity market’s passively owned? Non sequitur, I know. Every article’s
Red Sweep Or Harris-Gridlock?
Admittedly, I don’t so much enjoy the days ahead of US elections. It’s very difficult,
‘Harris-Gridlock’ As The Vol Killer
As much fun as a Trump-inspired surge in small business sentiment and a galloping, animal
Gamblers Assemble!
Markets were awake Monday to the possibility that trading the US election based on betting
Save The City
This week, tens of millions of Americans will, for a third time, cast their ballots
Pre-Election Flows Check
If you were wondering, inflows to US equity funds continued in the lead-up to an
Bonds Had It Comin’. But Everything Has A Price
How unusual is the post-first Fed cut selloff in bond land? The answer is: Pretty
US Factory Recession Worsens, Morphs Into Stagflation
Widgets. They don’t make ’em like they used to. They don’t make ’em where they
Thank You, Hurricanes
The US economy added virtually no jobs in October on net, according to data which
Don’t Worry About That. Worry About This.
“The sea was angry that day, my friends.” The waters were a bit choppy on
Where’s The Fire Now?
I’m a broken record: The Fed should keep rates unchanged at the November policy meeting.
Necessary But Not Sufficient
Good news for a Fed that was (probably) going to cut anyway: Jerome Powell’s favorite
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