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Author: therealheisenberg

Chinese Tech Rally Goes Vertical

February 21, 2025February 22, 2025

Laugh. Because it’s funny. When Chinese stocks get cookin,’ they tend to rally on a

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1 Comment on Chinese Tech Rally Goes Vertical

It All Comes Back To The Dollar

February 20, 2025February 20, 2025

What’s the proximate cause of America’s “losing” ways when it comes to international commerce, to

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10 Comments on It All Comes Back To The Dollar

Broken Clocks And Minor Miracles

February 20, 2025February 21, 2025

SocGen’s Albert Edwards sees something concerning in equities. Of course, you could say that every

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3 Comments on Broken Clocks And Minor Miracles

Head Games And A Compromised US President

February 20, 2025February 21, 2025

I’d be remiss — which in this case means wholly derelict in my capacity as

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21 Comments on Head Games And A Compromised US President

Scott Knows What You Wanna Hear

February 20, 2025February 21, 2025

Scott Bessent gets it. I mean, not the part about it being a potentially bad

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3 Comments on Scott Knows What You Wanna Hear

What If There’s A Depression?

February 19, 2025February 21, 2025

Nobody expects a recession. Ok, that’s not true. Let me rephrase: Almost nobody sees a

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10 Comments on What If There’s A Depression?

No More Cuts?

February 19, 2025February 20, 2025

The Fed’s on hold. The Fed’s on hold. The Fed’s on hold. Is the message

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1 Comment on No More Cuts?

Everyone’s In The Pool. But No Splash Yet

February 19, 2025February 19, 2025

Late last week, Goldman’s Scott Rubner cautioned that “everyone’s in the pool.” By that he

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4 Comments on Everyone’s In The Pool. But No Splash Yet

Tariffs Are Latest Challenge For Tortured US Housing Market

February 19, 2025February 20, 2025

Average mortgage rates in the US are the lowest this year, but would-be homeowners aren’t

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2 Comments on Tariffs Are Latest Challenge For Tortured US Housing Market

DOGE: Shut It Down Before It’s Too Damn Late

February 19, 2025February 20, 2025

To survey the macro-market news landscape mid-week is just to collect and arrange stories about

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18 Comments on DOGE: Shut It Down Before It’s Too Damn Late

‘US Exceptionalism’ Sidelined In Abrupt Investor Zeitgeist Shift

February 18, 2025February 19, 2025

A couple of days ago, while editorializing around the largest net inflow to European equity

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2 Comments on ‘US Exceptionalism’ Sidelined In Abrupt Investor Zeitgeist Shift

Record-Low Cash Levels Scream ‘Sell!’

February 18, 2025

Don’t look now, but cash levels among professional money managers just ticked a 15-year low

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3 Comments on Record-Low Cash Levels Scream ‘Sell!’

It’s Not ‘Tough Love’ If He Hates You

February 18, 2025February 19, 2025

Donald Trump’s decision to cut Brussels and Kyiv out of tentative Ukraine settlement talks unfolding

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5 Comments on It’s Not ‘Tough Love’ If He Hates You

‘About Us, Without Us’

February 18, 2025February 19, 2025

Donald Trump has a… let’s call it “complicated” relationship with Volodymyr Zelensky’s Ukraine. Trump’s a

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31 Comments on ‘About Us, Without Us’

Gold’s Best Rally In Years Puts ‘Fringe Idea’ In Trump’s Lap

February 17, 2025February 19, 2025

Gold. What can you say about it? It looks like the sun. So… maybe it’s

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18 Comments on Gold’s Best Rally In Years Puts ‘Fringe Idea’ In Trump’s Lap

China’s Tech Moguls Got Sent For

February 17, 2025February 18, 2025

Xi Jinping unironically promised to remove “all kinds of obstacles” to private enterprises during his

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3 Comments on China’s Tech Moguls Got Sent For

All Quiet On The Macro Front?

February 16, 2025February 18, 2025

It’ll be a slow week in the US, or at least for macro watchers. The

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1 Comment on All Quiet On The Macro Front?

‘Trump 2.0’: Corr 1 Shock Or Stock-Picker’s Paradise?

February 16, 2025February 17, 2025

Since 2023, we’ve lived in a micro-driven market, which is to say if you decompose

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2 Comments on ‘Trump 2.0’: Corr 1 Shock Or Stock-Picker’s Paradise?

America’s Betrayal Of Ukraine Is An Existential Gamble

February 16, 2025February 18, 2025

Call me an alarmist if you must, but I’m not sure Donald Trump and his

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17 Comments on America’s Betrayal Of Ukraine Is An Existential Gamble

FAIT Accompli

February 15, 2025February 17, 2025

The cure for high prices is supposed to be high prices. The logic’s sound: If

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2 Comments on FAIT Accompli

Buy Europe? Traders Think The Unthinkable Amid Ukraine ‘Peace’ Talks

February 14, 2025February 16, 2025

They’re buying what? It’s been so long since anyone bought European stocks that you’d be

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13 Comments on Buy Europe? Traders Think The Unthinkable Amid Ukraine ‘Peace’ Talks

Sorry, Ukraine. We’re Cowards Over Here Now

February 14, 2025February 16, 2025

The saving grace for humanity may be that he’s old. I’m not talking about Donald

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20 Comments on Sorry, Ukraine. We’re Cowards Over Here Now

Don’t Look Now, But The Incorrigible American Consumer Just Tapped Out

February 14, 2025February 16, 2025

Did the US consumer just crack? I’ve asked that I don’t know how many times

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12 Comments on Don’t Look Now, But The Incorrigible American Consumer Just Tapped Out

Behold: The Dawn Of A New Chinese Tech Bull?

February 14, 2025February 15, 2025

Don’t look now, but big Chinese tech’s in a bull market. After falling more than

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6 Comments on Behold: The Dawn Of A New Chinese Tech Bull?

Record Retail Dip-Buying Won’t Last, Popular Strategist Cautions

February 13, 2025February 13, 2025

So far in 2025, the retail crowd’s buying every dip. That’s according to Goldman’s Scott

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Leave a Comment on Record Retail Dip-Buying Won’t Last, Popular Strategist Cautions

Who’s Sticking Around For The Crash?

February 13, 2025February 14, 2025

Maybe you noticed, maybe you didn’t, but these last three weeks were “perhaps the best

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4 Comments on Who’s Sticking Around For The Crash?

President Orban

February 13, 2025February 14, 2025

I’ll concede to being grimly amused by Donald Trump again, and that’s probably a mistake.

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6 Comments on President Orban

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

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Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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