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Author: therealheisenberg

Trump Threatens To Collapse Canada’s Economy, Calls Border ‘Artificial Line’

March 11, 2025March 12, 2025

First thing Tuesday morning, I mentioned, in passing, that three US states which import power

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35 Comments on Trump Threatens To Collapse Canada’s Economy, Calls Border ‘Artificial Line’

Data Suggests Plenty Of Open Jobs For Musk-Purged Bureaucrats

March 11, 2025March 11, 2025

For what it’s worth on yet another day dominated by tariff headlines, US job openings

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4 Comments on Data Suggests Plenty Of Open Jobs For Musk-Purged Bureaucrats

CEOs Implored To Keep The Faith As Trump Barrels America Toward Recession

March 11, 2025March 12, 2025

“Well, Mr. President, you promised us an economic boom and we’re all just a little

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9 Comments on CEOs Implored To Keep The Faith As Trump Barrels America Toward Recession

Look Away

March 10, 2025March 11, 2025

Donald Trump tried to warn you: “You can’t look at the stock market.” It’s like

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11 Comments on Look Away

Goldman Slashes US GDP Forecast On ‘Considerably More Adverse’ Tariff Policy

March 10, 2025

Don’t look now, but Goldman’s forecast for US economic growth is below blue-chip consensus all

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3 Comments on Goldman Slashes US GDP Forecast On ‘Considerably More Adverse’ Tariff Policy

Household Mood Worsens Dramatically In New Fed Poll

March 10, 2025March 11, 2025

The good news is, inflation expectations in the new vintage of the NY Fed’s monthly

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Leave a Comment on Household Mood Worsens Dramatically In New Fed Poll

Scott Told Me So (Golden Age Loading)

March 10, 2025March 11, 2025

We gotta get this sucker rebalanced! That’s the rallying cry on Wall Street, where “Because

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17 Comments on Scott Told Me So (Golden Age Loading)

‘You Can’t Look At The Stock Market’

March 10, 2025March 11, 2025

Thankfully, it’s all part of the plan. That joke’s not going to get old, and

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17 Comments on ‘You Can’t Look At The Stock Market’

‘Extreme’ US Policies Risk ‘Ugly’ American Exceptionalism

March 9, 2025

Way back last month, JPMorgan described three types of US economic exceptionalism: “Good,” “bad” and

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6 Comments on ‘Extreme’ US Policies Risk ‘Ugly’ American Exceptionalism

Traders Brace As US Inflation Updates Collide With Tariff Soap Opera

March 9, 2025March 11, 2025

Investors and traders (two distinct classes of market participants, only one of which makes money

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6 Comments on Traders Brace As US Inflation Updates Collide With Tariff Soap Opera

Hell’s Still Freezing Over

March 9, 2025March 10, 2025

Don’t say it out loud (seriously, don’t, unless you want to get called in for

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8 Comments on Hell’s Still Freezing Over

What Are We Even Talking About?

March 8, 2025March 10, 2025

I don’t do emojis, nor memes and I’m almost illiterate when it comes to text

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14 Comments on What Are We Even Talking About?

Is Europe Back? Investors Seem To Think So

March 7, 2025March 10, 2025

US equities saw a third inflow over the latest weekly reporting period, suggesting at least

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Powell Says Words

March 7, 2025March 9, 2025

Jerome Powell said some things on Friday. Things like the US economy’s still in a

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4 Comments on Powell Says Words

‘Evil’ US Trade Policy Is Knee-Capping China Already

March 7, 2025March 8, 2025

China released the January-February trade rollup on Friday and the verdict wasn’t great. Exports grew

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Not Bad. Not Good Either.

March 7, 2025March 9, 2025

Mostly inoffensive. That’s as good a two-word description of Friday’s US jobs report as you’ll

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8 Comments on Not Bad. Not Good Either.

Is Mr. Market Already Tired Of The Bullsh-t?

March 6, 2025March 6, 2025

Whatever happens on jobs Friday and thereafter, the price action on Wall Street this week

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4 Comments on Is Mr. Market Already Tired Of The Bullsh-t?

There’s No Plan. Really There Isn’t.

March 6, 2025March 7, 2025

If there were remaining questions as to whether Donald Trump and Howard Lutnick have a

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25 Comments on There’s No Plan. Really There Isn’t.

Will Chinese Tech Hype Cycle Burst America’s AI Capex Bubble?

March 6, 2025March 7, 2025

Forget DeepSeek. That’s yesterday’s AI disruption, and it’s out of style already. Everybody’s wearing Qwen

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4 Comments on Will Chinese Tech Hype Cycle Burst America’s AI Capex Bubble?

Thanks Elon!

March 6, 2025March 7, 2025

The good news is, initial jobless claims in the US receded from a two-month high

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8 Comments on Thanks Elon!

ECB Delivers Sixth Cut As Europe Prepares To Rearm

March 6, 2025March 7, 2025

The ECB cut rates on Thursday as expected. The question’s what to do next. Inflation’s

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8 Comments on ECB Delivers Sixth Cut As Europe Prepares To Rearm

In Germany: History

March 5, 2025March 6, 2025

Germany’s going to spend some money. Not because they want to, necessarily, but because they

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12 Comments on In Germany: History

Chinese Economy Grew 5% In 2025

March 5, 2025March 6, 2025

The Chinese economy grew by 5% in 2025, early estimates released on Wednesday showed. That’s

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2 Comments on Chinese Economy Grew 52 In 2025

Crucial US Services Sector Update Offers Reprieve Despite Tariff ‘Chaos’

March 5, 2025March 6, 2025

Phew. Dodged a bullet. The US services sector held up better than feared last month,

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1 Comment on Crucial US Services Sector Update Offers Reprieve Despite Tariff ‘Chaos’

Private Hiring Slows Sharply In America, Underscoring Recession Worries

March 5, 2025March 6, 2025

US private sector hiring ran at just half the pace economists expected in February, data

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2 Comments on Private Hiring Slows Sharply In America, Underscoring Recession Worries

‘Trump Put’ Struck At SPX 5555, One Bank Says

March 4, 2025March 4, 2025

Where’s the so-called “Trump put” struck? Said differently, what’s the pain threshold for equity losses

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2 Comments on ‘Trump Put’ Struck At SPX 5555, One Bank Says

The Fog Of War

March 4, 2025March 5, 2025

Wall Street tried on Tuesday to claw back the worst of the session’s tariff-related losses,

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7 Comments on The Fog Of War

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Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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