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Author: therealheisenberg

A Two-Front War, Tariff Headline Hockey And The Updated ‘SG Swan Chart’

January 17, 2019

The bottom line is that Trump has predictably boxed himself in.

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2 Comments on A Two-Front War, Tariff Headline Hockey And The Updated ‘SG Swan Chart’

‘The Worst Is Yet To Come’: As Federal Workers Tap Retirement Funds, Confidence In Economy Collapses

January 17, 2019

For the GOP, this is an existential crisis.

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4 Comments on ‘The Worst Is Yet To Come’: As Federal Workers Tap Retirement Funds, Confidence In Economy Collapses

Meanwhile: Trump’s Current Lawyer Admits Campaign Collusion, Trump’s Old Lawyer Admits Handing Out Cash In Blue Walmart Bags

January 17, 2019January 18, 2019

So many high crimes and misdemeanors, so little time.

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5 Comments on Meanwhile: Trump’s Current Lawyer Admits Campaign Collusion, Trump’s Old Lawyer Admits Handing Out Cash In Blue Walmart Bags

Mad Greeks.

January 17, 2019October 24, 2021

“However, a move down through 2575 in SPX”…

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2 Comments on Mad Greeks.

Morgan Stanley Delivers Epic Faceplant, FICC Plunges 30%

January 17, 2019January 17, 2019

Juuust a bit outside.

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Apple’s Main Chipmaker Delivers Dour Outlook, Underscoring Smartphone Worries, Growth Concerns

January 17, 2019January 17, 2019

In case you needed any more evidence…

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1 Comment on Apple’s Main Chipmaker Delivers Dour Outlook, Underscoring Smartphone Worries, Growth Concerns

‘Good’ Trump Isn’t Coming Back, Get Used To ‘Bad’ Trump, One Bank Warns

January 16, 2019October 24, 2021

“The author does not believe markets will come back to the ‘good’ Trump story anytime soon.”

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10 Comments on ‘Good’ Trump Isn’t Coming Back, Get Used To ‘Bad’ Trump, One Bank Warns

Marko Kolanovic Explains The ‘Liquidity-Volatility-Flows Feedback Loop’

January 16, 2019January 8, 2022

“… at times of high volatility, the VIX is almost the sole driver of market
liquidity.”

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3 Comments on Marko Kolanovic Explains The ‘Liquidity-Volatility-Flows Feedback Loop’

Narrative Check: Brexit, Trump, China Stimulus And An Update On Charlie’s CTA Model

January 16, 2019

Ok, it’s time for “narrative” check – as it were.

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1 Comment on Narrative Check: Brexit, Trump, China Stimulus And An Update On Charlie’s CTA Model

Shutdown Shenanigans: Kevin Hassett Staffer Becomes Uber Driver, IRS Confronts Tax Overhaul With Skeleton Crew

January 16, 2019January 18, 2019

“…[we] found that yeah, the damage is a little bit worse.”

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6 Comments on Shutdown Shenanigans: Kevin Hassett Staffer Becomes Uber Driver, IRS Confronts Tax Overhaul With Skeleton Crew

Goldman Beats, Market Happy With Advisory Blowout Despite FICC Fail

January 16, 2019January 16, 2019

Lots to digest here, but it looks like the knee-jerk is to “buy”.

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4 Comments on Goldman Beats, Market Happy With Advisory Blowout Despite FICC Fail

Bank Of America Surges As Market Ignores Latest FICC Miss

January 16, 2019October 24, 2021

Benefit of the doubt?

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If Stock Selloff Comes Back, Rich People May Buy Fewer Watches, ‘Pleasure Boats’, Goldman Warns

January 15, 2019October 24, 2021

Bummer.

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1 Comment on If Stock Selloff Comes Back, Rich People May Buy Fewer Watches, ‘Pleasure Boats’, Goldman Warns

Kraft Heinz To Rescue Furloughed Workers With Free Mac & Cheese As MAGA Promise Keeps Delivering

January 15, 2019October 24, 2021

“Make people rely on charity mac & cheese again!”

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Can America Trust William Barr To Make Sure Mayor McCheese Doesn’t Get Away With Treason? Let’s Ask Him!

January 15, 2019January 16, 2019

Yes. No. It depends.

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4 Comments on Can America Trust William Barr To Make Sure Mayor McCheese Doesn’t Get Away With Treason? Let’s Ask Him!

‘Bearish Positioning = Rally’: BofAML Fund Manager Survey Shows ‘Macro Crash’, ‘Inflection Point’

January 15, 2019January 15, 2019

And without further ado…

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Sophia Don’t Fail Me Now: One Bank Worries ‘Algo Rally’ Will ‘Run Out Of Steam’

January 15, 2019January 15, 2019

Who knows – maybe ask Sophia.

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3 Comments on Sophia Don’t Fail Me Now: One Bank Worries ‘Algo Rally’ Will ‘Run Out Of Steam’

JPMorgan Disappoints: FICC Fail Drives First Profit Miss In 15 Quarters

January 15, 2019January 15, 2019

“Challenging market conditions.”

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5 Comments on JPMorgan Disappoints: FICC Fail Drives First Profit Miss In 15 Quarters

Surprise: China Tips More Stimulus As Economy Falters

January 15, 2019January 15, 2019

We’ll see what the half-life on this is.

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3 Comments on Surprise: China Tips More Stimulus As Economy Falters

Need Another Excuse To Short The Dollar? CTAs’ Extrapolated Longs Will Do!

January 14, 2019

Now if only Trump would let the government open…

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3 Comments on Need Another Excuse To Short The Dollar? CTAs’ Extrapolated Longs Will Do!

Ok, Sure! I’ll Take A Look At That Fed MBS Runoff Vs. S&P Returns Note…

January 14, 2019January 14, 2019

Let’s do some math-ing.

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1 Comment on Ok, Sure! I’ll Take A Look At That Fed MBS Runoff Vs. S&P Returns Note…

Local Geriatric Denies He Works For Russia, Will Serve College Kids ‘Burger Kings’ And ‘Some Pizza’

January 14, 2019January 15, 2019

“I never worked for Russia.”

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15 Comments on Local Geriatric Denies He Works For Russia, Will Serve College Kids ‘Burger Kings’ And ‘Some Pizza’

Nomura’s McElligott Weighs In On China, Stocks And Reflation Skepticism

January 14, 2019

Predictably, markets start the new week torn.

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1 Comment on Nomura’s McElligott Weighs In On China, Stocks And Reflation Skepticism

World Reacts To China’s December Trade Fumble

January 14, 2019January 14, 2019

This will likely get worse before it gets better.

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China’s December Trade Data Is, Well, Not Great…

January 13, 2019January 13, 2019

“Juuust a bit outside.” 

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1 Comment on China’s December Trade Data Is, Well, Not Great…

Politics As Usual: Full Week Ahead Preview

January 13, 2019October 24, 2021

Risk on, but for how long?

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oil4 Comments on Politics As Usual: Full Week Ahead Preview

‘Noise’: One Bank’s Take On US Politics In 2019

January 13, 2019January 13, 2019

The political landscape stateside is a bit fraught right now – maybe you noticed.

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3 Comments on ‘Noise’: One Bank’s Take On US Politics In 2019

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