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Author: therealheisenberg

Morgan Stanley Wins Stock-Trading Bragging Rights With 35% Surge

October 15, 2025October 16, 2025

Morgan Stanley’s supposed to shine in stock trading. It’s tradition. But like the Winter Hill

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Boring BofA Just Had A Really Good Quarter

October 15, 2025October 15, 2025

“Revenues grew at a much faster rate than expenses,” Brian Moynihan said Wednesday morning, in

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2 Comments on Boring BofA Just Had A Really Good Quarter

Risk Taking And Sell Signals

October 14, 2025October 14, 2025

Strange as this sounds, a fixture of the equity melt-up to a succession of new

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2 Comments on Risk Taking And Sell Signals

You Buy Bubbles, You Don’t Short Them

October 14, 2025October 15, 2025

This isn’t investment advice, but for the hundred millionth time: You don’t short bubbles, you

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12 Comments on You Buy Bubbles, You Don’t Short Them

Shipping Problems

October 14, 2025October 15, 2025

“Don’t worry about China. It will all be fine!” That joke probably isn’t going to

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4 Comments on Shipping Problems

Parsing The Nuance Of Goldman’s Record Quarter

October 14, 2025October 15, 2025

You already knew it was going to be a decent quarter for Goldman. Dealmaking’s back

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JPMorgan Beats On Nearly Everything. Dimon Says Prepared For Literally Anything.

October 14, 2025October 15, 2025

JPMorgan kicked off big bank earnings Tuesday with a top-line beat, a bottom-line beat and

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TACO Alpha

October 13, 2025October 14, 2025

TACO. Who wants TACOs? I’m referring, of course, to the acronym for “Trump Always Chickens

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18 Comments on TACO Alpha

Beware The Jabberwock

October 13, 2025October 14, 2025

“These things have gotten so complex you need the whole thing,” Sam Altman said Monday,

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26 Comments on Beware The Jabberwock

De-Coupling? No Problem

October 13, 2025October 14, 2025

Vandelay Industries had a solid month in September, trade data released on Monday suggested. Indeed,

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Only The Dead

October 13, 2025October 14, 2025

“You know what would be great? If we could make a peace deal with [Iran].”

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5 Comments on Only The Dead

(Do Fear) The Reaper

October 12, 2025October 13, 2025

Life could get “tough,” particularly for the world’s have-nots, in the event of a “sharp

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7 Comments on (Do Fear) The Reaper

Gold To $6,000?

October 12, 2025October 13, 2025

Gold bulls, like Bitcoin bulls, tend to be an excitable bunch prone to wild extrapolation.

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4 Comments on Gold To $6,000?

China Hits Back At Trump, Risking New Escalation Phase

October 12, 2025October 13, 2025

World peace. That’s why China had to institute new, sweeping controls on exports of rare

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7 Comments on China Hits Back At Trump, Risking New Escalation Phase

Weekly: The Stock Rally Has A SPOF Problem

October 11, 2025October 13, 2025

The stock rally has a SPOF problem. Several of them, actually. Fewer than 10 US

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10 Comments on Weekly: The Stock Rally Has A SPOF Problem

Well, Hello Bear!

October 10, 2025October 12, 2025

As a previously bulletproof equity market careened lower into the US afternoon on Friday, CNBC

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8 Comments on Well, Hello Bear!

‘Sinister,’ ‘Hostile’ Moves

October 10, 2025October 12, 2025

Somebody’s mad about being snubbed for the Nobel Peace Prize. Donald Trump on Friday lost

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19 Comments on ‘Sinister,’ ‘Hostile’ Moves

Americans Still Deeply Depressed. Rich Stock-Owners Less So

October 10, 2025October 11, 2025

If you own stocks, you feel better about your financial situation than if you don’t.

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1 Comment on Americans Still Deeply Depressed. Rich Stock-Owners Less So

The Dollar: Back From The Dead?

October 10, 2025October 12, 2025

Don’t look now, but the dollar’s on the cusp of its best week in nearly

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3 Comments on The Dollar: Back From The Dead?

Shame

October 9, 2025October 10, 2025

They were dancing (very awkwardly, I might add) in the streets in Tel Aviv’s Hostage

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13 Comments on Shame

Trading Short, Playing Catch-Up

October 9, 2025October 9, 2025

“Why have equities been trading short?” That’s what JPMorgan’s Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou wants to know. Whenever

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Just Another Tech Bubble Article

October 9, 2025October 10, 2025

The good news is, the rally in tech stocks is “justified.” That’s also the bad

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9 Comments on Just Another Tech Bubble Article

How AI Spending Could Rob Stocks Of Their Biggest Buyer

October 9, 2025October 10, 2025

This’ll be a bit repetitive, but that’s fine because it’s important, and there’s a tie-in

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4 Comments on How AI Spending Could Rob Stocks Of Their Biggest Buyer

A Half-Trillion Dollar Sell Flow (Hypothetically)

October 8, 2025October 10, 2025

Things better stay calm. If you’re looking for a four-word summary of everything I’ve written

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8 Comments on A Half-Trillion Dollar Sell Flow (Hypothetically)

Some Fed Officials Unconvinced Of Rate Cut Case: FOMC Minutes

October 8, 2025October 9, 2025

“Several participants observed that high-income households were increasingly doing better, economically, than lower-income households.” That’s

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1 Comment on Some Fed Officials Unconvinced Of Rate Cut Case: FOMC Minutes

Apples, Oranges And The AI Bubble

October 8, 2025October 9, 2025

I don’t love charts that purport to compare apples and oranges. I say “purport” because

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4 Comments on Apples, Oranges And The AI Bubble

US Home Purchases Are Still Falling Through At Record Rates

October 8, 2025October 8, 2025

US housing. It’s — what word should I use? — complicated. That’s a (very) polite

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

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Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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