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Author: therealheisenberg

Markets Ill At Ease In New Week As Coronavirus, Kramp-Karrenbauer Downfall Weigh

February 10, 2020February 10, 2020

Testing investors’ deeply-ingrained Pavlovian dip-buying instincts…

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Inflation In China Surges Again, While Producer Prices Climb Out Of Deflation

February 9, 2020February 9, 2020

All of this comes with a caveat.

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A Health Crisis, A Fed Chair, A New Bubble And One Largemouth Bass

February 9, 2020February 10, 2020

“One might, perhaps, see the recent price-action of the Tesla as supportive of this idea.”

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1 Comment on A Health Crisis, A Fed Chair, A New Bubble And One Largemouth Bass

Stocks’ Immunity To War, Pandemics, Saps Active Managers’ Joie De Vivre

February 9, 2020February 9, 2020

There’s still hope for stock pickers, though.

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3 Comments on Stocks’ Immunity To War, Pandemics, Saps Active Managers’ Joie De Vivre

Revisiting The Ultimate In Ironic, Tragicomedic Fed Outcomes For 2020

February 9, 2020

It’s almost fatalistic.

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3 Comments on Revisiting The Ultimate In Ironic, Tragicomedic Fed Outcomes For 2020

Excerpts From Canada’s Forgotten Tale Of Financial Calamity

February 8, 2020February 9, 2020

“I believe the situation we find ourselves in is analogous to a tsunami coming.”

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A Correlation Flip, And A Quick Recap Of Charlie McElligott’s 2020 Macro Outlook

February 8, 2020

Once we get beyond the virus, we’ll be back pondering the same, familiar dynamics.

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A Virus Stole My Reflation Trade

February 8, 2020February 8, 2020

These are the kinds of headlines which have made investors reluctant to carry risk into the weekend.

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oil2 Comments on A Virus Stole My Reflation Trade

Hours After Removing Purple Heart Recipient Alexander Vindman, Trump Fires Gordon Sondland

February 7, 2020February 8, 2020

“There is no question in the mind of any American why this man’s job is over”.

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Emerging Market FX Looks Vulnerable As Commodity Plunge, Virus Worries, Idiosyncratic Risks Are Noxious Mix

February 7, 2020February 7, 2020

A helpful reminder at a delicate juncture.

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1 Comment on Emerging Market FX Looks Vulnerable As Commodity Plunge, Virus Worries, Idiosyncratic Risks Are Noxious Mix

The Coronavirus Infects Fed Communications

February 7, 2020February 7, 2020

“The recent emergence of the coronavirus, however”…

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3 Comments on The Coronavirus Infects Fed Communications

‘We Have To Be A Little Wary’: Jobs Report Marred By Revisions, Overshadowed By Virus

February 7, 2020

“Markets appear sanguine, but at the very least”…

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1 Comment on ‘We Have To Be A Little Wary’: Jobs Report Marred By Revisions, Overshadowed By Virus

Jobs Report Blows Through Expectations As Labor Market Heats Up Anew

February 7, 2020February 7, 2020

This topped even the most optimistic estimates.

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Germany, Which Runs A Surplus And Can Borrow For Free, Posts Worst Industrial Production Plunge Since Crisis

February 7, 2020February 7, 2020

The YoY print was, in a word, terrible.

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Palpable Angst, ‘Deep Regret And Condolences’ As Virus Fears Return

February 7, 2020February 7, 2020

Xi, meanwhile, has a public relations problem on his hands.

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1 Comment on Palpable Angst, ‘Deep Regret And Condolences’ As Virus Fears Return

The Best-Laid Plans Of Mice, Men And Monetarists

February 6, 2020February 7, 2020

It is (past) time for a fiscal solution.

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1 Comment on The Best-Laid Plans Of Mice, Men And Monetarists

The Macro Case For Buying Stocks After This Week’s Surge Is Very Weak Indeed

February 6, 2020February 6, 2020

A deeply-ingrained Pavlovian instinct…

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7 Comments on The Macro Case For Buying Stocks After This Week’s Surge Is Very Weak Indeed

Albert Edwards: The Ice Age Is Nearing The End (Because Helicopter Money Is Coming)

February 6, 2020February 6, 2020

After surviving an earthquake and narrowly dodging a tsunami…

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‘Horror Show’: Germany Posts Worst Factory Orders Drop In A Decade

February 6, 2020February 6, 2020

There’s no way to spin this.

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Incredible Global Rally Continues, As Tariff Non-News Resonates In Risk-On Environment

February 6, 2020February 6, 2020

Go higher and never stop.

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Eye-Popping.

February 5, 2020February 6, 2020

New virus numbers, surging stocks, tumbling Tesla and a VP on the ropes.

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1 Comment on Eye-Popping.

Mitt Romney Votes To Convict Trump. Senate Acquits On Both Charges

February 5, 2020February 5, 2020

So, acquittal it is.

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3 Comments on Mitt Romney Votes To Convict Trump. Senate Acquits On Both Charges

The Daisy Chain, ‘Crash-Up’, Equity Slingshot Setup Is Back In Play: McElligott

February 5, 2020February 5, 2020

This makes the market especially “vulnerable” to good news.

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2 Comments on The Daisy Chain, ‘Crash-Up’, Equity Slingshot Setup Is Back In Play: McElligott

Let’s Talk More Data As Trade Deficit Narrows First Time In Six Years, Services PMI Beats

February 5, 2020February 5, 2020

“Winning”?

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1 Comment on Let’s Talk More Data As Trade Deficit Narrows First Time In Six Years, Services PMI Beats

Trump’s Economic Narrative Gets Another Boost From Ridiculous ADP Blowout

February 5, 2020

The best number since May of 2015.

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‘Sooner The Better’: Central Banks Hand Out Antivirals In Southeast Asia

February 5, 2020

“Adjustments” are needed.

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‘Extreme Bullishness’: Risk Assets Vaccinated

February 5, 2020February 5, 2020

Of course, it’s far too early to sound the all-clear.

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