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Author: therealheisenberg

Cotton Candy Skies (Virtually)

August 22, 2021August 26, 2021

The marquee event in the new week is obviously Jackson Hole. It’ll be hosted virtually

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2 Comments on Cotton Candy Skies (Virtually)

‘Professional Prognosticators’

August 21, 2021August 23, 2021

The smartest among us admit how little we know and, as a corollary, acknowledge that

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6 Comments on ‘Professional Prognosticators’

Amazon, BABA Burn Hedge Funds Amid Record ‘VIP’ Lag

August 21, 2021August 22, 2021

It’s been a rough stretch for hedge funds’ most popular positions. If you’re inexplicably inclined

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1 Comment on Amazon, BABA Burn Hedge Funds Amid Record ‘VIP’ Lag

Autumn ‘Flash Recession’ And A Litany Of Concerns

August 20, 2021August 27, 2021

It’s all too easy to cite a litany of concerns in the course of suggesting

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7 Comments on Autumn ‘Flash Recession’ And A Litany Of Concerns

‘Little Wonder Everyone Buys The Dip’

August 20, 2021August 22, 2021

“Our view, negative returns for stocks and credit in the second half,” BofA’s Michael Hartnett

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2 Comments on ‘Little Wonder Everyone Buys The Dip’

What Goes Up

August 20, 2021August 21, 2021

Negativity on the macro front is finding its way into investor sentiment despite robust earnings,

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Xi Burns It Down: Hong Kong In Bear Market, Tech Wiped Out

August 20, 2021August 24, 2021

The Hang Seng fell into a bear market Friday amid another steep decline in Chinese

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3 Comments on Xi Burns It Down: Hong Kong In Bear Market, Tech Wiped Out

Wall Street Moves Up Taper Timeline As Fed ‘Taken Literally’

August 19, 2021August 20, 2021

The Fed pretty clearly believes the market is prepared to deal with a reduction in

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4 Comments on Wall Street Moves Up Taper Timeline As Fed ‘Taken Literally’

The Fed’s Afghanistan

August 19, 2021August 29, 2021

“The idea that somehow, there’s a way to have gotten out without chaos ensuing, I

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11 Comments on The Fed’s Afghanistan

We May Be ‘On The Verge’ Of A Cascade

August 19, 2021August 20, 2021

You can skip the “taper tantrum” (or, as some market participants branded it Thursday, “mini-tantrum”)

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Meanwhile, The Data Is A Mixed Bag

August 19, 2021August 20, 2021

348,000 Americans filed for unemployment benefits last week, down markedly from the prior week and

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Chinese Tech Collapse Reaches 45%. Toyota Delivers Delta Reality Check

August 19, 2021August 20, 2021

Sentiment took a marked turn for the worse Thursday as a confluence of factors conspired

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4 Comments on Chinese Tech Collapse Reaches 454. Toyota Delivers Delta Reality Check

The Strain, The Taper And The Caveats

August 18, 2021August 19, 2021

The word “variant” showed up seven times in the July Fed minutes, the word “Delta”

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1 Comment on The Strain, The Taper And The Caveats

Booster Clarion Call: Reasoning With The ‘Other’ Half

August 18, 2021August 23, 2021

It’s probably best if you get a booster shot, US health officials reckon. “The available

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7 Comments on Booster Clarion Call: Reasoning With The ‘Other’ Half

US Housing Conundrum Persists Amid Sky-High Prices

August 18, 2021August 19, 2021

US housing starts dropped to a 1.534 million annualized pace last month, the Commerce Department

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7 Comments on US Housing Conundrum Persists Amid Sky-High Prices

Is Fear Back?

August 18, 2021August 19, 2021

Fear sells, and Wednesday was a good day to be in the business of peddling

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3 Comments on Is Fear Back?

Did We Underestimate The Biggest Risks?

August 17, 2021August 26, 2021

Investors may have underestimated the biggest risks. Imagine that. While there’s no straightforward, mechanical read-through

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13 Comments on Did We Underestimate The Biggest Risks?

Huge Disparity Emerges Between Growth Outlook, Equity Allocation

August 17, 2021August 18, 2021

“Macro expectations have rolled over.” That was one takeaway from the August vintage of BofA’s

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4 Comments on Huge Disparity Emerges Between Growth Outlook, Equity Allocation

Benefit Of The Doubt

August 17, 2021August 18, 2021

It’s “unclear” whether the Delta variant will have important effects on the economy, Jerome Powell

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1 Comment on Benefit Of The Doubt

Retail Sales Dive, Underscoring Delta, Inflation Concerns

August 17, 2021August 17, 2021

US retail sales sagged in July, closely-watched data out Tuesday showed. The 1.1% decline was

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5 Comments on Retail Sales Dive, Underscoring Delta, Inflation Concerns

What Really Happened Monday, According To Charlie McElligott

August 17, 2021August 18, 2021

The standard, boilerplate copy on days when weakness across equities reverses during the cash session

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Wary Eyes, Familiar Concerns

August 17, 2021August 17, 2021

The mood was cautious Tuesday as markets cast a wary eye at a familiar set

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1 Comment on Wary Eyes, Familiar Concerns

How Many More Headstones?

August 16, 2021August 23, 2021

“American troops cannot and should not be fighting in a war, and dying in a

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12 Comments on How Many More Headstones?

Wilson ‘Marks To Market.’ Kolanovic Weighs 2022 Macro Risks

August 16, 2021August 17, 2021

I’ve used “mark to market” in tongue-in-cheek fashion on any number of occasions lately, mostly

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‘Obvious Things’ And Credit, The Four-Letter Word

August 16, 2021August 17, 2021

“Obvious things can still matter,” Morgan Stanley’s Andrew Sheets reckoned, in a well-written note dated

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7 Comments on ‘Obvious Things’ And Credit, The Four-Letter Word

Strike Two

August 16, 2021August 16, 2021

Hot (or cold) on the heels of a disastrously bad University of Michigan sentiment print,

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1 Comment on Strike Two

The Day After

August 16, 2021August 22, 2021

Airlines rerouted planes to avoid Afghan airspace, while others nixed flights as chaos gripped Kabul

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14 Comments on The Day After

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Monthly Letters

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