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Author: therealheisenberg

China’s Key Activity Data Misses Across The Board

August 15, 2021August 16, 2021

Outside of jitters about the durability of the US recovery in the face of surging

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Safe Inside The Bubble

August 15, 2021August 18, 2021

In the new week, market participants will have the luxury of watching the outside world

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2 Comments on Safe Inside The Bubble

‘But Nothing That Should Matter To Markets’

August 15, 2021August 19, 2021

“But nothing that should matter to markets.” That disclaimer is applicable to nearly everything these

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5 Comments on ‘But Nothing That Should Matter To Markets’

Don’t Fear The Lock-Up Expiries

August 14, 2021August 16, 2021

When it comes to equities, we know where the demand will come from. Or at

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1 Comment on Don’t Fear The Lock-Up Expiries

Explaining The Calmest Market Since Yellen’s Short Vol Bubble

August 14, 2021August 19, 2021

The last time things were this placid, Janet Yellen was presiding over the short vol

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Monetizing A ‘Free Option’: The Business Of Permabears

August 14, 2021August 15, 2021

On Friday morning, Bloomberg’s Jonathan Ferro delivered a highly amusing indictment of “permabears” live, on

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8 Comments on Monetizing A ‘Free Option’: The Business Of Permabears

Losing Our Religion

August 13, 2021August 15, 2021

In “A Funhouse Mirror Through Beer Goggles,” I talked about the importance of adjusting one’s

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23 Comments on Losing Our Religion

Hot Streak And A Bear Case In Shambles

August 13, 2021August 14, 2021

European equities just enjoyed their largest inflow in eight weeks. The $1.5 billion haul was

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6 Comments on Hot Streak And A Bear Case In Shambles

‘Dashed Hopes’: US Consumer Sentiment Suddenly Crumbles

August 13, 2021August 18, 2021

It’s relatively rare that University of Michigan sentiment moves the proverbial needle, especially during weeks

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6 Comments on ‘Dashed Hopes’: US Consumer Sentiment Suddenly Crumbles

The Butterfly Effect

August 13, 2021August 14, 2021

“You’re going to have a secondary hit,” one shipbroker told Bloomberg on Friday. In a

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6 Comments on The Butterfly Effect

Delta And The Outlook For ‘Cyclical Risk Relaxation’

August 12, 2021August 13, 2021

One thing, at least, is clear. Market participants have downgraded their view on growth. That’s

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1 Comment on Delta And The Outlook For ‘Cyclical Risk Relaxation’

McElligott On ‘Melt-Up, Crash Down, Crash Up’

August 12, 2021August 13, 2021

Melt-up, crash down and (likely) crash up. That’s one sequencing possibility in US equities, according

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Kolanovic Calls Bottom For Bond Yields, Cyclicals

August 12, 2021August 18, 2021

Nearly a month on from raising their price target on the S&P, JPMorgan and Marko

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Still Askew

August 12, 2021August 13, 2021

US producer prices rose far more than expected in July, the government said Thursday. The

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10 Comments on Still Askew

Crude Confusion And Authoritarian Capriciousness

August 12, 2021August 12, 2021

The “recent rally has lost steam on concerns that a surge in COVID-19 cases from

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3 Comments on Crude Confusion And Authoritarian Capriciousness

A Funhouse Mirror Through Beer Goggles

August 11, 2021August 12, 2021

If you fail to adjust your lenses to account for the ongoing drift away from

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6 Comments on A Funhouse Mirror Through Beer Goggles

Delta Spillovers By The Outdoor Bar

August 11, 2021August 12, 2021

With the Delta variant running rampant, you might be asking yourself whether sundry supply chain

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2 Comments on Delta Spillovers By The Outdoor Bar

Team ‘Transitory’ Gets Small Win. But Caveats Abound

August 11, 2021August 17, 2021

The most anticipated US inflation data since last month’s numbers showed price pressures abated more

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5 Comments on Team ‘Transitory’ Gets Small Win. But Caveats Abound

Family Time

August 11, 2021August 17, 2021

Mitch McConnell warned of a “nightmare” for “American families” as Democrats moved ahead with one

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12 Comments on Family Time

‘On The Cusp’ Of ‘Urgent Things’

August 10, 2021August 11, 2021

“We’re on the cusp of an infrastructure decade,” Joe Biden declared, in remarks delivered Tuesday

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3 Comments on ‘On The Cusp’ Of ‘Urgent Things’

Fractured Myths

August 10, 2021August 11, 2021

Readers often ask if I really believe there’s no threshold for so-called “money printing” in

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7 Comments on Fractured Myths

Only After The House Burns Down

August 10, 2021August 11, 2021

The good news is, spot is “pinned” between the two largest gamma strikes. Or, put

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The Future Is Now

August 10, 2021August 10, 2021

“Despite most of Street being at December, I still think there’s a real chance for

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Propaganda Everywhere

August 10, 2021August 16, 2021

“Expectations have declined… point[ing] to increasing risks… such as from a possible fourth COVID-19 wave

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Suffering Fools: The Blank Check Rant Continued

August 9, 2021August 10, 2021

It’s been more than six years since I engaged in ceremonial bridge burning and otherwise

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16 Comments on Suffering Fools: The Blank Check Rant Continued

(More) Help Wanted

August 9, 2021August 15, 2021

Job openings in the world’s largest economy hit a new record high in June, closely-watched

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Things Are Getting More Complicated For China

August 9, 2021August 10, 2021

JPMorgan cut its outlook for China, becoming the latest bank to downgrade projections for the

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Monthly Letters

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