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Author: therealheisenberg

Larry Summers, Paid Monday Morning Quarterback

August 28, 2021August 30, 2021

Larry Summers thinks Jerome Powell might have it all wrong. Well, not all of it.

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11 Comments on Larry Summers, Paid Monday Morning Quarterback

Bland Orators And Bad Tasseography

August 27, 2021August 29, 2021

On Thursday afternoon, while wailing Afghans and shell-shocked military personnel were bagging up bodies and

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8 Comments on Bland Orators And Bad Tasseography

For Entertainment Purposes

August 27, 2021August 28, 2021

“Stagflation is the new investment backdrop,” BofA’s Michael Hartnett declared, in the latest edition of

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4 Comments on For Entertainment Purposes

Powell Says Nothing In Anticlimactic Jackson Hole Speech

August 27, 2021August 31, 2021

It could be appropriate for the Fed to begin tapering monthly asset purchases this year,

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5 Comments on Powell Says Nothing In Anticlimactic Jackson Hole Speech

Polite Nods To The Macro Narrative Du Jour

August 27, 2021August 27, 2021

Personal spending rose 0.3% in July, slightly less than expected, perhaps underscoring the fragility of

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2 Comments on Polite Nods To The Macro Narrative Du Jour

Xi To Ban Some Overseas Tech IPOs, Erases Celebrities

August 27, 2021August 28, 2021

Chinese tech shares may have managed to close out another tumultuous week with a gain

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9 Comments on Xi To Ban Some Overseas Tech IPOs, Erases Celebrities

Thumper’s Maxim

August 26, 2021August 27, 2021

Sometimes, I don’t know what Jim Bullard is thinking. Back in June, less than 48

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4 Comments on Thumper’s Maxim

Only The Dead

August 26, 2021September 1, 2021

War is hell. On Wednesday, officials from western nations began warning citizens stranded in Afghanistan

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3 Comments on Only The Dead

No Needles Were Moved

August 26, 2021August 27, 2021

353,000 Americans filed for unemployment benefits last week, slightly higher than the previous week’s upwardly-revised

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2 Comments on No Needles Were Moved

Chinese Tech Rebound May Be DOA

August 26, 2021August 27, 2021

The nascent rebound in Chinese tech hit a brick wall Thursday. After faltering during the

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2 Comments on Chinese Tech Rebound May Be DOA

Let’s Try It And See What Happens

August 26, 2021August 26, 2021

The Bank of Korea showed you can hike rates while virus cases are elevated without

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Cost-Benefit Analysis In A Failing Economic System

August 25, 2021September 11, 2021

“This column does not necessarily reflect the opinion of the editorial board or Bloomberg LP

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9 Comments on Cost-Benefit Analysis In A Failing Economic System

Pain. Or The Avoidance Thereof

August 25, 2021August 26, 2021

Virtually no one that I’m aware of believes the Delta variant or associated weakness in

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1 Comment on Pain. Or The Avoidance Thereof

The Price Of Peace

August 25, 2021August 26, 2021

“Summer melt-up continues,” read one headline, on a sleepy Wednesday afternoon. I don’t know, maybe

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5 Comments on The Price Of Peace

‘Clouded Over Again’

August 25, 2021August 26, 2021

A furious rebound in beleaguered Chinese tech behemoths stalled after just two days, while global

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1,000-Point Gap Opens Between S&P Bulls, Bears

August 24, 2021August 29, 2021

The “doubt proved misplaced,” Bloomberg’s Lu Wang wrote Tuesday, as US equities marched toward another

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Risk Of ‘Balanced Bear’ May Increase, Goldman Says

August 24, 2021August 25, 2021

Remember the “can’t lose” conjuncture? It’s a pretty simple dynamic. Secular growth, including mega-US tech,

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Regular People Can’t Keep Buying $400K Homes

August 24, 2021September 1, 2021

Happy day. After falling for three consecutive months, new home sales topped estimates for July,

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18 Comments on Regular People Can’t Keep Buying $400K Homes

‘A Good Ol’ Fashioned Short-Squeeze’

August 24, 2021August 25, 2021

Stocks may end up “trapped” again, where that means consigned to a rangebound grind, likely

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Odds Of China Policy Pivot Game-Changer Increase Rapidly

August 24, 2021August 31, 2021

It’s “everybody back in the risk pool,” Nomura’s Charlie McElligott said Tuesday, on the heels

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2 Comments on Odds Of China Policy Pivot Game-Changer Increase Rapidly

‘Uninvestable’ Chinese Tech Stages Ridiculous Comeback Rally

August 24, 2021August 24, 2021

Chinese tech shares surged a second day Tuesday, bolstering global risk sentiment and (finally) rewarding

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5 Comments on ‘Uninvestable’ Chinese Tech Stages Ridiculous Comeback Rally

Payback?

August 23, 2021August 24, 2021

Generally speaking, analysts blamed the Delta variant for the recent deterioration in consumer sentiment and

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‘What Turned The Tide’ For Stocks

August 23, 2021August 28, 2021

So close, yet so far. From a cascading, selling-begets-selling, self-fulfilling drawdown, that is. For a

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Stagflation-ary

August 23, 2021August 24, 2021

Economic activity decelerated in early August, flash PMIs out Monday suggested, underscoring what, by now,

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5 Comments on Stagflation-ary

An Atrocity Against Human Progress And Reason

August 23, 2021August 24, 2021

Cases keep rising, and people keep dying, but Americans are a stubborn bunch. Stubborn is

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18 Comments on An Atrocity Against Human Progress And Reason

Rebounds, Bargains And ‘Zero’ Covid

August 23, 2021August 23, 2021

Risk assets started the new week on the front foot, as the dollar backpedaled from

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Speed Bumps

August 22, 2021August 23, 2021

Jackson Hole isn’t the only thing on the docket in the new week. Jerome Powell’s

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2 Comments on Speed Bumps

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

  • SeaTurtle on The Capex Catch-22
  • Wave Dash on Someone’s Got Work For You
  • T-Dog on The Capex Catch-22
  • T-Dog on Debbie Downers Amid The Renaissance

Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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