Economists will tell you to fear the inversion. Traders will tell you to fear the
Author: therealheisenberg
Iran Has No Plausible Deniability For US Troop Deaths
Iran doesn’t give orders to the groups which comprise its “Axis of Resistance.” And the
How Worried Should The World Be About China’s Economy?
How bad is the macro situation in China? It’s a crucial question. For China, yes,
Stakes Rise For Biden As Iranian Proxies Kill Three US Service Members
The next escalation in the Mideast was always a matter of if, and when, US
Traders Face Impossibly Busy Stretch As Macro Meets Mega-Caps
“I mean, are you kidding me with this week’s event risk?” Nomura’s Charlie McElligott exclaimed,
Treasury Refunding May Be Biggest Event Risk In Packed Week
There’s no shortage of key events for markets and traders this week, but the most
What To Expect From The January FOMC Meeting
Jerome Powell’s probably grateful that rate-cut pricing, both for the March FOMC meeting and for
Morality Lectures
“The state of Israel does not need to be lectured on morality in order to
Inequality Poised For Comeback In Election Year. (Not That It Ever Left)
We all know the narrative: Inequality worsened materially as a result of the monetary policy
EM Stocks See Biggest Inflow Ever Amid China Stimulus Bets
Investors were buying emerging market stocks over the last week. A record $12.1 billion flowed
Fed’s Favorite Core Inflation Gauge Falls Below 3%
The Fed’s preferred gauge of underlying price growth slipped below 3% in December, data out
Is China Losing Patience With Iran Over Houthi Attacks?
A few days ago, I suggested there were only two ways to stop the Houthis
MMFs See Second Week Of Outflows. RRP Below $600 Billion
Money market funds saw a second week of outflows as AUM appears to have peaked
‘Free Money Machine’ Borrowing Hit $168 Billion Before Fed Slammed Door
A month ago, I called readers’ attention to what I dubbed the “free money Fed
Low Inflation, High Vol?
For the better part of two years, multi-asset investors were bedeviled by that most nefarious
Fed Gets Great Growth, 2% Inflation In Favorable GDP Release
The US economy expanded far faster than expected during the final three months of 2023,
US New Home Sales Rise As Prices Fall, Builders Offer Incentives
Americans bought cookie-cutter, fiber cement boxes at a faster-than-expected rate in December, another exciting update
Lagarde Fails To Dissuade Markets On ECB Rate-Cut Timing
The ECB kept rates on hold for a third consecutive meeting on Thursday. The outcome
‘Stuck In Recession’: Outlook For German Economy Worsens Further
Not that anyone needed another reminder about the parlous state of Europe’s largest economy, but
Tesla Flags Slower Growth, Omits Delivery Target
Tesla is “between two major growth waves,” the company said on Wednesday afternoon in the
Living At The Office
Lower rates are stoking demand in a still-distorted US housing market. Mortgage applications rose a
Accusations, Trepidation After Russian Military Plane Crashes In Belgorod
A planned prisoner exchange went disastrously wrong Wednesday when a Russian military plane crashed in
US Economy Basking In Goldilocks Glow, PMIs Suggest
US private sector business activity expanded at the briskest pace since June, preliminary data for
China Frees Up $140 Billion With Rate Cut In Bid To Halt Stock Rout
China’s taken to pre-announcements lately. Last week, Premier Li Qiang revealed the headline annual growth
ECB Faces Moribund Growth, Sticky Services Inflation Amid Rate Cut Debate
The European economy is in a recession, basically, and price pressures, although no longer acute,
Netflix Delivers Huge Subscriber Beat After Unveiling Wrestling Deal
As a longtime Netflix customer, I can’t say I’m excited about the opportunity to stream
Why Stocks Can’t Sell Off
The nascent rebound in skew is history. It was (mostly) snuffed out early this week.
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